Fantasy Articles and Advice

Articles by Category: sabermetrics
Positive & Negative Regression Candidates (Fantasy Baseball)
By Jim Melichar on June, 5th 2018

Wow, it’s June already and now we’re into the part of the season where you’ll need to identify short-term trends in under and over-performance in order to reap the arbitrage available to you via trade or roster position rotations. I’m … read more »

Positive Regression Candidates? (Fantasy Baseball)
By Jim Melichar on May, 31st 2018

Regression candidates can be broken into a few categories these days. For hitters, we don’t strictly think about “BABIP regression” anymore, but instead, consider the entire batted ball profile. How likely is this player to continue their current flyball/groundball/liner mix? … read more »

4 Burning Questions – Fantasy Baseball
By Max Freeze on May, 16th 2018

Before the start of the season, if you predicted that on May 15 Mookie Betts and Ozzie Albies would be leading the league in home runs, you should have played the lottery instead of predicting home run leaders. I’ve been … read more »

Positive & Negative Regression Candidates (Fantasy Baseball)
By Jim Melichar on May, 15th 2018

It’s mid-May now, and while we’re starting to see some of the small sample size variation melt away in player’s early season stats, we still have to assess if what we’ve got now is representative of what we expect the … read more »

Positive & Negative Regression Candidates (Fantasy Baseball)
By Jim Melichar on May, 8th 2018

The regression train has its peaks and valleys all season and no player is safe from watching their ground ball, home run to flyball ratio or batted ball mix excursions derail and leave their fantasy team hurting. Let’s tackle a … read more »

May Regression Report (Fantasy Baseball)
By Jim Melichar on May, 2nd 2018

We’ve now got a month’s worth of baseball in the books and while some of the statistics begin to stabilize in May you still need to remember that there is variance around every single player and every metric by which … read more »

Positive & Negative Regression Candidates (Fantasy Baseball)
By Jim Melichar on April, 23rd 2018

Regression articles are always a fun topic to cover early in the season, but they tend to border on the obvious with certain players off to blazing hot starts that can’t be expected to continue – apologies to Jed Lowrie. … read more »

Positive & Negative Regression Candidates (Fantasy Baseball)
By Jim Melichar on April, 16th 2018

In the early going it can be tough to separate small sample size outcomes from real change. It’s even more difficult to tackle the idea of regression, both positively and negatively, if you’re unsure of how to measure the uncertainty … read more »

Regression Report: Looking Ahead to 2018
By Tom Whalen on August, 29th 2017

On this season’s final Regression Report, let’s take a step back from the hubbub of your fantasy pennant race and look forward to 2018 drafts. These five players all have current-season results that appear notably out of character with their … read more »

Regression Report: Jameson Taillon, Jhoulys Chacin, Patrick Corbin
By Tom Whalen on August, 15th 2017

As we did on last week’s Regression Report, let’s highlight some fantasy-relevant players who have recently seen their ownership decline, this time from the pitching side of the proverbial diamond. Are these sustainable trends that have caused their ownership to … read more »