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Brett Talley

Fantasy Alarm

Start/Sit Week 11
Thu, Nov 16
Start/Sit Week 11
Give us a player (non tight end) outside of our top 100 Flex that represents a deep sleeper start and tell us why you think he has upside this week.
Jarvis Landry, Devante Parker and Kenny Stills, who is outside the top 100 Flex, were viable fantasy options last week against Carolina with each reaching double-digit fantasy points in PPR scoring. Last week they were all viable thanks to volume as Miami threw it 37 times playing catch up in an eventual 45-21 loss. This week they can all be viable thanks to efficiency in a much better matchup against the Buccaneers. who rank 28th in Football Outsider's pass defense DVOA compared to ninth for Carolina. Stills has sneakily been consistent lately with at least 65 yards or a touchdown in four of his last five games.

On the flip side, what player inside the top 40 Flex is likely to disappoint fantasy owners this week?
It's time to give up on Doug Martin. Dating back to last season, in his last 237 carries he's averaging 3.06 yards per carry. Volume is about the only reason to consider Martin at this point given he has at least 18 carries in three of his last four games, but he runs the risk of not getting his touches if Tampa falls behind. He has just five receptions in six games, so if Tampa, who is a road underdog this week, gets behind in the game by any significant margin, Martin won't see the field much later in the game. Perhaps you could argue the matchup is good against a bad Miami defense, but they're worse against the pass than they are against the run.

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