Skip to main content

Who Should I Draft?

Carlos Carrasco or Corbin Burnes (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Carlos Carrasco
SP,RP - NYM
Carlos Carrasco
Expert
Recommendation
55%
Recommended by
11 of 20 experts
45%
Recommended by
9 of 20 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 24# 23
Best Rank# 16# 14
Worst Rank# 54# 58
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 61# 69
Best Rank# 55# 58
Worst Rank# 78# 103
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts179196
Wins1012
Saves00
ERA3.653.57
WHIP1.241.19
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 25
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 25# 27
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 20# 21
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 18
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 25# 26
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 35# 58
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 19# 31
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 19# 27
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 22# 42
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 31# 35
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 18# 22
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 35# 14
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 32# 15
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 25# 17
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 24# 19
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 34# 19
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 23# 20
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 26# 20
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 24# 23
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 54# 25
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Carlos Carrasco
SP,RP - NYM
Carlos Carrasco
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1212
   
Games Started912
   
Innings Pitched60.368.2
   
Wins43
   
Losses14
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed3755
   
Earned Runs1422
   
Home Runs Allowed28
   
Strikeouts8882
   
Walks2427
   
ERA2.112.91
   
WHIP1.021.21
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Carlos Carrasco
SP,RP - NYM
Carlos Carrasco
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2829
   
Games Started2629
   
Innings Pitched146.4168.4
   
Wins1012
   
Losses78
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed125150
   
Earned Runs5967
   
Home Runs Allowed1823
   
Strikeouts179196
   
Walks5651
   
ERA3.653.57
   
WHIP1.241.19
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Carlos Carrasco
SP,RP - NYM
Carlos Carrasco
News 
 Brewers catcher Omar Narvaez says Corbin Burnes' changeup looks way better than last year.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Feb 21st
Mets RHP Carlos Carrasco won’t pitch the first time through the rotation in the Grapefruit League.
Brad Camara
Sat, Feb 27th
  Carlos Carrasco was absent from the Mets' first full-squad workout on Monday due to a "non-injury related issue," per manager Luis Rojas.
Jon Mathisen
Mon, Feb 22nd
  The Indians traded RHP Carlos Carrasco and SS Francisco Lindor to the Mets in exchange for INF Andres Gimenez, RHP Josh Wolfe, OF Isaiah Greene and SS Ahmed Rosario.
Brad Camara
Thu, Jan 7th
Notes 
 Burnes's raw stuff was apparent to anyone who saw him pitch in 2019, but he simply couldn't stop giving up home runs (17 in 49 innings). The culprit was largely his four-seam fastball, which he threw more than half of the time and against which batters hit .425 with an .823 slugging percentage. In 2020, however, Corbin cut his four-seam fastball usage from 52.5% to just 2.5%. In its place, he relied heavily on a sinker and cutter, both of which worked better for the natural action on his pitches and which were highly effective. Considering that his slider, changeup, and curveball are also huge swing and miss pitches, Burnes's 36.7% strikeout rate from last year shouldn't be considered fluky. Even coming off a Cy Young-caliber season, there's still upside for the 26-year-old, and you should ignore entirely his 2019 disaster.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Carrasco returned strong from his battle with leukemia in 2019 to post a 2.91 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 2020. Pretty much everything was back to normal with Carrasco's production other than his walk rate, where he went from several years under 6% to a 9.6% mark in 2020. That's likely just the oddities of a shortened season, however, and now that Carrasco is with the Mets, his stock should only go up. Not only should the Mets provide him with a better chance at wins, but their infield defense should be above average and Carrasco will play in a more favorable park. In other words, it's all gravy for Carrasco, and he can be drafted as an SP2.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Similar to Zach Plesac, Burnes completely altered his pitch mix en route to a breakout season. The right-hander ditched his four-seam/slider combo in exchange for a plethora of sinkers and cutters. The decision worked to perfection as Burnes' 2.11 ERA was backed up by a 2.99 xFIP and a 3.18 xERA. His HR/FB rate appears to be wildly unsustainable, but Burnes has always been talented and he now has the blueprint to excel with. He's an exciting SP2 entering draft season.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
We can completely write off Carrasco's 2019 season as the right-hander was going through a battle with leukemia. The 33-year-old heroically bounced back last summer, posting a 2.91 ERA to go along with a 1.21 WHIP and 82 strikeouts in 64 innings. A 9.6% walk rate is mildly concerning, but Carrasco misses enough bats that he should still be viewed as a reliable SP2/3. The perception around him seems to be that he isn't durable, but Carrasco started 30 games three times from 2015-18.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros