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Who Should I Draft?

Dominic Smith or Willson Contreras (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Dominic Smith
1B,LF - NYM
Dominic Smith
Willson Contreras
C,DH - CHC
Willson Contreras
Expert
Recommendation
62%
Recommended by
31 of 50 experts
38%
Recommended by
19 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 86# 90
Best Rank# 44# 57
Worst Rank# 132# 184
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 123# 117
Best Rank# 114# 90
Worst Rank# 136# 132
   
Projections 
   
Runs6864
Home Runs2319
RBI7765
Stolen Bases23
Batting Average.267.256
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 68# 80
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 97# 113
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 68# 85
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 103# 166
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 114# 115
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 76# 95
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 78# 84
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 101# 108
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 44# 104
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 89# 97
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 88# 121
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 73# 81
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 49
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 85# 87
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 79# 105
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 99# 103
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 72# 75
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 71# 86
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 81# 120
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 64# 88
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 89# 98
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 57# 141
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 68# 107
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 71# 79
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 81# 88
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 73# 184
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 83# 101
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 65# 88
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 82# 86
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 84# 88
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 88# 108
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 76# 70
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 76# 65
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 80# 79
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 88# 83
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 88# 84
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 90# 84
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 92# 80
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 93# 72
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 95# 57
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 97# 86
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 102# 99
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 106# 90
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 107# 80
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 111# 73
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 112# 67
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 112# 86
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 120# 72
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 121# 78
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 132# 66
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Dominic Smith
1B,LF - NYM
Dominic Smith
Willson Contreras
C,DH - CHC
Willson Contreras
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats177189
   
Runs2737
   
Hits5646
   
Singles2429
   
Doubles2110
   
Triples10
   
Home Runs107
   
RBI4226
   
Stolen Bases01
   
Caught Stealing02
   
Walks1420
   
Strikeouts4557
   
Batting Average.316.243
   
On Base Pct.377.356
   
Slugging Pct.616.407
   
On-base Plus Slugging.993.763
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Dominic Smith
1B,LF - NYM
Dominic Smith
Willson Contreras
C,DH - CHC
Willson Contreras
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats478421
   
Runs6864
   
Hits127107
   
Singles7064
   
Doubles3121
   
Triples22
   
Home Runs2319
   
RBI7765
   
Stolen Bases23
   
Caught Stealing12
   
Walks4147
   
Strikeouts128118
   
Batting Average.267.256
   
On Base Pct.325.330
   
Slugging Pct.483.450
   
On-base Plus Slugging.808.780
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Dominic Smith
1B,LF - NYM
Dominic Smith
Willson Contreras
C,DH - CHC
Willson Contreras
News 
 Dominic Smith went 0-4 before being replaced by Albert Almora Jr. for defense late in the game.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Mon, Apr 19th
Willson Contreras went 2-for-5 Wednesday versus the Mets. He would come around to score twice.
Jamie Mellor
Thu, Apr 22nd
 Dominic Smith went 1-4 with two RBIs, one run scored, and one strikeout in game one. And 0-4 with two strikeouts in game two.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Wed, Apr 14th
Willson Contreras went 0-for-3 with a walk versus New York Tuesday. That walk came with the bases loaded to force in a run.
Jamie Mellor
Wed, Apr 21st
 Dominic Smith went 1-4 with a home run, one run scored, two RBIs, and two strikeouts. Albert Amora replaced Smith after his final at-bat.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Wed, Apr 7th
Willson Contreras went 2-for-4 versus the Braves Saturday. His two hits were solo home runs. He has five homers this season, including four in the last three games he has played in.
Jamie Mellor
Sun, Apr 18th
 Dominic Smith is absent from the Mets' lineup on Monday against the Phillies.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Apr 5th
Willson Contreras was hit by another pitch Friday versus the Braves. He would respond by throwing out a baserunner at third and blasting his third homer of the season.
Jamie Mellor
Sat, Apr 17th
 Mets 1B/OF Dominic Smith (wrist) played in a simulated game on Saturday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Mar 20th
Willson Contreras was hit by a pitch once again versus the Brewers Tuesday. Instead of having the benches clear, he waited and in the eighth-inning, he connected with a two-run homer that gave the Cubs a 3-2 lead, which would be the final score. The homer was his second of the season. Contreras also came around to score the other Cubs run earlier in the game.
Jamie Mellor
Wed, Apr 14th
Notes 
 Smith showed he had the bat to hit in the majors in 2019, but he took an extra step forward in last year's shortened season. His .316/.377/.616 slash line effectively forced the Mets to find a way to get his bat into the lineup, even if his defense tried to prevent it. His Statcast data was excellent, as he put up a barrel percentage of 13.3% and a hard hit percentage of 46.7%, all with a .405 wOBA, which was in the top four percent of the league. The issue for Smith is his fielding and with the National League surprisingly not adopting the designated hitter, that means he'll need to play out in left field most days. Although the Mets can surely live with the tradeoff, Smith will likely lose plenty of at-bats late in games as he gets switched out for defensive purposes. He'll still have plenty of value, but without the DH, be cautious with your projections for his counting stats.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Contreras has established a pretty decent baseline for what fantasy managers can expect over the course of a full season. He'll likely give you a floor of 15 home runs and 110 combined runs and RBI, with upside for more. Those numbers don't sound impressive, but they're enough to make Contreras a top-five catcher easily. Given his safety, there's an argument to be made to take him as high as second overall at the position. But, even so, there's no need to select him before the eighth round or so, as there's not an appreciable difference in the production of the next seven or eight catchers beyond J.T. Realmuto.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Dom is a hitter. He has a pure swing and will be hitting in the middle of a potent lineup. He will likely sit a couple times a week and come out of games early for defensive reasons, which caps his potential, but there is till more than enough there to be a very useful fantasy piece.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
At this point Contreras is who he is. I understand the appeal, but when you can get someone like Travis d'Arnaud several rounds later, there is really no reason to draft Contreras at ADP.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy