Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
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Fantasy Football Start’em, Sit’em Lineup Advice
Last week, Nix put on a clinic against a talented Green Bay pass defense as the QB2 for the week with 302 passing yards, four passing touchdowns, 8.9 yards per attempt, and a 67.6% completion rate. Overall, among 44 qualifying passers, Nix ranks 14th in passing yards per game, 20th in highly accurate throw rate, 15th in hero throw rate, and 19th in fantasy points per dropback. Nix needs to answer the call again this week against a strong pass defense. Since Week 11, Jacksonville has allowed the second-fewest yards per attempt, the sixth-fewest passing yards per game, the third-lowest passer rating, and the fifth-lowest success rate per dropback. Nix may overcome the tough matchup again, but we have also seen him struggle plenty of times this season against strong pass defense, so it’s a coin flip.
Since Week 4, the only quarterback with more fantasy points per game than Jaxson Dart is Josh Allen. Since Week 4, among 41 qualifying quarterbacks, Dart has ranked 27th in yards per attempt, 23rd in highly accurate throw rate, 18th in catchable target rate, and third in hero throw rate. Since Week 4, he has averaged 7.6 rushing attempts and 44.4 rushing yards with seven rushing scores. Dart will need all of the rushing equity he can muster against a strong Vikings’ pass defense. Since Week 11, Minnesota hasn’t allowed a passing touchdown while also giving up the fourth-fewest passing yards per game, the fifth-fewest yards per attempt, and the 12th-lowest success rate per dropback.
Since Week 5, in CJ Stroud’s seven starts, he has three QB1 finishes in weekly scoring (QB1, QB11, QB8). Since Week 5, among 41 qualifying quarterbacks, Stroud has ranked 17th in yards per attempt, 16th in passing yards per game, 33rd in highly accurate throw rate, and 35th in catchable target rate. Stroud could post another QB1 performance in Week 16. Since Week 11, the Raiders’ pass defense has fallen apart, giving up the sixth-most yards per attempt, the fourth-most passing touchdowns, the second-highest CPOE, and the second-highest success rate per dropback.
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If you want to dive deeper into fantasy football, check out our award-winning slate of Fantasy Football Tools as you navigate your season. From our Start/Sit Assistant – which provides your optimal lineup based on accurate consensus projections – to our Waiver Wire Assistant, which allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and how much – we’ve got you covered this fantasy football season.