Fantasy Football Draft Busts (2025)

Thankfully, the 2025 fantasy football season is just around the corner. Each year, fantasy players want to construct their team with a proper mix of good-value players and upside sleepers while avoiding players with high bust potential. Here are notable players from the AFC West and their fantasy football outlook.

• Fantasy Football Draft Kit
• 2025 Fantasy Football Expert Rankings
• Fantasy Football ADP
• Fantasy Football Trade Tools

Fantasy Football Draft Busts: AFC West

ADP via FantasyPros

Fantasy Football Bust Candidates

Isiah Pacheco (KC): ADP 69.2 | RB27

Fantasy players had high hopes for Pacheco last year after an impressive 2023 season. The former Rutgers star finished that year as the RB15, averaging 15.3 PPR fantasy points per game, nearly doubling his average as a rookie. Unfortunately, he was a massive bust after getting drafted as the RB10 on average, ending the season as the RB64, averaging 8.1 fantasy points per game, only 0.2 higher than his rookie year average.

Furthermore, Pacheco posted career lows in yards per rushing attempt (3.7), offensive touchdowns (one), and fantasy points per touch (0.6). More importantly, his role in the passing game disappeared. The former Rutgers star averaged 5.7 fantasy points per game in the air in 2023, posting a 9.5% target share and 38.4% route participation rate. By comparison, Pacheco averaged 2.9 fantasy points per game while posting a 6.3% target share and 28% route participation rate last season.

Unfortunately, the veteran is unlikely to earn back the passing game role after the Chiefs drafted Brashard Smith. While some will point to Pacheco’s injury for his disappointing year, the veteran regressed following his career season in 2023 before getting hurt. More importantly, Kansas City has been splitting the first-team reps in training camp between Pacheco, Kareem Hunt, and Elijah Mitchell. Between the crowded backfield and his injury history, fantasy players shouldn’t draft Pacheco anywhere near his RB27 ADP.

* via Fantasy Points Data

Jakobi Meyers (LV): ADP 95.8 | WR43

Meyers was the WR19 last season, averaging 14.5 PPR fantasy points per game despite playing on one of the worst offenses in the NFL. While the Raiders’ passing attack struggled, they threw at one of the highest rates in the league, finishing fourth in pass attempts (635), totaling 84 more than the Detroit Lions (551) and 87 more than the Minnesota Vikings (548). Furthermore, the veteran had 129 targets in 15 games, the 15th-most among wide receivers.

Yet, Meyers’ 0.4 fantasy points per route run finished 31st among 53 wide receivers with at least 75 targets last year (per Fantasy Points Data). While Las Vegas upgraded at quarterback this offseason, going from Gardner Minshew and Aidan O’Connell to Geno Smith, the team won’t pass at the same 37.4 attempts per game after vastly improving their rushing attack. Last year, the Raiders ranked bottom-five in the NFL in rushing attempts (380), yards per attempt (3.6), and touchdowns (10).

That won’t happen again in 2025 with Pete Carroll on the sidelines and Ashton Jeanty in the backfield. Furthermore, Las Vegas added meaningful target competition during the NFL Draft, spending two top 110 picks on Dont’e Thornton Jr. and Jack Bech. Both rookies have had impressive moments this offseason. Meanwhile, Tre Tucker was the second-most targeted wide receiver on the team last year (81). Meyers doesn’t have a clear enough pathway to targets to merit his top 100 draft cost.

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Mike Fanelli is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @Mike_NFL2.