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Jon Collins

Fantasy Sports LR
Featured Pros: Early Fantasy Football Sleepers
Thu, May 31
Featured Pros: Early Fantasy Football Sleepers
What running back outside the top 50, is your top sleeper candidate?
Marlon Mack enters camp in position to lead the Colts' backfield with fifth round running back Jordan Wilkins an afterthought buried on the depth chart. But, there is opportunity in Indy with Frank Gore out of town and the Ole Miss product ran well last year and profiles as a strong pass protector and special teams contributor. That should be enough to earn him the attention of his coaches, and opportunities throughout the season. There is no clear cut lead horse here, and Wilkins strikes as a player who could take advantage of opportunity.

What wide receiver outside the top 60, is your top sleeper candidate?
Donte Moncrief intrigues me as a post-hype sleeper. 2015 feels like a lifetime ago, but in that year Allen Robinson and Allen Hurns combined for 2400 receiving yards in Jacksonville and Blake Bortles made significant strides last year. The team has committed to him at QB and put big-time money in Moncrief's pocket. He has the build and the skill set to make an impact and the change of scenery can't hurt after failing to live up to promise amid overall offensive issues in Indianapolis.

What tight end outside the top 20, is your top sleeper candidate?
Luke Willson has a legitimate shot to start in Detroit, which would lead to a major increase in opportunity. The former Seahawk played just 35.4% of the team's offensive snaps last year but has shown an ability to make plays when given the chance. Last year the Lions threw 86 balls in Eric Ebron's direction while he lost some snaps and opportunities to Darren Fells - if Willson does indeed earn starter's status he could easily provide value on his draft day cost / TE27 ranking.

Against the Spread: Super Bowl Picks
Thu, Feb 1
Against the Spread: Super Bowl Picks
Game: Philadelphia Eagles at New England Patriots (-4.5)
Pick: New England Patriots (-4.5)
I believe in the Eagles' ability to generate a consistent pass rush through all four quarters. I just believe in experience and the Patriots' ability to find a way more.

Game: Will the combined score be over or under 48 points?
Pick: Under

Game: What will the total combined points be at the end of the game?
Pick: 45

Against the Spread: Conference Round Picks
Thu, Jan 18
Against the Spread: Conference Round Picks
Game: Jacksonville Jaguars at New England Patriots (-9)
Pick: New England Patriots (-9)
The Jaguars built an early lead against a Steelers' team looking past them, and by the time the Steelers woke up it was too late. Credit Jacksonville for executing in all phases, but we'd be foolish to expect New England to look as ill-prepared.

Game: Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles (+3)
Pick: Minnesota Vikings (-3)

Which game pick are you most confident with?
Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles (+3)

Against the Spread: Divisional Round Picks
Thu, Jan 11
Against the Spread: Divisional Round Picks
Game: Atlanta Falcons at Philadelphia Eagles (+3)
Pick: Philadelphia Eagles (+3)
After watching Nick Foles struggle to close the season, the public is understandably concerned about Philadelphia's prospects this week... but, the Eagles weren't taking themselves too seriously to close the season either. I'd expect a well-rested club to employ a gameplan that caters to the team's strengths and keep this very close, if not win outright.

Game: Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots (-13.5)
Pick: Tennessee Titans (+13.5)

Game: Jacksonville Jaguars at Pittsburgh Steelers (-7)
Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars (+7)

Game: New Orleans Saints at Minnesota Vikings (-4.5)
Pick: New Orleans Saints (+4.5)

Which game pick are you most confident with?
Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots (-13.5)

Against the Spread: Wild Card Picks
Thu, Jan 4
Against the Spread: Wild Card Picks
Game: Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs (-8)
Pick: Kansas City Chiefs (-8)
The Titans are limping in and the streaky Chiefs are riding hot. Those trends will continue.

Game: Atlanta Falcons at Los Angeles Rams (-5)
Pick: Los Angeles Rams (-5)

Game: Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars (-8.5)
Pick: Buffalo Bills (+8.5)
I don't like the Bills' chances on the road with a hobbled or sidelined Shady (to go with an already hobbled and sidelined receiving corps), but this Jaguars team doesn't look capable of a (near) double digit win against any opponent. As long as they stay out of their own way, they should advance, but I'm expecting a close game.

Game: Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (-6)
Pick: New Orleans Saints (-6)
The Saints have won both games against Carolina by more than 10 points, and the Panthers will need a sterling performance from Cam Newton to change that in round 3. Don't count on it.

Which game pick are you most confident with?
Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars (-8.5)

Waiver Wire Rankings Week 17
Tue, Dec 26
Waiver Wire Rankings Week 17
Give us your thoughts on a waiver wire target (or two) you especially like as a pickup.
I was happy to see Corey Davis involved in the Tennessee offense this week, but season-long gamers won't have much use for him against the Jags this week. Instead, I'm turning my attention to Tion Green in Detroit. Ameer Abdullah hasn't been able to stay healthy and certainly hasn't developed into the feature back that the Lions hoped he could be. Meantime, Green looked sharp this week against Cincinnati and scored his second TD in four weeks since joining the active roster. Expect the Lions to take a longer look at him this week with nothing left to play for, against a Packers' D that has given up 7 rushing TDs to RBs this season and the 12th most points on the year to the position.

For owners renting a D/ST in Week 17, what readily available option (under 40%) should they target and why?
We've been watching the Giants lay eggs all season and after a promising week on offense against the Eagles, they did so again in Arizona this week. In Week 17 Eli Manning is set to start, but will likely cede to Geno Smith and/or Davis Webb at some point during the game. Count on Washington to hold the offense with limited playmaking ability in check either way.

Waiver Wire Rankings Week 14
Mon, Dec 4
Waiver Wire Rankings Week 14
How much are you willing to spend (FAAB %) on your favorite waiver wire target (or two) and why do like you him?
At this stage of the game, I'd spend my full remaining FAAB% to get my hands on Mike Davis in Seattle. The offense has been striving to find balance all season and they haven't been able to do it with any combination of Lacy, Rawls and McKissic. Davis was banged up in Week 12 but found his way back to the lineup and sits atop the pecking order in the Seattle backfield. You won't love the matchup in Week 14 but if you're looking for help at RB Davis is the play and could be a helpful tool for the fantasy playoffs.

For owners renting a D/ST in Week 14, what readily available option (under 40%) should they target and why?
The Browns continue to be the NFL's low-hanging fruit and while Josh Gordon showed his presence bolsters their receiving corps it didn't stop Deshone Kizer from making mistakes. He's been picked off in every game but two this season and is a good bet for more against the Green Bay Packers in Week 14.

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