Who Should I Draft?
Bryce Harper or Freddie Freeman (2021)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Freddie Freeman 1B - ATL  | Bryce Harper RF,DH - PHI  | |
Expert |
88% Recommended by 44 of 50 experts |
12% Recommended by 6 of 50 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 10 | # 11 |
| Best Rank | # 6 | # 7 |
| Worst Rank | # 22 | # 24 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 11 | # 18 |
| Best Rank | # 9 | # 17 |
| Worst Rank | # 13 | # 18 |
| Projections | ||
| Runs | 106 | 103 |
| Home Runs | 32 | 36 |
| RBI | 109 | 104 |
| Stolen Bases | 6 | 14 |
| Batting Average | .304 | .266 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 9 | # 12 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 10 | # 14 |
| Steve Gardner USA Today | # 10 | # 12 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 7 | # 14 |
| Grey Albright Razzball | # 13 | # 14 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 10 | # 11 |
| KJ Fantasy Team Advice | # 6 | # 11 |
| Luke Gloeckner Mr. Cheatsheet | # 10 | # 12 |
| Dave McKay The Fantasy Sports Brain | # 10 | # 12 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 10 | # 13 |
| Tim McCullough Baseball Prospectus | # 10 | # 12 |
| Rudy Gamble Razzball | # 11 | # 16 |
| Wayne Bretsky BretskyBall | # 10 | # 13 |
| Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 10 | # 12 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 10 | # 11 |
| Chris Meaney FTN | # 10 | # 11 |
| Andy Singleton Expand The Boxscore | # 10 | # 12 |
| Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 10 | # 13 |
| Adam Ronis Fantasy Alarm | # 10 | # 11 |
| Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 10 | # 13 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 9 | # 11 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 10 | # 11 |
| Michael Waterloo FantasyPros | # 9 | # 11 |
| Donkey Teeth Razzball | # 22 | # 24 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 10 | # 11 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 9 | # 11 |
| Andrew Seifter FantasyPros | # 10 | # 12 |
| Max Freeze Freeze Stats | # 10 | # 11 |
| Dennis Sosic Fantasy Six Pack | # 8 | # 9 |
| Mick Ciallela Fantrax | # 10 | # 11 |
| Michael Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | # 10 | # 11 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 9 | # 10 |
| Todd D Clark The Fantasy Fix | # 9 | # 11 |
| Brendan Tuma FantasyPros | # 10 | # 11 |
| Jacob W. Dunne New Life Fantasy | # 11 | # 12 |
| Carmen Maiorano FantasyPros | # 10 | # 18 |
| Lucas Spence Pitcher List | # 7 | # 8 |
| Jordan Eisen Field of Vision Sports | # 9 | # 12 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 9 | # 12 |
| Brad Camara FantasyPros | # 9 | # 11 |
| Staff Rankings Roto Ranks | # 10 | # 11 |
| Chris Clegg Fantrax | # 9 | # 11 |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | # 10 | # 12 |
| Nicklaus Gaut RotoBaller | # 8 | # 11 |
| Ryan Amore Pitcher List | # 10 | # 7 |
| Muntradamus Beast Dome | # 10 | # 7 |
| Corbin Young FantasyData | # 11 | # 9 |
| Mario Mergola Sporfolio | # 11 | # 10 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 14 | # 11 |
| Greg Smith The Fake Baseball | # 13 | # 11 |
| Freddie Freeman 1B - ATL | Bryce Harper RF,DH - PHI | |
| 2020 Stats | ||
| At Bats | 214 | 190 |
| Runs | 51 | 41 |
| Hits | 73 | 51 |
| Singles | 36 | 27 |
| Doubles | 23 | 9 |
| Triples | 1 | 2 |
| Home Runs | 13 | 13 |
| RBI | 53 | 33 |
| Stolen Bases | 2 | 8 |
| Caught Stealing | 0 | 2 |
| Walks | 45 | 49 |
| Strikeouts | 37 | 43 |
| Batting Average | .341 | .268 |
| On Base Pct | .462 | .420 |
| Slugging Pct | .640 | .542 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | 1.102 | .962 |
| Freddie Freeman 1B - ATL | Bryce Harper RF,DH - PHI | |
| 2021 Projections | ||
| At Bats | 567 | 536 |
| Runs | 106 | 103 |
| Hits | 170 | 141 |
| Singles | 96 | 73 |
| Doubles | 39 | 30 |
| Triples | 2 | 2 |
| Home Runs | 32 | 36 |
| RBI | 109 | 104 |
| Stolen Bases | 6 | 14 |
| Caught Stealing | 2 | 4 |
| Walks | 89 | 111 |
| Strikeouts | 118 | 155 |
| Batting Average | .304 | .266 |
| On Base Pct | .399 | .394 |
| Slugging Pct | .548 | .527 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .946 | .920 |
| Freddie Freeman 1B - ATL | Bryce Harper RF,DH - PHI | |
| News | ||
| Freddie Freeman went 1-for-4 with a two-run homer and a walk in Friday's game against the Phillies. Steve Painter Fri, Apr 9th | Bryce Harper went 0-for-1 with two walks, a hit by pitch, an RBI, and a run scored as the Phillies beat the Mets at home on Monday. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Tue, Apr 6th | |
| Freddie Freeman went 1-for-5 with a single and stolen base in Wednesday's doubleheader against the Nats. Steve Painter Wed, Apr 7th | Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper says he feels no pain this spring after fighting through a back injury in 2020. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Tue, Feb 23rd | |
| Freddie Freeman went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Tuesday's game against the Nats. Steve Painter Tue, Apr 6th | ||
| Freddie Freeman went 0-for-3 with a strikeout in Saturday's game against the Phillies. Steve Painter Sat, Apr 3rd | ||
| Freddie Freeman went 1-for-2 with a double, run scored, and a walk, in Saturday's Grapefruit League game against the Orioles. Steve Painter Sun, Mar 28th | ||
| Notes | ||
| Although there were questions about Freeman's 2020 season because of his battle with COVID-19 prior to the season, those questions were answered and then some with his MVP season. The statcast leaderboard is littered with Freeman's name, as he ranked in the top nine percent of the league in barrel rate, average exit velocity, expected batting average, expected slugging percentage, wOBA, xwOBA, xwOBAcon, hard hit percentage, strikeout percentage, and walk percentage. Freeman likely won't reach double digits in steals, but that is about the only negative thing you can say about his fantasy outlook. He's as safe as they come in the other four hitting categories, and comes with next to no risk. He'll likely cost a borderline first round pick on draft day, but he is worth it. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | In 157 games in Harper's first year with the Phillies, he batted .260 with 35 home runs, 98 runs, 114 RBI, and 15 steals. In 2020, his 157-game pace was .268 with 35 home runs, 111 runs, 89 RBI, and 21 steals. In other words, Harper provides an incredibly safe baseline now with Philadelphia, and fantasy managers can expect roughly 35 home runs, 15-20 steals, and 220 combined runs and RBI. There were some gains for Harper in 2020, as he walked more and struck out less than he ever had in his career, and hit the ball as hard as ever. But there's no reason to expect much growth in Harper's surface numbers at this point. Take the incredibly high floor in the second round and be happy with it. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | |
| Harper's 2020 Statcast data wound up being better than his 2015 unanimous MVP campaign. The 28-year-old has become somewhat of a saber-metric darling as his batting average, RBIs, and runs don't also jump off the page. Of course, those stats are pretty relevant for fantasy purposes. While Harper has been running more since his arrival to Philadelphia (15 steals in '19 and eight stolen bases last summer), he just isn't as valuable in traditional 5x5 roto as he is in points leagues or category leagues that utilize OBP. The Statcast data is STRONG, however, and public perception hasn't seem to catch on just yet. Harper is going to be an early-round target of mine, particularly in points and OBP leagues. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | ||
