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Fantasy Football Start’em, Sit’em: Matthew Stafford, Jaxson Dart, Caleb Williams

Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.

Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.

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Fantasy Football Start’em, Sit’em Lineup Advice

Matthew Stafford (LAR)

Matthew Stafford is playing some of the best football of his storied career as the QB10 in fantasy points per game. Among 45 qualifying passers, he ranks third in passing yards per game, first in passing touchdowns and hero throw rate, and 11th in yards per attempt. The Saints’ pass defense is playing better, but I’m not scared of this unit at all. Since Week 4, New Orleans is 16th in yards per attempt, 20th in success rate per dropback, and has allowed the eighth-highest CPOE. Stafford should flirt with strong QB1 production again this week.

Jaxson Dart (NYG)

Since Week 4, Jaxson Dart has been the QB6 in fantasy points per game. Over the last two weeks, his rushing production has dropped off with only 5.5 rushing attempts and 14 rushing yards per game after starting his NFL career with at least 54 rushing yards in each of his first three games. Dart has scored on the ground in four of five games. I don’t see his rushing touchdown equity going away, though. Among 45 qualifying passers, he ranks 28th in yards per attempt, 37th in highly accurate throw rate, ninth in hero throw rate, and 24th in catchable target rate. Dart should have another strong game in Week 9. The 49ers’ pass defense has been struggling. Since Week 4, they have allowed the sixth-most yards per attempt, the fourth-most passing yards per game, the ninth-highest passer rating, and the fifth-highest success rate per dropback. During that stretch, San Francisco also ranks dead last in pressure rate, so Dart should have time to deal from the pocket.

Caleb Williams (CHI)

Caleb Williams has finished as the QB20 or lower in weekly scoring in three of his past four games. He’s the QB14 in fantasy points per game. During that stretch, he hasn’t managed more than 25 rushing yards in any game. Among 45 qualifying passers, Williams is one of the most inaccurate quarterbacks in the league, ranking 15th in yards per attempt, 39th in highly accurate throw rate, 41st in catchable target rate, and having the fifth-highest off-target rate. If the Bears don’t continue winning, don’t be surprised if we see Tyson Bagent this season. Cincy should act as a one-week cologne to cover Caleb Williams‘ smelly play on the football field. Since Week 4, the Bengals have allowed the third-highest yards per attempt, the fifth-most passing yards per game, the most passing touchdowns, and the second-highest success rate per dropback.

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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.


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