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Who Should I Draft?

Anthony Rendon or Nolan Arenado (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Anthony Rendon
3B - LAA
Anthony Rendon
Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
Expert
Recommendation
92%
Recommended by
47 of 51 experts
8%
Recommended by
4 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 17# 30
Best Rank# 14# 9
Worst Rank# 36# 60
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 28# 33
Best Rank# 25# 30
Worst Rank# 38# 42
   
Projections 
   
Runs9185
Home Runs2831
RBI10097
Stolen Bases32
Batting Average.292.274
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 32
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 28
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 16# 31
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 18# 29
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 21# 34
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 22# 37
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 18# 31
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 23# 36
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 26# 39
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 31# 41
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 15# 29
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 17# 29
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 17# 30
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 34# 60
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 18# 20
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 36# 41
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 33
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 16# 26
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 23# 37
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 18# 19
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 21# 31
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 14# 24
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 15# 47
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 23# 36
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 17# 32
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 18# 26
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 19# 41
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 19# 29
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 17# 29
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 18# 32
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 22# 38
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 17# 18
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 19# 29
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 19# 45
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 26# 41
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 32# 53
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 29
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 14# 20
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 16# 31
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 19# 40
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 18# 37
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 15# 19
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 17# 31
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 18# 51
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 23# 33
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 20# 29
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 24# 42
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 18# 17
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 18# 9
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 19# 14
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 15
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Anthony Rendon
3B - LAA
Anthony Rendon
Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats189182
   
Runs2923
   
Hits5446
   
Singles3329
   
Doubles119
   
Triples10
   
Home Runs98
   
RBI3126
   
Stolen Bases00
   
Caught Stealing00
   
Walks3815
   
Strikeouts3120
   
Batting Average.286.253
   
On Base Pct.418.304
   
Slugging Pct.497.434
   
On-base Plus Slugging.916.738
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Anthony Rendon
3B - LAA
Anthony Rendon
Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats542571
   
Runs9185
   
Hits157155
   
Singles8993
   
Doubles3629
   
Triples22
   
Home Runs2831
   
RBI10097
   
Stolen Bases32
   
Caught Stealing11
   
Walks8061
   
Strikeouts9295
   
Batting Average.292.274
   
On Base Pct.384.345
   
Slugging Pct.520.494
   
On-base Plus Slugging.904.839
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Anthony Rendon
3B - LAA
Anthony Rendon
Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
News 
 Los Angeles Angels' third baseman Anthony Rendon (hip) will undergo season-ending surgery to repair a right hip impingement.
Brad Camara
Wed, Aug 4th
Nolan Arenado went 2-for-3 with a walk and a two-run home run in a 5-2 win over the Brewers on Monday night.
Lucas Spence
Mon, Sep 20th
 There is nothing new on Anthony Rendon. He is still a couple of weeks away and will have rehab games before returning.
Corbin Young
Tue, Jul 27th
Nolan Arenado went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run in an 11-4 rout over the Mets on Wednesday.
Lucas Spence
Wed, Sep 15th
 Los Angeles Angels third baseman Anthony Rendon (hamstring) still isn't feeling better and won't return until late July, early August.
Brad Camara
Fri, Jul 16th
Nolan Arenado went 1-for-3 with a two-run home run in a 2-0 win over the Reds on Sunday.
Lucas Spence
Sun, Sep 12th
 The Angels placed 3B Anthony Rendon on the 10-day IL due to a hamstring strain.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jul 6th
Nolan Arenado went 2-for-3 with a triple, two runs scored, three RBI, and the go-ahead, two-run home run in the bottom of the eighth inning to give the Cardinals a 6-4 win over the Reds on Saturday.
Lucas Spence
Sat, Sep 11th
 Angels 3B Anthony Rendon (hamstring) is expected to avoid the 10-day injured list.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jul 5th
Nolan Arenado went 1-for-3 with a pair of RBI in a loss to the Dodgers on Tuesday.
Lucas Spence
Tue, Sep 7th
Notes 
 Rendon's stock feels like it has dropped dramatically, but there's really nothing in the small sample size of the 2020 season that should alter your outlook much on him. Yes, he didn't hit the ball as hard consistently, but he walked more than ever, maintained his elite strikeout rate, and still put up a roughly 30-homer, 100-RBI pace. Still just 31 years old, there should be plenty left in the tank this season for the veteran, and he should once again be a strong four-category contributor, with a small bit of speed thrown in for good measure.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
On the bright side, Arenado struck out just 10% of the time, a career-best. On the down side, there was everything else. Arenado batted just .253 and put up a 162-game pace of 27 home runs, 78 runs, 88 RBI, and zero steals. Those numbers won't kill your fantasy team, but considering Arenado's worst numbers over the previous five seasons were 37 home runs, 97 runs scored, and 110 RBI, they were a disaster. The good news, at least from the standpoint of projecting Arenado into the future, is that he was dealing with an injured AC joint in his shoulder for most of the season. In other words, fantasy managers can largely ignore Arenado's poor 2020 numbers, and focus instead on how he will perform now that he's been traded to the Cardinals. Although there's likely to be some dip in his numbers, we've seen hitters leave the Rockies and largely retain their value (or, in the case of DJ LeMahieu, increase their value), The best part is you won't have to pay that first-round price anymore, and if his ADP drops after the trade to St. Louis, it should be easy to turn a profit.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 It's maddening how underrated Rendon continues to be among fantasy analysts. His wOBA and xwOBA both finished in the 92nd percentile or better for the third straight season. Additionally, he'll have a full season of hitting behind Mike Trout in 2021, which will obviously be fantastic for his RBI totals. Rendon is currently going around pick 40 in NFBC drafts, an ADP that makes him an appealing target for fantasy managers who start SP-SP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
The concern around Arenado leaving Coors may seem a bit overstated, but it is a legitimate concern. He has always been a superior hitter playing in Colorado and his statcast data has been on a steady decline for several years now. He is not someone I have been targeting in drafts.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
  Arenado suffered a shoulder injury in his fifth game of the year in 2020. He played through it, and it clearly affected his power stroke. Instead of crushing doubles and homers over the heads of opposing outfielders, Arenado was weakly flying out. He was later shut down with a week left in the year, and I think it's fair to attribute his poor production to playing through injury. However, there will always be analysts knocking down Arenado for his move away from Coors Field. Yet savvy fantasy managers know by now that playing half your games in Coors hurts your road numbers more than any other park, so we can't simply view Arenado's road numbers as "who he truly is." For example, Matt Holliday's road OPS while with the Rockies was .803. While with the Cardinals? .853. I'm aggressively targeting Arenado anytime he lasts until Round 3 of drafts this spring, and I'll be sure to get some shares late in the second as well.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros