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Who Should I Draft?

Craig Kimbrel or Devin Williams (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CWS
Craig Kimbrel
Devin Williams
RP - MIL
Devin Williams
Expert
Recommendation
55%
Recommended by
28 of 51 experts
45%
Recommended by
23 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 61# 65
Best Rank# 35# 41
Worst Rank# 108# 118
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 164# 159
Best Rank# 153# 134
Worst Rank# 233# 221
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts7991
Wins34
Saves244
ERA3.653.14
WHIP1.211.18
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 55# 105
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 61# 75
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 52# 86
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 58# 118
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 55# 71
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 76
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 54# 90
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 69# 107
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 58# 59
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 54# 74
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 54# 62
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 63# 66
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 35# 75
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 63# 71
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 71# 86
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 86# 105
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 64# 69
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 63# 91
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 51# 64
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 50# 90
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 58# 80
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 47# 59
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 58# 67
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 42# 72
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 80# 96
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 67# 69
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 58# 65
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 39# 53
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 48# 46
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 58# 41
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 59# 51
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 61# 53
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 62# 51
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 63# 56
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 64# 60
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 65# 64
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 68# 51
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 68# 58
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 70# 61
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 72# 46
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 73# 63
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 74# 62
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 75# 72
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 83# 70
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 87# 54
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 89# 67
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 98# 51
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 98# 42
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 103# 60
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 108# 61
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 46
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CWS
Craig Kimbrel
Devin Williams
RP - MIL
Devin Williams
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1822
   
Games Started00
   
Innings Pitched15.027.0
   
Wins04
   
Losses11
   
Saves20
   
Blown Saves10
   
Holds39
   
Hits Allowed108
   
Earned Runs91
   
Home Runs Allowed21
   
Strikeouts2853
   
Walks129
   
ERA5.280.33
   
WHIP1.430.63
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CWS
Craig Kimbrel
Devin Williams
RP - MIL
Devin Williams
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played5659
   
Games Started00
   
Innings Pitched54.165.3
   
Wins34
   
Losses23
   
Saves244
   
Blown Saves111
   
Holds418
   
Hits Allowed4048
   
Earned Runs2223
   
Home Runs Allowed87
   
Strikeouts7991
   
Walks2629
   
ERA3.653.14
   
WHIP1.211.18
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CWS
Craig Kimbrel
Devin Williams
RP - MIL
Devin Williams
News 
 Craig Kimbrel had a rough ninth inning, allowing a one out double followed by two walks and a sacrifice fly that scored a run. He did chip in two strikeouts though.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Mon, Sep 13th
Devin Williams converted the save Tuesday against the Cubs, allowing three hits and striking out two in one inning.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Aug 10th
 Craig Kimbrel pitched the seventh inning on Saturday, allowing one hit while striking out three batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sun, Sep 5th
Devin Williams converted the save Wednesday against the Pirates, striking out two and walking one in one inning.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Aug 4th
 Craig Kimbrel came into the ninth with a seven run lead but ended up giving up three earned runs on two hits and a walk. He would strike out two batters though.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sat, Aug 28th
Devin Williams was reinstated from the IL on Tuesday.
Dan Harris
Tue, Jul 27th
 Craig Kimbrel pitched one inning, allowing one hit while also striking out one batter to earn his 24th save of the season and first with the White Sox.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Fri, Aug 27th
Brewers RP Devin Williams (elbow) will play catch on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jul 20th
 Craig Kimbrel didn't allow a ball to leave the infield on Monday, but lost the game after an infield hit, a wild pitch, a sacrifice ground ball, and another wild pitch. He would also walk a batter and strike out two.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Tue, Aug 24th
Milwaukee Brewers pitcher Devin Williams (elbow) was placed on the 10-day injured list Saturday with right elbow discomfort.
Brad Camara
Sat, Jul 17th
Notes 
 As a whole, Kimbrel's 2020 numbers were abysmal. A 5.28 ERA, a 1.43 WHIP, and a walk rate of 17.4%. And yet, there were some encouraging signs. Not only did his strikeout rate bounce back to 40.6%, but he was actually an elite pitcher after his first four outings. How elite? He pitched to a 1.42 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP, and stuck out 53.1% of the batters he faced. It wasn't perfect, as Kimbrel still walked five batters per nine innings over that stretch. But he showed that he still has some has left in the tank. Although he never reclaimed the closer's job despite his strong finish, it's a good bet that the Cubs hand him the ninth-inning role to start, as they try to rebuild his trade value in the final year of his deal. That means Kimbrel should at least get save chances for the first several weeks of the season, and, as such, should be drafted as low-end second closer with just a modicum of upside.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
You have to hand it to the Brewers - they produce relievers who put up historically great seasons. Williams wasn't just good in 2020 - he was truly beyond belief. A 0.33 ERA. One run and eight hits allowed in 27 innings. A 44% K-BB%. Williams has battled injuries for much of his career, but given what he did last year, he should be drafted among the elite fantasy relievers in the game. Even if he never gets a save chance with Josh Hader in front of him, his ratios make him more than worth it.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Over his final 14 appearances (12 2/3 IP) Kimbrel registered a 27:7 K:BB ratio to go along with a 1.42 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP. I'd like confirmation from the Cubs that he's entering the season as the closer before going "all in" on drafting him, but as long as he gets the ninth inning I'll be interested. Kimbrel has likely turned off many fantasy managers with some ugly blowup performances the past two years. This creates a buying opportunity. Kimbrel is a perfect candidate to draft for those who prefer to wait on saves.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
In the shortened 2020 season, Williams became the first reliever to ever win Rookie of the Year without earning a single save. This was a credit to his four wins, nine holds, 0.33 ERA, and 53 strikeouts in 27 innings pitched. Williams is once again unlikely to earn many saves in 2021, but his ratios are so elite that he's worth rostering in any and all fantasy leagues. To put in perspective how dominant Williams' changeup is - the spin rate on his changeup led the No. 2 finisher by more than 400 RPM, which was a bigger gap than No. 2 to No. 69. Should anything happen to Josh Hader, Williams would arguably become my top ranked closer in fantasy baseball.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
  Devin Williams was incredible in 2020 and ended up taking home the NL Rookie Year of the Year award. He owned a 0.33 ERA, 0.63 WHIP and a 53:9 K:BB across 27 innings last season. Williams will be one of the more popular relievers off the board for upcoming fantasy drafts, especially in league formats which use the category solds (save and holds). The Brewers reportedly were looking to move on from current closer Josh Hader. Williams would have the closer job all to himself and can be considered a top-5 reliever if Hader is dealt.
Brad Camara - FantasyPros