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Who Should I Draft?

Aaron Judge or Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Aaron Judge
RF - NYY
Aaron Judge
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Expert
Recommendation
67%
Recommended by
35 of 52 experts
33%
Recommended by
17 of 52 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 33# 42
Best Rank# 2# 19
Worst Rank# 118# 73
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 41# 64
Best Rank# 40# 45
Worst Rank# 60# 78
   
Projections 
   
Runs3427
Home Runs138
RBI3032
Stolen Bases21
Batting Average.272.293
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 34# 51
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 28# 38
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 50# 73
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 28# 46
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 19# 59
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 30# 54
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 2# 20
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 43# 62
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 18# 43
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 45# 60
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 27# 51
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 17# 61
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 42# 44
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 18# 36
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 40# 47
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 19# 45
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 31# 46
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 24# 33
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 33# 70
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 34
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 19# 45
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 23# 35
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 23# 49
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 50# 53
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 63
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 42# 50
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 29# 37
   
M. Starks Powell
New Life Fantasy
# 22# 29
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 22# 40
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 29# 50
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 27# 35
   
George Kurtz
SportsGrid
# 17# 51
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 42# 62
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 26# 40
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 42# 49
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 35# 31
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 39# 35
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 43# 38
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 43# 35
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 44# 43
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 45# 30
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 47# 39
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 53# 41
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 53# 51
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 56# 52
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 58# 36
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 60# 30
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 62# 27
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 67# 53
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 76# 60
   
Site Rankings
Sports Illustrated
# 89# 42
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 118# 19
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Aaron Judge
RF - NYY
Aaron Judge
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats378464
   
Runs7552
   
Hits103126
   
Singles5783
   
Doubles1826
   
Triples12
   
Home Runs2715
   
RBI5569
   
Stolen Bases30
   
Caught Stealing21
   
Walks6446
   
Strikeouts14191
   
Batting Average.273.272
   
On Base Pct.381.339
   
Slugging Pct.540.433
   
On-base Plus Slugging.921.772
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Aaron Judge
RF - NYY
Aaron Judge
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats175196
   
Runs3427
   
Hits4758
   
Singles2636
   
Doubles812
   
Triples01
   
Home Runs138
   
RBI3032
   
Stolen Bases21
   
Caught Stealing10
   
Walks3220
   
Strikeouts6636
   
Batting Average.272.293
   
On Base Pct.384.358
   
Slugging Pct.531.485
   
On-base Plus Slugging.915.843
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Aaron Judge
RF - NYY
Aaron Judge
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
News 
 Aaron Judge went 1-for-3 with a home run and one walk during Friday's 2-1 win in Game 5 of the ALDS. The Yankees lost the series to the Rays 3-2.
Brad Camara
Sat, Oct 10th
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 3-for-4 with a home run and two runs scored in Thursday's win over the Yankees.
Andy Zimmerman
Fri, Sep 25th
 Aaron Judge went 1-for-5 with a solo home run in Monday's 9-3 Game 1 win over the Rays.
Brad Camara
Tue, Oct 6th
Vladimir Guerrero went 2-for-5 with three RBI and a run scored in Wednesday's 14-1 rout of the Yankees.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 24th
 Aaron Judge hit a two-run homer in the Yankees' Game 1 victory over the Indians on Tuesday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 30th
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 3-for-3 with three RBI and a walk during Monday night's victory over the Yankees.
Andy Zimmerman
Tue, Sep 22nd
 Aaron Judge went 2-for-4 with an RBI single and a run scored in Friday‚Äôs extra-inning loss to the Marlins by a 4-3 score.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 26th
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is absent from Saturday's lineup against the Phillies.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 19th
 Aaron Judge went 3-for-5 with three runs scored and one RBI during Tuesday's 12-1 win over the Blue Jays.
John Aubin
Wed, Sep 23rd
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 3-for-5 with a homer, a double and two runs scored in Tuesday's loss to the Yankees.
Andy Zimmerman
Wed, Sep 16th
Notes 
 Staying healthy is a skill, and it's one that Aaron Judge hasn't possessed over the past couple of seasons. Could his size contribute to that? He's missed significant portions of the past two seasons, and he was dealing with an injury that caused his stock to drop during draft season. There's no denying the power and overall contributions that he brings, but he, like teammate Giancarlo Stanton, gives owners pause about taking them thanks to durability concerns. The tried and true rule is to not take injured players in the draft as there is enough risk baked into players already. Pass on Judge unless he has a clean bill of health.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Only 38 players had an ISO of more than .160 with a K% lower than 18 percent in at least 400 plate appearances. Guerrero has his name there with the likes of Cody Bellinger, Alex Bregman, Ketel Marte, Nolan Arenado, Francisco Lindor, Xander Bogaerts, and more. Guerrero was never going to live up to the expectations in his rookie season, but it was still a damn good season. The generational talent shouldn't be overlooked due to an OK debut. He crushes the ball, and it's just about hitting fewer groundballs in his second season. Oh yeah, he's only 21 years old. Invest now, or get left behind.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Judge has a stress fracture in his rib, which showed "slight improvement" based on a CT scan in mid-April. But he is also dealing with a collapsed lung, and there is still no timetable for when he may be ready for baseball activity. Even with the postponement of the season, there's no guarantee that Judge will be ready to play at any point this season. Draft him with a heavy dose of pessimism and you should be fine.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Reportedly getting into great shape. ADP is still pricey
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
 Has played over 112 games once in four year. Very good player, but not taking on that injury risk in the second or third round.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
 
 Ranked in the top 1% in baseball in barrel%, hard hit rate, and exit velocity in 2019
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros