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Who Should I Draft?

Chris Paddack or Zach Plesac (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Zach Plesac
SP - CLE
Zach Plesac
Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
Expert
Recommendation
53%
Recommended by
27 of 51 experts
47%
Recommended by
24 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 35# 34
Best Rank# 21# 17
Worst Rank# 63# 67
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 73# 97
Best Rank# 60# 89
Worst Rank# 102# 116
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts149146
Wins1010
Saves00
ERA4.193.89
WHIP1.201.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL10
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 40
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 25# 41
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 40# 49
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 27# 35
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 42# 43
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 44# 64
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 30# 34
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 30# 37
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 35# 39
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 38# 43
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 24# 41
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 38# 43
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 33# 35
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 23# 35
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 28# 50
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 40# 52
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 32# 36
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 35# 44
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 28# 35
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 21# 34
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 24# 34
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 35# 36
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 33# 39
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 31# 62
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 35# 51
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 46# 67
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 22# 44
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 38# 17
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 36# 21
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 26# 21
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 57# 24
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 39# 26
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 41# 27
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 63# 28
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 30# 29
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 47# 29
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 43# 30
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 34# 30
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 36# 30
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 60# 31
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 48# 32
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 42# 32
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 45# 34
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 35# 34
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 35# 34
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 49# 35
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 49# 38
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 45# 39
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 56# 41
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 45# 42
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 48# 43
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Zach Plesac
SP - CLE
Zach Plesac
Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played812
   
Games Started812
   
Innings Pitched55.159.2
   
Wins44
   
Losses25
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed3860
   
Earned Runs1431
   
Home Runs Allowed814
   
Strikeouts5758
   
Walks612
   
ERA2.284.73
   
WHIP0.801.22
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Zach Plesac
SP - CLE
Zach Plesac
Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2826
   
Games Started2826
   
Innings Pitched160.5139.4
   
Wins1010
   
Losses97
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed151127
   
Earned Runs7560
   
Home Runs Allowed2622
   
Strikeouts149146
   
Walks4131
   
ERA4.193.89
   
WHIP1.201.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Zach Plesac
SP - CLE
Zach Plesac
Chris Paddack
SP - SD
Chris Paddack
News 
 Cleveland right-hander Zach Plesac allowed two runs over 5 1/3 innings in a 5-3 win over the White Sox in Game 2 of a Thursday doubleheader. Plesac struck out four and walked one.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Sep 23rd
Padres pitcher Chris Paddack has been placed on the 10-day IL with inflammation in his right elbow. The move is retroactive to Sept. 12, meaning Paddack will be eligible to return on Sept. 22.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Mon, Sep 13th
 Cleveland right-hander Zach Plesac allowed five runs over six innings in an 8-0 loss to the Yankees on Friday. Plesac struck out six and allowed two homers in the outing.
Matthew Terelle
Fri, Sep 17th
Chris Paddack went six innings on Sunday, allowing three earned runs on six hits. He didn't walk any batters but he also didn't record a strikeout.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Mon, Sep 6th
 Cleveland right-hander Zach Plesac allowed three runs (two earned) over six innings in a 3-0 loss to the Brewers on Saturday. Plesac struck out three and walked two in the outing.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Sep 11th
Chris Paddack went 4.2 innings on Monday, allowing one earned run on three hits and no walks. He also struck out five batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Tue, Aug 31st
 Cleveland right-hander Zac Plesac allowed three runs over five innings in an 11-5 win over Boston on Sunday. He struck out five and walked three in the win.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Sep 5th
Padres RHP Chris Paddack (oblique) will return from the IL for Monday's start against the Diamondbacks.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Aug 30th
 Cleveland right-hander Zach Plesac tossed a gem in a 7-2 win over the Royals on Tuesday. Plesac threw seven scoreless innings, striking out seven and allowing just two hits.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Sep 1st
San Diego Padres pitcher Chris Paddack (oblique) is expected to throw off a mound soon.
Brad Camara
Wed, Aug 18th
Notes 
 Plesac is getting a ton of love for his eight excellent starts in 2020, but there's plenty of reason to be cautious. His FIP, xFIP, xERA, and SIERA were all more than a run higher than his ERA, and both his strikeout rate and walk rate significantly outproduced what he showed he could do in the minors. Yes, Plesac altered his pitch mix, throwing fewer fastballs and instead more sliders and changeups, so if you're looking for a reason to buy the gains, you have one. But he had a ridiculous 91.7% LOB rate, and even with his ability to limit hard contact, his BABIP against should rise from the .224 mark last year. Plesac can help a fantasy staff, but manage expectations significantly.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Paddack followed up his stellar rookie campaign with a subpar sophomore season, as his ERA rose to 4.73 and his WHIP to 1.22, while his strikeout rate dipped below one per inning. Paddack's bread and butter changeup was as good as ever in 2020 (and even better than in 2019), but his usually outstanding fastball just fell apart. After batters hit .204 with a .391 slugging percentage and .275 wOBA against the pitch in 2019, they hit .308 with a .658 slugging percentage and .407 wOBA against it in 2020. Paddack added a cutter in 2020, and it's possible that the addition of the pitch impacted the way he threw his fastball, as the vertical movement of it fell significantly. Either way, Paddack has too much talent to see his ERA hover around 5.00. There's risk given what we saw last year, but it's baked into his draft price.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Plesac is one of the most polarizing starting pitchers among fantasy analysts this offseason. A questionable off-the-field decision maker, Plesac dominated when on the mound in 2020. In an era where it's rarer and rarer to pitch deep into games, Plesac completed six full innings in all eight of his starts last year. He completed seven innings in 5-of-8 starts. So, how did he get so good all of a sudden? Plesac cut his fastball usage in order to throw an increased number of sliders and changeups. In short, the change in pitch mix worked. It was a short-but-terrific body of work. I'm a believer moving forward, and it's going to cost an early-to-middle round pick to get him.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros