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Who Should I Draft?

Austin Hays or Dylan Carlson (2022)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Dylan Carlson
LF,CF,RF - STL
Dylan Carlson
Austin Hays
LF,RF - BAL
Austin Hays
Expert
Recommendation
91%
Recommended by
39 of 43 experts
9%
Recommended by
4 of 43 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 93# 116
Best Rank# 65# 87
Worst Rank# 125# 152
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 160# 240
Best Rank# 151# 225
Worst Rank# 202# 332
   
Projections 
   
Runs8074
Home Runs2023
RBI7173
Stolen Bases66
Batting Average.258.258
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL10-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 93# 117
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 91# 127
   
Pat Fitzmaurice
FantasyPros
# 98# 105
   
Scott Engel
The Game Day
# 83# 133
   
Jody Smith
FullTime Fantasy
# 101# 121
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 101# 143
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 104# 141
   
Greg Smith
Superflex.Guide
# 108# 123
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 114# 117
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 105# 114
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 75# 87
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 100# 116
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 111# 113
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 82# 131
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 96# 122
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 65# 116
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 100# 122
   
Christopher Welsh
FantasyPros
# 94# 124
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 104# 137
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 94# 115
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 97# 110
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 73# 98
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 107# 142
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 82# 146
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 81# 134
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 98# 117
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 114# 125
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 88# 91
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 72# 105
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 112# 152
   
Nate Miller
Fantasy Six Pack
# 99# 130
   
Brad Camara
RotoBaller
# 69# 113
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 111# 115
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 79# 119
   
Scott Youngson
Pitcher List
# 91# 93
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 119# 144
   
Scott Bogman
FantasyPros
# 92# 149
   
Travis Argo
Fantasy Six Pack
# 117# 122
   
Fred Zinkie
Yahoo! Sports
# 106# 147
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 100# 89
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 113# 102
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 125# 111
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 122# 119
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Dylan Carlson
LF,CF,RF - STL
Dylan Carlson
Austin Hays
LF,RF - BAL
Austin Hays
2021 Stats 
   
   
At Bats542488
   
Runs7973
   
Hits144124
   
Singles9172
   
Doubles3126
   
Triples44
   
Home Runs1822
   
RBI6571
   
Stolen Bases24
   
Caught Stealing13
   
Walks5728
   
Strikeouts152107
   
Batting Average.266.254
   
On Base Pct.343.306
   
Slugging Pct.437.459
   
On-base Plus Slugging.780.765
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Dylan Carlson
LF,CF,RF - STL
Dylan Carlson
Austin Hays
LF,RF - BAL
Austin Hays
2022 Projections 
   
   
At Bats552517
   
Runs8074
   
Hits143134
   
Singles8681
   
Doubles3226
   
Triples43
   
Home Runs2023
   
RBI7173
   
Stolen Bases66
   
Caught Stealing24
   
Walks5832
   
Strikeouts150118
   
Batting Average.258.258
   
On Base Pct.328.302
   
Slugging Pct.437.451
   
On-base Plus Slugging.765.753
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Dylan Carlson
LF,CF,RF - STL
Dylan Carlson
Austin Hays
LF,RF - BAL
Austin Hays
News 
 The Cardinals placed Dylan Carlson on the 10-day IL on Monday with a left hamstring strain, retroactive to May 22.
Dan Harris
Mon, May 23rd
Orioles outfielder Austin Hays went 1-for-5 with a solo home run and a RBI groundout in Tuesday's 6-7 loss to the Yankees in extra innings.
Owen Klukas - Big O's Fantasy Guidance
Wed, May 25th
 Dylan Carlson (left hamstring) left Saturday's contest in Pittsburgh in the third inning per John Denton of MLB.com.
Andy Zimmerman
Sun, May 22nd
Orioles outfielder Austin Hays went 1-for-4 with a two-RBI single and a run scored in Monday's 6-4 win over the Yankees.
Owen Klukas - Big O's Fantasy Guidance
Tue, May 24th
 Cardinals RF Dylan Carlson went 2-for-4 Friday, singling twice, scoring one run, and driving in one run in the Cardinals' 5-3 win over the Pirates.
Chris Schommer
Sat, May 21st
Orioles outfielder Austin Hays went 1-for-1 with one single and a run scored in Sunday's 7-6 win over the Rays.
Owen Klukas - Big O's Fantasy Guidance
Mon, May 23rd
 Cardinals CF Dylan Carlson went 3-for-4 Wednesday, singling twice, doubling once, and scoring one run in the Cardinals' 11-4 loss to the Mets.
Chris Schommer
Thu, May 19th
Orioles outfielder Austin Hays went 1-for-4 with one single and a run scored in Saturday's 1-6 loss to the Rays.
Owen Klukas - Big O's Fantasy Guidance
Sun, May 22nd
 Cardinals CF Dylan Carlson went 1-for-4 Thursday, hitting a solo home run in the Cardinals' 3-2 loss to the Orioles.
Chris Schommer
Fri, May 13th
Orioles outfielder Austin Hays went 1-for-5 with one single, a run scored, and a walk in Friday's 8-6 win over the Rays.
Owen Klukas - Big O's Fantasy Guidance
Sat, May 21st
Notes 
 Carlson rebounded from a disastrous 2020 season to put up a respectable .266/.343/.437 line with 18 home runs last year. But the dreams of fantasy superstardom after his 2019 minor-league season (26 homers, 20 steals) have been put on hold, as he seems to have little interest in stealing bases in the majors (three total in two seasons), and his hard-hit rate was in the bottom nine percent of the league last year. His numbers and underlying metrics suggest that he's a slightly above-average MLB player, though it's worth remembering that he's just 23 years old and there's certainly potential for more. Drafting Carlson as a fourth outfielder with upside for more is the right approach, as he should bring a fairly solid floor with potential for a high ceiling if everything comes together.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Hays finally made good on his prospect pedigree, hitting 22 home runs and topping 140 combined runs and RBI. It wasn't perfect - he walked only 5.3% of the time and his hard-hit rate and exit velocity were mediocre. But he had a strong close to th season with 12 home runs and 35 RBI over the final two months of the season. Just 26 years old, there's plenty of room for growth, though the new dimensions in Camden Yards may keep his power in check a bit. Buy him at his 2021 numbers and understand there's plenty of room for growth.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros