Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
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Fantasy Football Start’em, Sit’em Lineup Advice
Since Week 5, Otton has been the TE14 in fantasy points per game with two TE1 weekly performances (TE11, TE6). He has been a decent bet for volume and borderline TE1 production when the matchup has been right. I don’t think that this is the week to stream Otton. Since Week 5, Otton has had 20.9% target share, 57.8 receiving yards per game, 1.99 yards per route run, and a 17.9% first-read share. During this six-game stretch, he has only one red zone target and zero deep targets or touchdowns. His chances of scoring a touchdown aren’t great weekly, as he isn’t getting the high-leverage usage to increase those odds. The Rams are 15th in receiving yards per game and schedule-adjusted fantasy points per game allowed to tight ends. They have also yielded the third-fewest yards per reception, so don’t expect Otton to be efficient with his volume this week.
Since Week 4, Theo Johnson has been the TE13 in fantasy points per game with an 18.6% target share, 37.6 receiving yards per game, 1.36 yards per route run, and a 22.2% first-read share. In those eight games, he has seven red zone targets, two deep targets, and five touchdowns. Johnson has four TE1 weekly finishes this season. Johnson is a middling streaming option at tight end this season. If he scores a touchdown, he likely flirts with low-end TE1 production, but if he doesn’t, he’ll be a locked-in TE2. Detroit has allowed the 13th-fewest receiving yards per game and the 15th-fewest schedule-adjusted fantasy points per game to tight ends.
Mark Andrews has been boom or bust this season, but he’s currently riding a hot streak with three consecutive TE1 weekly finishes (TE5, TE9, TE5). Across his last three games, he has four touchdowns, which have helped immensely as he hasn’t had more than 32 receiving yards in any of these games. Andrews leads the team with nine red zone targets. He has a 16.4% target share with 27.6 receiving yards per game, 1.43 yards per route run, and a 21.7% first-read share. Andrews will need a touchdown to pay off again this week, but he might get it. The Jets have allowed the tenth-fewest receiving yards per game and the eighth-lowest yards per reception to tight ends, but they have also surrendered the third-most receiving touchdowns per game.
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.
