Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
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Fantasy Football Start’em, Sit’em Lineup Advice
Aaron Rodgers faces his old team as the QB14 in fantasy points per game. He has two QB1 weeks this season (QB7, QB7). Among 41 qualifying passers, Rodgers ranks 23rd in passing yards per game, 13th in yards per attempt, and ninth in highly accurate throw rate and fantasy points per dropback. Pittsburgh’s game plan limits Rodgers’ fantasy success weekly, as they are 17th in neutral passing rate and have the 11th-slowest neutral pace. Rodgers is a mid-range QB2 with a tough matchup this week. Green Bay has limited passers to the lowest yards per attempt, the tenth-lowest success rate per dropback, and the 11th-lowest CPOE.
Caleb Williams is the QB13 in fantasy points per game, but his fantasy season is being propped up by two huge games in the opening three weeks of the season and some rushing production, which has fallen off as we moved through the season. He hasn’t rushed for more than 27 yards in a game since Week 1. Williams has three QB1 weekly finishes this season (QB9, QB1, QB10), but has finished as the QB20 or lower in his three other games (QB20, QB24, QB27). Among 41 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks 16th in yards per attempt, 35th in adjusted completion rate, 34th in highly accurate throw rate, and he has the third-highest off-target rate. Williams couldn’t take advantage of a plus matchup last week against the Saints. Before their bye, the Ravens held Matthew Stafford to 181 passing yards, 6.9 yards per attempt, and 0.6% CPOE. I know it’s a one-game sample, but if Baltimore has figured out some of their defensive struggles, Williams is in trouble. At best, he has another plus matchup this week, but as last week showed, I don’t know if he can take advantage of a plus matchup at this point.
Jaxson Dart…franchise changer. The aura farming rookie swag machine has been the QB4 in fantasy points per game since Week 4. The last time he faced this defense, he was the QB3 in fantasy for the week. After what we all witnessed last week against Denver (QB3 for the week), no one should be counting him out in any matchup. He has averaged 8.8 rushing attempts and 44.5 rushing yards per game with three scores on the ground. Since Week 4, among 38 qualifying passers, Dart ranks 28th in highly accurate throw rate, 14th in catchable target rate, 20th in hero throw rate, and fifth in fantasy points per dropback. He still has a lot of growth as a passer that needs to occur because during this stretch, he also has the sixth-highest turnover-worthy throw rate. Dart can excel again this week, but it won’t be an easy road to travel. Philly has allowed the tenth-fewest yards per attempt and the second-lowest adjusted completion rate while also ranking 17th in success rate per dropback and passing yards per game allowed.
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