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Who Should I Draft?

DJ LeMahieu or Nolan Arenado (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  DJ LeMahieu
1B,2B,3B - NYY
DJ LeMahieu
Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
Expert
Recommendation
73%
Recommended by
37 of 51 experts
27%
Recommended by
14 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 24# 30
Best Rank# 13# 9
Worst Rank# 53# 60
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 25# 33
Best Rank# 21# 30
Worst Rank# 29# 42
   
Projections 
   
Runs9985
Home Runs2131
RBI7797
Stolen Bases62
Batting Average.307.274
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 28
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 15# 31
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 33# 34
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 35# 37
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 27# 31
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 29# 39
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 26# 41
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 25# 29
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 18# 29
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 22# 30
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 26# 60
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 22# 41
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 33
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 23# 26
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 22# 37
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 22# 31
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 20# 47
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 21# 36
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 24# 32
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 15# 26
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 17# 29
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 25# 29
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 16# 32
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 26# 38
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 22# 29
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 37# 45
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 25# 41
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 34# 53
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 19# 31
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 21# 40
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 15# 37
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 16# 19
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 25# 31
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 36# 51
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 26# 33
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 23# 29
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 27# 42
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 13# 9
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 21# 14
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 21# 20
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 23# 20
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 24# 18
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 26# 19
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 27# 17
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 28# 24
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 32# 29
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 33# 32
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 38# 29
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 39# 15
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 46# 41
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 53# 36
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  DJ LeMahieu
1B,2B,3B - NYY
DJ LeMahieu
Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats195182
   
Runs4123
   
Hits7146
   
Singles4929
   
Doubles109
   
Triples20
   
Home Runs108
   
RBI2726
   
Stolen Bases30
   
Caught Stealing00
   
Walks1815
   
Strikeouts2120
   
Batting Average.364.253
   
On Base Pct.421.304
   
Slugging Pct.590.434
   
On-base Plus Slugging1.011.738
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  DJ LeMahieu
1B,2B,3B - NYY
DJ LeMahieu
Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats579571
   
Runs9985
   
Hits176155
   
Singles12493
   
Doubles2929
   
Triples32
   
Home Runs2131
   
RBI7797
   
Stolen Bases62
   
Caught Stealing21
   
Walks4961
   
Strikeouts8795
   
Batting Average.307.274
   
On Base Pct.361.345
   
Slugging Pct.474.494
   
On-base Plus Slugging.835.839
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  DJ LeMahieu
1B,2B,3B - NYY
DJ LeMahieu
Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
News 
 DJ LeMahieu went 2-for-4 with a walk, double, and scored a run as the Yankees lost to the Indians on Sunday by an 11-3 score.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 19th
Nolan Arenado went 2-for-3 with a walk and a two-run home run in a 5-2 win over the Brewers on Monday night.
Lucas Spence
Mon, Sep 20th
 DJ LeMahieu went 2-for-5 with a solo home run and two runs scored Tuesday in the win against the Orioles.
John Aubin
Wed, Sep 15th
Nolan Arenado went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run in an 11-4 rout over the Mets on Wednesday.
Lucas Spence
Wed, Sep 15th
 DJ LeMahieu went 1-for-3 with a walk on Friday night as the Yankees lost to the Mets by a 10-3 score.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 11th
Nolan Arenado went 1-for-3 with a two-run home run in a 2-0 win over the Reds on Sunday.
Lucas Spence
Sun, Sep 12th
 DJ LeMahieu went 1-for-4 and drove in a pair of runs on Friday as the Yankees defeated the Orioles in 11 innings.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 4th
Nolan Arenado went 2-for-3 with a triple, two runs scored, three RBI, and the go-ahead, two-run home run in the bottom of the eighth inning to give the Cardinals a 6-4 win over the Reds on Saturday.
Lucas Spence
Sat, Sep 11th
 DJ LeMahieu went 2-for-5 with a double, an RBI, and scored two runs on Monday night as the Yankees lost to the Angels by an 8-7 score.
John Aubin
Tue, Aug 31st
Nolan Arenado went 1-for-3 with a pair of RBI in a loss to the Dodgers on Tuesday.
Lucas Spence
Tue, Sep 7th
Notes 
 LeMahieu will return to the Yankees on a six-year deal, and that is great news for fantasy managers. Since he's been New York, he's provided elite all-around production, most notably in batting average, where he has batted .336. He's blossomed into a 25-home run hitter with plenty of runs and RBI, and a handful of steals that chip in with the category. Add to that LeMahieu's multi-position eligibility and he is a huge asset to every fantasy team. With nothing in his profile to suggest a skills decline, he should be drafted before the third round is out in every fantasy league.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
On the bright side, Arenado struck out just 10% of the time, a career-best. On the down side, there was everything else. Arenado batted just .253 and put up a 162-game pace of 27 home runs, 78 runs, 88 RBI, and zero steals. Those numbers won't kill your fantasy team, but considering Arenado's worst numbers over the previous five seasons were 37 home runs, 97 runs scored, and 110 RBI, they were a disaster. The good news, at least from the standpoint of projecting Arenado into the future, is that he was dealing with an injured AC joint in his shoulder for most of the season. In other words, fantasy managers can largely ignore Arenado's poor 2020 numbers, and focus instead on how he will perform now that he's been traded to the Cardinals. Although there's likely to be some dip in his numbers, we've seen hitters leave the Rockies and largely retain their value (or, in the case of DJ LeMahieu, increase their value), The best part is you won't have to pay that first-round price anymore, and if his ADP drops after the trade to St. Louis, it should be easy to turn a profit.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 One of my biggest fades this season. DJL is great, but is more of a real life player than he is a fantasy player. Not reaching for him at his ceiling.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
The concern around Arenado leaving Coors may seem a bit overstated, but it is a legitimate concern. He has always been a superior hitter playing in Colorado and his statcast data has been on a steady decline for several years now. He is not someone I have been targeting in drafts.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
 Over the past two season "DJL" has posted a 183 wRC+ while playing at home compared to a 112 figure on the road. Of course, it's always helpful to be hitting in Yankee Stadium. This makes the fact that he re-signed with the Yankees an important one. LeMahieu is going to keep playing half of his games inside Yankee Stadium. The first modern player to win batting titles in both leagues, LeMahieu's presence on the Yankees means that he's the No. 1 fantasy second baseman for this fantasy writer.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Arenado suffered a shoulder injury in his fifth game of the year in 2020. He played through it, and it clearly affected his power stroke. Instead of crushing doubles and homers over the heads of opposing outfielders, Arenado was weakly flying out. He was later shut down with a week left in the year, and I think it's fair to attribute his poor production to playing through injury. However, there will always be analysts knocking down Arenado for his move away from Coors Field. Yet savvy fantasy managers know by now that playing half your games in Coors hurts your road numbers more than any other park, so we can't simply view Arenado's road numbers as "who he truly is." For example, Matt Holliday's road OPS while with the Rockies was .803. While with the Cardinals? .853. I'm aggressively targeting Arenado anytime he lasts until Round 3 of drafts this spring, and I'll be sure to get some shares late in the second as well.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros