Who Should I Draft?

Charlie Morton or Craig Kimbrel (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Expert
Recommendation
53%
Recommended by
31 of 59 experts
47%
Recommended by
28 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 34# 36
Best Rank# 15# 19
Worst Rank# 110# 80
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 93# 114
Best Rank# 74# 97
Worst Rank# 102# 117
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts89176
Wins412
Saves270
ERA2.693.41
WHIP1.041.21
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 38
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 37# 50
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 45# 53
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 19# 51
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 24# 27
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 49# 69
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 22# 40
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 39# 43
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 29# 34
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 46# 80
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 34# 36
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 27# 46
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 30# 40
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 37# 40
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 45# 66
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 31# 40
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 20# 32
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 23# 44
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 15# 58
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 34# 37
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 25# 28
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 33# 38
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 33# 43
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 30# 38
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 17# 37
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 34# 46
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 40
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 25# 30
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 29# 55
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 27# 41
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 15# 44
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 40# 19
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 41# 23
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 33# 24
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 47# 24
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 64# 25
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 35# 27
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 47# 28
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 44# 28
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 36# 28
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 38# 29
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 31# 29
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 42# 30
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 44# 32
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 43# 33
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 35# 34
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 46# 34
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 45# 34
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 42# 36
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 40# 36
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 63# 36
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 42# 36
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 47# 36
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 51# 37
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 110# 38
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 49# 41
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 70# 42
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 84# 46
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 60# 57
   
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played6330
   
Games Started030
   
Innings Pitched62.2167.2
   
Wins515
   
Losses13
   
Saves420
   
Blown Saves50
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed31130
   
Earned Runs1958
   
Home Runs Allowed718
   
Strikeouts96201
   
Walks3164
   
ERA2.743.13
   
WHIP0.991.16
   
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played6127
   
Games Started027
   
Innings Pitched59.1157.3
   
Wins412
   
Losses27
   
Saves270
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed36132
   
Earned Runs1860
   
Home Runs Allowed616
   
Strikeouts89176
   
Walks2558
   
ERA2.693.41
   
WHIP1.041.21
   
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
News 
 Craig Kimbrel (0-4) allowed two runs on two hits and one walk in 0.2 innings Saturday against the Cardinals, blowing the save.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 21st
Rays manager Kevin Cash announced Charlie Morton will start Wednesday's American League Wild Card game versus the Athletics.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 28th
 Craig Kimbrel was saddled with the loss Thursday against the Cardinals, allowing one run on one hit in 0.2 innings. He struck out two.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Sep 20th
Charlie Morton gave up just one hit with three walks and nine strikeouts as he pitched six innings combined with four relievers on a one-hit shutout of the Yankees on Wednesday.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 26th
 Craig Kimbrel (elbow) will throw a simulated game Tuesday, and is eyeing a return to the Cubs for their weekend series against the Cardinals.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Sep 17th
Charlie Morton allowed two runs on five hits and a walk while striking out eight over 6 1/3 innings Friday against the Red Sox. He didn't factor into the decision.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 21st
 Craig Kimbrel will be placed on the injured list Thursday with elbow inflammation.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Sep 5th
Charlie Morton earned the win Friday, holding the Angels to three runs on six hits and a walk while striking out four across six innings.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 14th
 Craig Kimbrel allowed three runs on two hits and one walk over 0.2 innings Sunday, striking out one.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 1st
Charlie Morton struck out 10 while allowing three runs on five hits with two walks across six innings during a no-decision against the Blue Jays on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 8th
Notes 
 Although still unsigned, it's safe to assume Kimbrel won't settle for a setup role. After all, no reliever in MLB history holsters a lower career FIP than his 1.96. Despite a concerning walk uptick (4.48 BB/9), he posted a 2.74 ERA with 96 strikeouts and 42 saves in 2018. Somewhat surprisingly, his ADP hasn't suffered from a disastrous postseason and drawn-out free agency. That should change now that he remains a free agent in mid-March. Drafters must now consider the higher the likelihood of a delayed or rusty start to the season. Or worse, maybe he actually follows through on his threat to sit out 2019.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
After nearly a decade of mediocrity, the Astros turned Morton into a high-end starter in 2017, and he was even better in 2018. At this point, he feels relatively safe to pencil in for a mid-3.00s ERA, 10.0 K/9 rate, and WHIP in the 1.15-1.20 range. The concerns are his advancing age and durability -- he's never thrown more than 172 innings in a season. The move to Tampa Bay is also a mild concern, less so for the change of division than for the move away from a Houston team that seemingly knew how to get the best out of him.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Kimbrel still hasn't signed so wherever he plays will obviously impact his fantasy upside. Boston would offer plenty more save opportunities, of course, than somewhere like San Diego. You can bank on excellent ratios with nearly 100 Ks regardless, however, so don't hesitate to grab him toward the end of the top tier of closers once again.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Morton followed an improbable late-career renaissance with an even better 2018. In his most innings pitched (167) since 2011, he etched out a 3.13 ERA and 201 strikeouts. Yet he wore down as the season transpired, as his K rate dropped seven points to 24.2% after the All-Star break. Given his durability concerns and struggles when facing a batting order for the third time, the Rays will likely keep limiting him to five innings per start (or even have him follow an opener). Morton will perform on a per-inning basis, but investors should probably expect results closer to 2017's 3.62 ERA and 163 strikeouts in 146.2 innings.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros