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Who Should I Draft?

Corbin Burnes or Jose Berrios (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Jose Berrios
SP - TOR
Jose Berrios
Expert
Recommendation
80%
Recommended by
41 of 51 experts
20%
Recommended by
10 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 20# 25
Best Rank# 14# 14
Worst Rank# 46# 44
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 56# 76
Best Rank# 51# 67
Worst Rank# 60# 85
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts174184
Wins912
Saves00
ERA3.634.00
WHIP1.201.22
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 27
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 25
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 24# 27
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 24# 28
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 19# 25
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 18
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 22# 28
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 20# 31
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 26# 28
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 23# 34
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 25
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 20# 26
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 25# 32
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 14# 28
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 21# 37
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 32# 33
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 19# 23
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 20# 26
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 19# 26
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 16# 22
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 18# 24
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 18# 19
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 22# 34
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 29
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 18# 25
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 14# 32
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 18# 32
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 25# 30
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 18# 29
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 18# 29
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 22# 26
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 20# 25
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 17# 26
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 14# 37
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 20# 44
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 20# 29
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 20# 25
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 15# 36
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 24# 28
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 19# 27
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 16# 38
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 21# 18
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 24# 18
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 24# 21
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 26# 18
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 27# 22
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 38# 29
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 38# 22
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 40# 35
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 42# 30
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 46# 14
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Jose Berrios
SP - TOR
Jose Berrios
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1212
   
Games Started912
   
Innings Pitched60.363.0
   
Wins45
   
Losses14
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed3757
   
Earned Runs1428
   
Home Runs Allowed28
   
Strikeouts8868
   
Walks2426
   
ERA2.114.00
   
WHIP1.021.32
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Jose Berrios
SP - TOR
Jose Berrios
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2930
   
Games Started2730
   
Innings Pitched142.1179.5
   
Wins912
   
Losses79
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed120165
   
Earned Runs5780
   
Home Runs Allowed1825
   
Strikeouts174184
   
Walks5154
   
ERA3.634.00
   
WHIP1.201.22
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Jose Berrios
SP - TOR
Jose Berrios
News 
 Corbin Burnes did not factor into the decision Saturday against the Cubs, allowing three runs on six hits across six innings. He walked three and struck out 11.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 19th
Blue Jays manager Charlie Montoyo is hopeful that RHP Jose Berrios (abdomen) can make his next start.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 15th
 Corbin Burnes (10-4) earned the win in a masterpiece Saturday against Cleveland. He threw eight no-hit innings while issuing one walk and striking out 14.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 11th
Jose Berrios was removed from his start on Tuesday against Tampa Bay due to abdominal tightness in his left side.
Ari Koslow
Wed, Sep 15th
 Corbin Burnes did not factor into the decision Sunday against the Cardinals, allowing three runs on six hits across five innings. He walked two and struck out seven.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 5th
Jose Berrios allowed two runs on five hits and two walks with eight strikeouts in 6 2/3 innings to earn the win over the Yankees on Thursday.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 10th
 Corbin Burnes (9-4) picked up the win Monday against the Giants, allowing one run on four hits across six innings. He walked none and struck out nine.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Aug 31st
Jose Berrios allowed three runs on four hits and struck out seven batters in 6 2/3 innings to earn the win Saturday over Oakland.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 5th
 Corbin Burnes did not factor into the decision in Tuesday's win over Cincinnati, allowing four runs on seven hits and three walks in six innings. He struck out five.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Aug 25th
Jose Berrios gave up one unearned run on six hits with no walks and 11 strikeouts over seven innings on Sunday afternoon as the Blue Jays beat the Tigers by a 2-1 score.
John Aubin
Sun, Aug 29th
Notes 
 Burnes's raw stuff was apparent to anyone who saw him pitch in 2019, but he simply couldn't stop giving up home runs (17 in 49 innings). The culprit was largely his four-seam fastball, which he threw more than half of the time and against which batters hit .425 with an .823 slugging percentage. In 2020, however, Corbin cut his four-seam fastball usage from 52.5% to just 2.5%. In its place, he relied heavily on a sinker and cutter, both of which worked better for the natural action on his pitches and which were highly effective. Considering that his slider, changeup, and curveball are also huge swing and miss pitches, Burnes's 36.7% strikeout rate from last year shouldn't be considered fluky. Even coming off a Cy Young-caliber season, there's still upside for the 26-year-old, and you should ignore entirely his 2019 disaster.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Berrios may not ever become the dominant pitcher many projected him to be, but he offers a strong floor for fantasy managers. Ignoring his 2016 cup of coffee, Berrios has pitched to a 3.89 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a strikeout per inning in his career. And although his walk rate went up a tad and he gave up a bit harder contact in 2020's shortened season, his numbers didn't vary from his usual output significantly. Bank on around a 4.00 ERA, a WHIP somewhere around 1.25, and plenty of strikeouts. In today's fantasy game, that's more than adequate for a strong fantasy staff.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Similar to Zach Plesac, Burnes completely altered his pitch mix en route to a breakout season. The right-hander ditched his four-seam/slider combo in exchange for a plethora of sinkers and cutters. The decision worked to perfection as Burnes' 2.11 ERA was backed up by a 2.99 xFIP and a 3.18 xERA. His HR/FB rate appears to be wildly unsustainable, but Burnes has always been talented and he now has the blueprint to excel with. He's an exciting SP2 entering draft season.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros