Who Should I Draft?
Christian Yelich or Mike Trout (2021)
Experts' Pick | ||
Mike Trout CF - LAA | Christian Yelich LF,RF - MIL | |
Expert |
92% Recommended by 46 of 50 experts |
8% Recommended by 4 of 50 experts |
Rankings | ||
ECR | # 5 | # 7 |
Best Rank | # 1 | # 4 |
Worst Rank | # 10 | # 12 |
ADP | ||
Composite | # 5 | # 12 |
Best Rank | # 3 | # 9 |
Worst Rank | # 6 | # 13 |
Projections | ||
Runs | 111 | 103 |
Home Runs | 43 | 36 |
RBI | 109 | 93 |
Stolen Bases | 11 | 18 |
Batting Average | .291 | .283 |
Misc | ||
Injury Alert | - | - |
Expert Ranks | ||
Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 5 | # 6 |
Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 6 | # 8 |
Steve Gardner USA Today | # 5 | # 7 |
Site Projections RotoChamp | # 2 | # 5 |
Grey Albright Razzball | # 5 | # 11 |
Greg Smith The Fake Baseball | # 5 | # 10 |
Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 6 | # 7 |
Muntradamus Beast Dome | # 1 | # 12 |
KJ Fantasy Team Advice | # 5 | # 10 |
Luke Gloeckner Mr. Cheatsheet | # 6 | # 11 |
Dave McKay The Fantasy Sports Brain | # 6 | # 8 |
Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 5 | # 9 |
Tim McCullough Baseball Prospectus | # 5 | # 9 |
Rudy Gamble Razzball | # 7 | # 12 |
Wayne Bretsky BretskyBall | # 3 | # 6 |
Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 5 | # 7 |
Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 5 | # 9 |
Chris Meaney FTN | # 3 | # 7 |
Andy Singleton Expand The Boxscore | # 5 | # 8 |
Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 4 | # 8 |
Adam Ronis Fantasy Alarm | # 5 | # 7 |
Mario Mergola Sporfolio | # 1 | # 6 |
Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 4 | # 8 |
Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 4 | # 8 |
Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 5 | # 7 |
Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 5 | # 7 |
Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 5 | # 8 |
Andrew Seifter FantasyPros | # 5 | # 7 |
Max Freeze Freeze Stats | # 5 | # 8 |
Dennis Sosic Fantasy Six Pack | # 5 | # 11 |
Michael Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | # 5 | # 6 |
Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 5 | # 11 |
Ryan Amore Pitcher List | # 3 | # 6 |
Todd D Clark The Fantasy Fix | # 5 | # 8 |
Brendan Tuma FantasyPros | # 2 | # 7 |
Jacob W. Dunne New Life Fantasy | # 2 | # 9 |
Carmen Maiorano FantasyPros | # 8 | # 9 |
Lucas Spence Pitcher List | # 2 | # 10 |
Jordan Eisen Field of Vision Sports | # 3 | # 10 |
Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 4 | # 10 |
Brad Camara FantasyPros | # 5 | # 7 |
Staff Rankings Roto Ranks | # 5 | # 7 |
Corbin Young FantasyData | # 5 | # 8 |
Chris Clegg Fantrax | # 5 | # 10 |
Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | # 5 | # 11 |
Nicklaus Gaut RotoBaller | # 6 | # 10 |
Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 6 | # 4 |
Michael Waterloo FantasyPros | # 6 | # 5 |
Donkey Teeth Razzball | # 10 | # 5 |
Mick Ciallela Fantrax | # 7 | # 6 |
Mike Trout CF - LAA | Christian Yelich LF,RF - MIL | |
2020 Stats | ||
At Bats | 199 | 200 |
Runs | 41 | 39 |
Hits | 56 | 41 |
Singles | 28 | 21 |
Doubles | 9 | 7 |
Triples | 2 | 1 |
Home Runs | 17 | 12 |
RBI | 46 | 22 |
Stolen Bases | 1 | 4 |
Caught Stealing | 1 | 2 |
Walks | 35 | 46 |
Strikeouts | 56 | 76 |
Batting Average | .281 | .205 |
On Base Pct | .390 | .356 |
Slugging Pct | .603 | .430 |
On-base Plus Slugging | .993 | .786 |
Mike Trout CF - LAA | Christian Yelich LF,RF - MIL | |
2021 Projections | ||
At Bats | 520 | 549 |
Runs | 111 | 103 |
Hits | 149 | 153 |
Singles | 74 | 85 |
Doubles | 27 | 29 |
Triples | 4 | 3 |
Home Runs | 43 | 36 |
RBI | 109 | 93 |
Stolen Bases | 11 | 18 |
Caught Stealing | 3 | 4 |
Walks | 111 | 90 |
Strikeouts | 141 | 154 |
Batting Average | .291 | .283 |
On Base Pct | .418 | .385 |
Slugging Pct | .602 | .538 |
On-base Plus Slugging | 1.020 | .922 |
Mike Trout CF - LAA | Christian Yelich LF,RF - MIL | |
News | ||
Angels' CF Mike Trout went 3-5 with a single, a double, and a solo home run in Thursday's 7-5 win over the Blue Jays. Jack Mannis Thu, Apr 8th | Christian Yelich went 3-for-4 with a double, two singles, a walk, and a stolen base in Wednesday's win over the Cubs. Connor Rooney Wed, Apr 7th | |
Mike Trout went 1-4 with a two-run home run in an Angels' 4-2 loss to the Astros on Tuesday. Jack Mannis Tue, Apr 6th | Christian Yelich went 2-for-4 with an RBI and two runs scored in Thursday's win over the Twins. Connor Rooney Thu, Apr 1st | |
Mike Trout went 2-3 with a solo homer, one RBI, one run scored, and two walks during Monday's victory over the Astros. Jack Mannis Tue, Apr 6th | ||
Mike Trout went 2-3 with a single, a double, two walks, one run, and one RBI in Friday's 12-8 loss to the White Sox. Jack Mannis Sat, Apr 3rd | ||
Mike Trout went 1-2 with a single, two walks, an RBI, and a run scored in the Angels' 4-3 win over the White Sox. Jack Mannis Fri, Apr 2nd | ||
Notes | ||
For one of the first times since he took the league by storm, Trout is not the consensus top pick this year. It's hardly his fault, though it's fair to point out some of the negatives with his 2020 season. He batted a career-low .281, and posted his worst walk- and strikeout-rates since 2015. He also stole only one base. But Trout's move down the overall baseball rankings is due more to his competition for the top spot, rather than his numbers. He was still among the league leaders in quality of contact and every expected statcast metric, and was on pace to hit 50 home runs over the course of a full season. Trout is entering his age-30 season, so although we've seen him rebound from poor stolen base years before, it now seems unlikely that he'll ever get back to much past low-double digits. That keeps him out of the top spot in rotisserie rankings, but his incredibly high floor makes him a top-five overall draft pick. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | Yelich's 2020 season was, in a word, bizarre. After batting .327 combined from 2018-2019, his batting average dropped to a meager .205 last year. Although he hit the ball as hard as ever, setting career highs in average exit velocity and hard hit percentage, his strikeout rate ballooned more than 10 points to 30.8%. At the same time, Yelich's walk rate jumped up to 18.6%. Unsurprisingly, the reason for the jump in both Yelich's strikeouts and walks was that he simply swung less - just 34.6% of the time after his mark hovered above 44% the previous two seasons. If Yelich takes the same passive approach in 2021, then it's likely that his batting average will remain below what fantasy managers had come to expect. But considering that his season was so out of line with what he'd produced since coming to Milwaukee, fantasy managers should expect far more this season, and feel confident drafting him late in the first round. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | |
You won't find a safer first-round investment in all of fantasy baseball. However, entering Trout's age-29 season, it's now fair to consider several others worthy of the No. 1 overall pick come draft day. The biggest argument against Trout is a lack of stolen base upside. Trout swiped just one bag during the abbreviated 2020 campaign. Still, the well-rounded power and on-base skills aren't going anywhere just yet. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | Yelich was a bust for those who used a top-three selection on him in 2020 fantasy drafts. Don't let that scare you off, however. One of the biggest factors we need to consider for draft prep this year is how much should we weigh 2020? Yelich actually had a higher average exit velocity, a higher hard-hit rate, and a better walk rate than he did in 2019. He was just striking out way more often than usual. That, to me, looks like a profile in which Yelich would've eventually rebounded over the course of a full year. Perhaps he was pressing due to the depletion of Milwaukee's lineup, but Yelich's batted ball data is fine. I'm taking the discount and drafting him in the late-first with confidence. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros |