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Doug Anderson

Fantrax

Featured Pros: Breakout Candidates
Thu, Jun 7
Featured Pros: Breakout Candidates
What RB has the best shot of having a breakout year in 2018?
Joe Mixon seems like he could have a huge season. Mixon averaged just 3.5 yards per carry in a disappointing rookie campaign, but did so behind a putrid offensive line. The blocking has improved this offseason, as the Bengals traded for tackle Cordy Glenn and then spent a first-round pick on center Billy Price.

What WR has the best shot of having a breakout year in 2018?
The Chargers' Mike Williams has become a forgotten man. He received hype last season, but barely played because of an injury. People seem to have forgotten that he was the seventh-overall pick in the 2017 NFL Draft. The talented Williams is now healthy, and he'll have a great opportunity to thrive in the wake of Hunter Henry's injury.

What TE has the best shot of having a breakout year in 2018?
George Kittle showed great rapport with Jimmy Garoppolo at the end of this past season. He accumulated 194 receiving yards in the final three games of the season, despite the fact that he and Garoppolo didn't have much of a chance to practice together. That won't be the case heading into 2018, as Kittle should thrive in his second year.

Against the Spread: Super Bowl Picks
Fri, Feb 2
Against the Spread: Super Bowl Picks
Game: Philadelphia Eagles at New England Patriots (-4.5)
Pick: New England Patriots (-4.5)
This spread would have been -6.5 or -7 prior to the championship games. This is too much of an overreaction to one pair of games. Also, this is the greatest quarterbacking disparity we've seen in the Super Bowl since Peyton Manning vs. Rex Grossman - and we all know how that turned out.

Game: Will the combined score be over or under 48 points?
Pick: Over

Game: What will the total combined points be at the end of the game?
Pick: 54

Against the Spread: Conference Round Picks
Fri, Jan 19
Against the Spread: Conference Round Picks
Game: Jacksonville Jaguars at New England Patriots (-9)
Pick: New England Patriots (-9)
Tom Brady versus Blake Bortles. The Jaguars should be underdogs of closer to what Tennessee was, considering those teams are close to equal (most of their results versus common opponents were similar).

Game: Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles (+3)
Pick: Minnesota Vikings (-3)
This spread is 3-4 points too short. The Eagles were +3 versus Atlanta, and yet the Vikings are 3-4 points better than the Falcons (they won in Atlanta).

Which game pick are you most confident with?
Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles (+3)

Against the Spread: Wild Card Picks
Fri, Jan 5
Against the Spread: Wild Card Picks
Game: Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs (-8)
Pick: Tennessee Titans (+8)
The Chiefs have a poor defense - 32nd in run defense DVOA, poor secondary - so if the Titans need a back-door cover, they should get it.

Game: Atlanta Falcons at Los Angeles Rams (-5)
Pick: Atlanta Falcons (+5)
First-time starting quarterbacks in the playoffs are 11-26 against the spread in the past 15 years. I don't fully trust Jared Goff, especially with Sean McVay making his pre-snap reads for him.

Game: Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars (-8.5)
Pick: Buffalo Bills (+8.5)
The Jaguars are great, why, because they had three home consecutive wins against the Colts, Texans and a Seahawk team missing four of the top five players in their back seven? Blake Bortles should not be favored by this much over a competent opponent.

Game: Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (-6)
Pick: New Orleans Saints (-6)
The Saints own the Panthers, as Drew Brees eats up Carolina's zone defense. If Trai Turner can't suit up, the Panthers will have trouble protecting Cam Newton.

Which game pick are you most confident with?
Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (-6)

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