NFL Divisional Playoffs Predictions (Bills vs. Broncos)

While the fantasy football season is in the rearview, there is plenty of real NFL football remaining. BettingPros will have you covered through the NFL Playoffs with game picks, player props predictions, and more! Here are our top NFL picks and predictions for the NFL Divisional Playoffs: Bills vs. Broncos.

NFL Divisional Playoffs Picks & Predictions: Bills vs. Broncos

Here are a few of our top picks from Andrew Erickson’s Betting Primer.

NFL Divisional Playoffs Picks

According to Next Gen Stats: Josh Allen now has eight career playoff wins as a starting quarterback, the most by a QB without a Super Bowl appearance in NFL history.

Allen’s only playoff losses have come at the hands of Deshaun Watson, Patrick Mahomes, and Joe Burrow; i.e., when Allen is the better QB in a playoff game (hands down), he wins.

Sean McDermott now has eight career playoff wins as a head coach, the most by a head coach without a Super Bowl appearance in NFL history.

The Bills finally won a road playoff game in the Wild Card Round, and they did so in somewhat unconventional fashion.

Running back James Cook was held in check (rushed for 46 yards on 15 carries). Entering this game, Buffalo boasted just a 3-5 record (SU and ATS) when they were held to fewer than 150 rushing yards and were 9-0 when they surpass 150-plus rushing yards.

The Bills’ defense STILL couldn’t stop the run. The Jaguars rushed for 154 yards in their Wild Card loss to the Bills, with 119 of those yards coming on outside runs (Next Gen Stats).

It was the offense’s highest total on outside runs this season, while posting a 57.1% success rate, their 2nd-highest mark of the season. Travis Etienne Jr. carried the ball outside six times for 47 yards, while Bhayshul Tuten added 37 yards on three outside rushes.

Anybody backing the Jags last week (including me) acknowledged the challenge of facing Josh Allen. He put the Superman cape on and willed his way to a victory for Buffalo with two rushing TDs despite getting banged up throughout the contest.

Once the sharp money made the Jags favored before kickoff, I felt a massive pit in my stomach.

The Bills are 3-0 ATS as an underdog this season. An elite QB as an underdog in the postseason. Trust the process.

Even if Buffalo doesn’t officially “close” as an underdog…they definitely “feel” like the underdog in this spot. On the road, nobody believes in us, etc.

Erickson’s Pick: Bills Moneyline (Lean game total under 46)

Check out the full Betting Primer for Bills vs. Broncos

NFL Divisional Playoffs Player Props & Bets

Pat Fitzmaurice shares one of his favorite NFL player props for this week’s game.

Josh Allen Over 37.5 Rushing Yards

If the Bills are going to knock off the top-seeded Broncos in Denver, it’s going to take a herculean effort from All-World quarterback Josh Allen.

The Broncos have a smothering pass defense, and the Bills are weak at wide receiver. It’s hard to see Allen lighting up the Denver defense for 300+ passing yards. It’s also hard to envision Bills ball-carrier James Cook having a big game against a Broncos defense that has allowed the second-fewest rushing yards to running backs.

With those offensive headwinds blowing against the Bills, expect Allen to run aggressively.

Traditionally, Allen has been much more inclined to take off and run during the playoffs than he is during the regular season. Allen averaged 6.6 rushing attempts and 34.1 rushing yards a game during the regular season. Over his eight-year career, he’s averaged 6.8 rushing attempts and 36.9 rushing yards per game. But in 14 career playoff games, Allen has averaged 8.8 rushing attempts and 50.1 rushing yards per game.

This is a high bar to clear, but I think Allen is going to run aggressively in Denver this Saturday and top this number.

And check out all of Fitz’s NFL player props for Bills vs. Broncos

Here are even more of our favorite NFL player props via our NFL Prop Bet Cheat Sheet.