Against the Spread: Super Bowl Picks
Thu, Feb 1
Against the Spread: Super Bowl Picks
Game: Philadelphia Eagles at New England Patriots (-4.5)
Pick: New England Patriots (-4.5)
I'll sell high on the Eagles, buy the Pats coming off a near loss and fade the public, who's heavily on Philly. The Eagles struggled this year against hurry up offenses, and let's not overthink this: it's Brady/Belichick versus Nick Foles. I'll say Patriots 27-20, but I wouldn't be surprised if this turns into a full blowout.

Game: Will the combined score be over or under 48 points?
Pick: Under

Game: What will the total combined points be at the end of the game?
Pick: 47

Against the Spread: Conference Round Picks
Thu, Jan 18
Against the Spread: Conference Round Picks
Game: Jacksonville Jaguars at New England Patriots (-9)
Pick: New England Patriots (-9)
This was tough for me, as a close game wouldn't surprise, but ultimately I'm taking the easy route and backing Bill Belichick versus Blake Bortles.

Game: Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles (+3)
Pick: Minnesota Vikings (-3)
Once again I'm going against the sharp side here and hopefully the result will work out better than it did last week in Philly. The Vikings defense is the difference in what should be a low scoring affair, with Minnesota earning the right to play the Super Bowl in its home stadium.

Which game pick are you most confident with?
Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles (+3)

Against the Spread: Divisional Round Picks
Thu, Jan 11
Against the Spread: Divisional Round Picks
Game: Atlanta Falcons at Philadelphia Eagles (+3)
Pick: Atlanta Falcons (-3)
This is surely the square side, but I'm not overthinking it and taking a Falcons team entering playing well on defense. There's a reason this is the first time a No. 1 seed has been an underdog to the No. 6, and his name is Nick Foles.

Game: Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots (-13.5)
Pick: New England Patriots (-13.5)
Few paths to a conference final game have been easier. The Patriots can name their margin of victory here.

Game: Jacksonville Jaguars at Pittsburgh Steelers (-7)
Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers (-7)
An outright upset wouldn't surprise here, but I still worry Blake Bortles ends the Jags season in ugly fashion.

Game: New Orleans Saints at Minnesota Vikings (-4.5)
Pick: New Orleans Saints (+4.5)
This was a toss up for me, with the winner the clear favorite to make the Super Bowl. I'll take the points.

Which game pick are you most confident with?
Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots (-13.5)

Against the Spread: Wild Card Picks
Thu, Jan 4
Against the Spread: Wild Card Picks
Game: Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs (-8)
Pick: Kansas City Chiefs (-8)
The Chiefs are tough at home, and the Titans were outscored this year.

Game: Atlanta Falcons at Los Angeles Rams (-5)
Pick: Atlanta Falcons (+5)
The Rams are legit, but Atlanta has the talent to make another deep run. This game should be close.

Game: Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars (-8.5)
Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars (-8.5)
The Bills would be long shots even with a healthy LeSean McCoy.

Game: Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (-6)
Pick: New Orleans Saints (-6)
The Panthers' passing attack is a major problem for Carolina in this matchup.

Which game pick are you most confident with?
Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (-6)

Start/Sit Week 15
Wed, Dec 13
Start/Sit Week 15
Give us a player (non tight end) outside of our top 100 Flex that represents a deep sleeper start and tell us why you think he has upside this week.
Keelan Cole is boom-or-bust as a No. 3 receiver on a run-first team, but the deep threat often makes the most of his modest targets. The rookie has scored in each of the past two games and sports a 16.8 YPC mark on the year. Moreover, Houston has allowed 8.0 YPA (the second-highest in the league) and can be beat deep, making Cole a deep sleeper with nice upside.

On the flip side, what player inside the top 40 Flex is likely to disappoint fantasy owners this week?
A.J. Green is averaging 73.1 ypg, which is the lowest since his rookie season. He'll be shadowed by Xavier Rhodes this week, and the struggling Bengals offensive line will have its hands full in Minnesota. Green's underwhelming season is about to get worse, and then he gets Darius Slay in Week 16.

Start/Sit Week 11
Thu, Nov 16
Start/Sit Week 11
Give us a player (non tight end) outside of our top 100 Flex that represents a deep sleeper start and tell us why you think he has upside this week.
Bruce Ellington has seen eight targets in each of the past two games and scored last week. He's looking at an even bigger opportunity Sunday with Will Fuller out, Patrick Peterson mostly shadowing DeAndre Hopkins and Arizona possessing a strong run D. The setup is there for Ellington to see double-digit targets this week.

On the flip side, what player inside the top 40 Flex is likely to disappoint fantasy owners this week?
Even as a flex, it's hard to trust Doug Martin right now. Miami has the No. 31 ranked defensive DVOA, so the matchup is right, but Martin has gotten just 3.3 YPC on the year, including an anemic 1.9 against base fronts. He has five catches total on the season and hasn't scored in more than a month. The Over/Under for this game is just 40 points. Martin will disappoint yet again in Week 11.

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