Staying on top of the high-stakes average draft position (ADP) market is a great way to monitor player value as you get closer to your fantasy baseball draft.
We’re going to highlight three risers and three fallers in National Fantasy Baseball Championship (NFBC) Main Event leagues. These are some of the most competitive high-stakes leagues available, so it’s useful to look at.
Let’s find out who’s rising and falling as we get closer to the season.
- Fantasy Baseball Draft Rankings
- Fantasy Baseball Research & Advice
- Fantasy Baseball Average Draft Position (ADP)
- 2026 Fantasy Baseball Draft Kit
Fantasy Baseball Risers
Mick Abel (SP – MIN)
Mick Abel has been one of my favorite sleepers to target throughout draft season. After all, he was the jewel of the Jhoan Duran trade: A young pitcher with nothing left to prove in the minor leagues. After a strong spring that saw Abel put up a 2.00 ERA and 30.3% strikeout rate in 18 innings, his draft stock has soared.
The Twins announced that Abel won a spot in the starting rotation over Zebby Matthews. If you want Abel now, you have to pay up. At one point, you could get him as cheap as pick 599, but now he goes in the top 250.
Brandon Sproat (SP – MIL)
Brandon Sproat came over to the Brewers in the Freddy Peralta trade. He is a young pitcher with a prospect pedigree. The issue was that it was hard to see a path to make an immediate impact, since the Brewers have a lot of pitching depth.
But with Quinn Priester injured and Logan Henderson sent down, Sproat has made the Opening Day roster. You could have gotten him past pick 550 before, but now you need to use a top-300 pick to draft the former Mets prospect.
Didier Fuentes (SP – ATL)
Didier Fuentes is one of the fastest risers in high-stakes drafts. After a dominant spring where he put up 17 strikeouts in nine innings, Fuentes made the Braves. The issue is that he’ll come out of the bullpen, but it’s likely only a matter of time before he takes the last spot.
With Spencer Schwellenbach sidelined long-term, the Braves desperately need some upside, so giving Fuentes a chance makes a lot of sense. At one point, you could have had Fuentes past pick 600, but you now need to take him in the top 350.
Fantasy Baseball Fallers
Bailey Ober (SP – MIN)
Bailey Ober was viewed by many (including me) as a potential bounce-back, but he’s showing poor velocity in spring training, which has fantasy baseball players concerned.
This has caused Ober’s fantasy baseball ADP to fall from the top 300 to outside of the top 450. It just doesn’t make sense to target him right now, especially after we saw what happens when his fastball loses some velocity. Let one of your leaguemates draft Ober, or leave him on the waiver wire.
Jordan Walker (OF – STL)
Jordan Walker came into spring with some hype, as he’s still only 23 years old and set to play for a rebuilding Cardinals team. It was also encouraging to hear that Walker went to Driveline this offseason.
That news bumped him to a top-300 pick, but he’s now outside of the top 450. It’s been a poor spring for Walker, as he’s slashing .175/.233/.175. Don’t be surprised if he’s sent back to the minors with a slow start.
Dylan Beavers (OF – BAL)
Dylan Beavers is an intriguing young player for the Orioles, but they have a logjam in their lineup, with Tyler O’Neill potentially taking away at-bats.
What was once a top-300 pick, Beavers routinely drops outside of the top 400 now. Beavers is batting .212 in spring, so it wouldn’t be a surprise to see the O’s slowplay him. For now, he’s not worth drafting, but you can leave him on your watch list.
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