3 Overvalued Rookies to Avoid (2026 Fantasy Football)

While NFL free agency hasn’t happened yet and we’re still two months away from the 2026 NFL Draft, it’s still a good time to look ahead to the incoming rookie class to identify fantasy football value.

Right now, we don’t have much to go on besides talent evaluation and potential fits in the NFL. Of course, a lot can change between now and when players are drafted. We still have the NFL Scouting Combine to see how players test, if any injuries pop up and where these players ultimately get drafted and when.

Using our expert consensus dynasty rookie rankings, I’ve identified three dynasty rookies who are a bit overvalued right now, with all of those caveats above in mind.

Overvalued Dynasty Rookies | Fantasy Football

KC Concepcion (WR – Texas A&M) | Rookie Ranking: WR5

KC Concepcion is ranked sixth overall (WR5). He has game-breaking speed, but one aspect of his game that could be a death knell in the NFL is drops, and lots of them.

Across three seasons, including two at North Carolina State and one at Texas A&M, Concepcion dropped 19 passes, including seven in each of the last two seasons. I’ll be watching his combine performance and which team drafts him, but the drops are worrisome.

Kenyon Sadiq (TE – Oregon) | Rookie Ranking: TE1

Kenyon Sadiq is an interesting prospect in that I believe he has the measurables and playing style to succeed at the next level, but some things stand out.

Last year was his third season of college football. Over his first two, he saw just 34 targets. Then, last year, he was targeted 67 times. Yes, that led the team, and Oregon had a plethora of running backs, but I suppose I thought going into the season, he’d have more production.

To play devil’s advocate against my own point, though, we’ve seen several Iowa Hawkeyes tight ends come into the NFL and play well despite their production. While not the end-all, be-all, it’s still worth noting.

Sadiq recorded 560 yards, including 51 across two College Football Playoff games. Not counting those yards, he caught 42 passes (with six drops) for just 509 yards.

The Oregon prospect may be a bit more somewhere between ready to take meaningful snaps and a project. I think he’ll be productive at some point in his NFL career, but it may take some time.

Kaytron Allen (RB – Penn State) | Rookie Ranking: RB5

Kaytron Allen has great size at 5-foot-11 and around 220 pounds. H is a great runner and doesn’t fumble, but I’m not so sure if he’ll be a three-down back at the NFL level. Of course, we see it in today’s NFL, where there are more committees than ever, but removing a possible down from his snaps could be somewhat limiting for fantasy.

Landing spot and draft capital will be huge factors for his fantasy value. Does he end up getting a chance to make an impact like Cam Skattebo, or does he barely see the field like Kaleb Johnson? Those are certainly things to think of.