Who Should I Draft?

Charlie Morton or Craig Kimbrel (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Expert
Recommendation
54%
Recommended by
30 of 56 experts
46%
Recommended by
26 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 36# 34
Best Rank# 15# 19
Worst Rank# 110# 80
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 93# 114
Best Rank# 74# 97
Worst Rank# 102# 117
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts89176
Wins412
Saves270
ERA2.693.41
WHIP1.041.21
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 38
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 37# 50
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 45# 53
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 19# 51
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 24# 27
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 49# 69
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 22# 40
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 39# 43
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 29# 34
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 46# 80
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 34# 36
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 27# 46
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 30# 40
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 37# 40
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 45# 66
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 31# 40
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 20# 32
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 26# 38
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 23# 44
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 15# 58
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 34# 37
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 25# 28
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 33# 38
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 33# 43
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 30# 38
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 17# 37
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 34# 46
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 25# 30
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 27# 41
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 15# 44
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 40# 19
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 41# 23
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 33# 24
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 47# 24
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 64# 25
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 47# 28
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 44# 28
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 36# 28
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 38# 29
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 31# 29
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 42# 30
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 44# 32
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 43# 33
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 35# 34
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 45# 34
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 42# 36
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 40# 36
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 63# 36
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 42# 36
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 47# 36
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 51# 37
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 110# 38
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 49# 41
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 70# 42
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 84# 46
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 60# 57
   
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played6330
   
Games Started030
   
Innings Pitched62.2167.2
   
Wins515
   
Losses13
   
Saves420
   
Blown Saves50
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed31130
   
Earned Runs1958
   
Home Runs Allowed718
   
Strikeouts96201
   
Walks3164
   
ERA2.743.13
   
WHIP0.991.16
   
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played6127
   
Games Started027
   
Innings Pitched59.1157.3
   
Wins412
   
Losses27
   
Saves270
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed36132
   
Earned Runs1860
   
Home Runs Allowed616
   
Strikeouts89176
   
Walks2558
   
ERA2.693.41
   
WHIP1.041.21
   
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
News 
 Craig Kimbrel will make his first appearance with Triple-A Iowa on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 16th
Charlie Morton gave up four runs on five hits while walking two and striking out nine batters through six innings and was charged with a loss to the Angels on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sat, Jun 15th
 Jon Heyman of MLB Network reports Craig Kimbrel and the Cubs have agreed to a three-year, $43 million contract.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 5th
Charlie Morton allowed two hits and two walks while firing seven scoreless innings Monday, striking out seven batters and earning the win over the Athletics.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 11th
 Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reports the Cubs and Craig Kimbrel have come to terms, pending a physical.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 5th
Charlie Morton picked up the win Wednesday, allowing five hits over seven scoreless innings while striking out eight as the Rays handed the Tigers a 4-0 defeat.
John Aubin
Thu, Jun 6th
 Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reports the Cubs are "pushing hard" for Craig Kimbrel.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 5th
Charlie Morton (6-0) earned the win Thursday against the Twins by allowing two runs on four hits and no walks across seven innings. He struck out six.
John Aubin
Fri, May 31st
 Craig Kimbrel rumors begin to swirl again after the Brewers lost their closer, Corey Knebel, this week. The standoff between the two is likely money. The Brewers are unable to currently pay the asking price of Kimbrel.
Garett Thomas
Sun, Mar 31st
Charlie Morton struck out 10 and allowed just one run on three hits over six innings in the Rays’ 6-2 victory over the Indians on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sun, May 26th
Notes 
 Although still unsigned, it's safe to assume Kimbrel won't settle for a setup role. After all, no reliever in MLB history holsters a lower career FIP than his 1.96. Despite a concerning walk uptick (4.48 BB/9), he posted a 2.74 ERA with 96 strikeouts and 42 saves in 2018. Somewhat surprisingly, his ADP hasn't suffered from a disastrous postseason and drawn-out free agency. That should change now that he remains a free agent in mid-March. Drafters must now consider the higher the likelihood of a delayed or rusty start to the season. Or worse, maybe he actually follows through on his threat to sit out 2019.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
After nearly a decade of mediocrity, the Astros turned Morton into a high-end starter in 2017, and he was even better in 2018. At this point, he feels relatively safe to pencil in for a mid-3.00s ERA, 10.0 K/9 rate, and WHIP in the 1.15-1.20 range. The concerns are his advancing age and durability -- he's never thrown more than 172 innings in a season. The move to Tampa Bay is also a mild concern, less so for the change of division than for the move away from a Houston team that seemingly knew how to get the best out of him.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Kimbrel still hasn't signed so wherever he plays will obviously impact his fantasy upside. Boston would offer plenty more save opportunities, of course, than somewhere like San Diego. You can bank on excellent ratios with nearly 100 Ks regardless, however, so don't hesitate to grab him toward the end of the top tier of closers once again.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Morton followed an improbable late-career renaissance with an even better 2018. In his most innings pitched (167) since 2011, he etched out a 3.13 ERA and 201 strikeouts. Yet he wore down as the season transpired, as his K rate dropped seven points to 24.2% after the All-Star break. Given his durability concerns and struggles when facing a batting order for the third time, the Rays will likely keep limiting him to five innings per start (or even have him follow an opener). Morton will perform on a per-inning basis, but investors should probably expect results closer to 2017's 3.62 ERA and 163 strikeouts in 146.2 innings.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros