Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
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Fantasy Football Start’em, Sit’em Lineup Advice
Nick Chubb will split the work with Woody Marks again this week. Since Week 7, he has averaged 12 touches and 38 total yards with a 26.7% snap rate. Chubb has only a 7% missed tackle rate and 2.14 yards after contact per attempt this season. He’s a low-end touchdown-dependent flex play this week. Since Week 5, Jacksonville has allowed the eighth-fewest rushing yards per game, the sixth-lowest yards after contact per attempt, and the eighth-lowest explosive run rate.
Rhamondre Stevenson has been ruled out for Week 10. TreVeyon Henderson will lead the backfield again this week. Last week, Henderson led the backfield as the RB15 for the week. He had a 75% snap rate, 18 touches, 87 total yards, a 67.5% route share, and a 17.2% target share. Terrell Jennings out-carried him in the red zone three vs. two. Henderson remains one of the most inefficient runners in the NFL with a 6% missed tackle rate and 1.69 yards after contact per attempt. Last week, it was much of the same, even with an expanded role, as he didn’t have a single missed tackle and only 1.71 yards after contact per attempt. Since Week 5, Tampa Bay has continued to field a strong run defense, allowing the 12th-fewest rushing yards per game, the fourth-lowest yards after contact per attempt, and logging the ninth-highest stuff rate. Henderson is a volume-based RB2.
I know Colston Loveland smashed last week, but Cole Kmet is back this week. Kmet will cut into Loveland’s snaps and routes this week. The question is how much. In the last game that Kmet was healthy (Week 6), Kmet had a 30.3% route share, which was behind Colston Loveland (39.4%). Loveland could lead the way in routes and snaps this week, but Kmet will be involved. This feels like a yesteryear Dalton Kincaid and Dawson Knox situation. New York has utilized single high at the sixth-highest rate (59.1%). Against single high, Loveland is third on the team with a 21% target per route run rate and 1.68 yards per route run. Loveland has four red zone targets and two deep targets this season. Loveland is a decent streaming option this week, but he carries a sizable risk, and the matchup isn’t amazing. New York has allowed the 15th-fewest schedule-adjusted fantasy points per game and the 13th-fewest receiving yards per game to tight ends.
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.
