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Who Should I Draft?

Anthony Rizzo or Brandon Lowe (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
Experts' Pick
  Anthony Rizzo
1B - CHC
Anthony Rizzo
Brandon Lowe
1B,2B,RF - TB
Brandon Lowe
Expert
Recommendation
50%
Recommended by
25 of 50 experts
50%
Recommended by
25 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 52# 55
Best Rank# 40# 32
Worst Rank# 80# 116
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 92# 63
Best Rank# 75# 62
Worst Rank# 98# 78
   
Projections 
   
Runs8679
Home Runs2728
RBI8784
Stolen Bases67
Batting Average.268.256
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 48# 43
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 55# 54
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 58# 36
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 52# 46
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 65# 47
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 54# 46
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 55# 44
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 74# 65
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 64# 62
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 55# 50
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 78# 44
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 45# 33
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 58# 53
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 55# 51
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 61# 46
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 80# 42
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 54# 44
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 65# 41
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 60# 50
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 60# 33
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 54# 45
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 58# 53
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 56# 40
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 54# 32
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 49# 48
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 40# 86
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 44# 89
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 45# 58
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 47# 52
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 48# 61
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 48# 55
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 49# 64
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 49# 64
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 49# 62
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 50# 93
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 51# 100
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 51# 77
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 51# 76
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 51# 116
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 52# 81
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 52# 59
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 52# 67
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 52# 74
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 53# 56
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 53# 57
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 53# 67
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 53# 54
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 53# 54
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 55# 56
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 56# 67
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Anthony Rizzo
1B - CHC
Anthony Rizzo
Brandon Lowe
1B,2B,RF - TB
Brandon Lowe
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats203193
   
Runs2636
   
Hits4552
   
Singles2827
   
Doubles69
   
Triples02
   
Home Runs1114
   
RBI2437
   
Stolen Bases33
   
Caught Stealing10
   
Walks2825
   
Strikeouts3858
   
Batting Average.222.269
   
On Base Pct.342.362
   
Slugging Pct.414.554
   
On-base Plus Slugging.755.916
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Anthony Rizzo
1B - CHC
Anthony Rizzo
Brandon Lowe
1B,2B,RF - TB
Brandon Lowe
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats548513
   
Runs8679
   
Hits145129
   
Singles8971
   
Doubles2726
   
Triples23
   
Home Runs2728
   
RBI8784
   
Stolen Bases67
   
Caught Stealing32
   
Walks7455
   
Strikeouts99161
   
Batting Average.268.256
   
On Base Pct.356.329
   
Slugging Pct.471.482
   
On-base Plus Slugging.827.811
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Anthony Rizzo
1B - CHC
Anthony Rizzo
Brandon Lowe
1B,2B,RF - TB
Brandon Lowe
News 
 Anthony Rizzo went 1-for-2 with three walks versus New York Wednesday. He would score three times and drive one in.
Jamie Mellor
Thu, Apr 22nd
Brandon Lowe went 2-for-5 with a home run, a walk, two total RBI and two runs scored in a 14-7 win over the Royals on Tuesday.
John Aubin
Wed, Apr 21st
 Anthony Rizzo connected with two solo home runs versus the Braves Sunday. He now has three homers on the season.
Jamie Mellor
Mon, Apr 19th
Brandon Lowe is absent from Saturday's lineup against the Yankees.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Apr 17th
 Anthony Rizzo went 3-for-4 Saturday versus the Braves. He would come around to score twice.
Jamie Mellor
Sun, Apr 18th
Brandon Lowe hit his first homer of the 2021 season in Wednesday's loss to the Rangers.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Apr 15th
 Anthony Rizzo did not produce a run in the win Tuesday versus the Brewers. However, he did steal his second base of the season.
Jamie Mellor
Wed, Apr 14th
Brandon Lowe went 2-for-4 at the plate on Tuesday night as the Rays lost to the Rangers by an 8-3 score.
John Aubin
Wed, Apr 14th
 Anthony Rizzo launched a homer Thursday versus Pittsburgh. It drove in a key insurance run. He had scored earlier on Baez's home run that was the winning blow.
Jamie Mellor
Fri, Apr 9th
Brandon Lowe went 1-for-5 at the plate with a three-run double and three strikeouts in Friday's 10-5 win over the Yankees.
John Aubin
Sat, Apr 10th
Notes 
 Rizzo's average dropped to just .222 last year and his counting stats waned, though the latter failing was much more due to the lack of production from the rest of the Cubs lineup. His walk and strikeout rates, however, stayed mostly in line, and his BABIP was an artificially low .218 (career mark of .289), which is partly why there was such a gap between his xBA of .266 and his actual batting average. With that said, Rizzo didn't hit the ball nearly as hard last year, as he saw career worsts in average exit velocity and hard hit rate. He likely won't ever be the player he was at his peak, but there's still plenty in his bat that can help fantasy managers, including the handful of steals he will throw in each year. He's a starting-caliber first baseman still, without question, and he'll go at a discount because of last year's numbers.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Lowe actually lost a point on his batting average from 2019 (.269 from .270), but his profile looked far better in 2020. He cut his strikeout rate from 34.6% to 25.9%, and his swinging strike rate from 19.1% to 15.4%. Despite barreling the ball a whopping 17.5% of the time (top 2 percent in baseball), his average dropped a point because, well, he just didn't have an outrageously lucky BABIP like he did in 2019 (.377). Lowe improved his ISO and HR/FB rate, and was generally the best version of himself in 2020. Even mashing together his 2019 and 2020 seasons, Lowe has hit 31 homers and stole eight bases over 138 games. Batting near the top of a strong lineup, he should deliver another solid season at the thin second base position.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Lowe is underrated. Has legit 30/10 potential, health barring. I like him at ADP.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy