Who Should I Draft?
Dylan Cease or Justin Verlander (2023)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Justin Verlander SP - NYM  | Dylan Cease SP - CWS  | |
Expert |
87% Recommended by 47 of 54 experts |
13% Recommended by 7 of 54 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 9 | # 16 |
| Best Rank | # 3 | # 4 |
| Worst Rank | # 23 | # 43 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 32 | # 42 |
| Best Rank | # 19 | # 20 |
| Worst Rank | # 40 | # 49 |
| Projections | ||
| Strikeouts | 184 | 219 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Saves | 0 | 0 |
| ERA | 2.90 | 3.36 |
| WHIP | 0.98 | 1.19 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | IL15 | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 7 | # 16 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 10 | # 22 |
| Pat Fitzmaurice FantasyPros | # 16 | # 33 |
| Jody Smith FullTime Fantasy | # 9 | # 23 |
| Steve Gardner USA Today | # 6 | # 15 |
| Grey Albright Razzball | # 7 | # 19 |
| Greg Smith Superflex.Guide | # 16 | # 17 |
| Josh Shepardson FantasyPros | # 11 | # 16 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 8 | # 13 |
| Muntradamus Beast Dome | # 5 | # 24 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 8 | # 24 |
| Luke Gloeckner Mr. Cheatsheet | # 7 | # 26 |
| Dave McKay The Fantasy Sports Brain | # 8 | # 16 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 9 | # 18 |
| Rudy Gamble Razzball | # 7 | # 17 |
| Wayne Bretsky BretskyBall | # 10 | # 18 |
| Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 10 | # 14 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 8 | # 13 |
| Chris Meaney FTN | # 14 | # 23 |
| Mario Mergola Sporfolio | # 6 | # 25 |
| Christopher Welsh FantasyPros | # 9 | # 16 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 9 | # 18 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 8 | # 16 |
| Pierre Camus Fantasy Endgame | # 8 | # 15 |
| Andrew Seifter FantasyPros | # 6 | # 43 |
| Max Freeze Freeze Stats | # 9 | # 18 |
| Matthew Williams The Athletic | # 9 | # 16 |
| Dennis Sosic Fantasy Six Pack | # 9 | # 16 |
| Keith Lott Fantasy Six Pack | # 8 | # 20 |
| Bart Wheeler Hail to Fantasy Football | # 6 | # 22 |
| Mick Ciallela Fantrax | # 8 | # 17 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 6 | # 24 |
| Ryan Amore Pitcher List | # 7 | # 31 |
| Lucas Spence Pitcher List | # 8 | # 14 |
| Brad Camara RotoBaller | # 6 | # 16 |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | # 8 | # 29 |
| Scott Youngson Pitcher List | # 6 | # 13 |
| Scott Bogman FantasyPros | # 10 | # 12 |
| Jason Kamlowsky FantasyPros | # 10 | # 15 |
| Kev Mahserejian RotoBaller | # 10 | # 27 |
| Travis Argo Fantasy Six Pack | # 10 | # 13 |
| Fred Zinkie Yahoo! Sports | # 8 | # 14 |
| Julian Tarevski FantasyPros | # 10 | # 14 |
| Kelly Kirby FantasyPros | # 8 | # 11 |
| Blake Meyer Sports Gambling Podcast Network | # 10 | # 13 |
| Tristan Davis SEMO Fantasy Sports Podcast | # 3 | # 20 |
| Joe Orrico SportsEthos | # 15 | # 24 |
| Brandon 'B_Don' Myers Razzball | # 10 | # 4 |
| Jesse Garcia FantasyPros | # 16 | # 6 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 10 | # 7 |
| Jacob W. Dunne Triple Play Fantasy | # 23 | # 10 |
| Todd D Clark The Fantasy Fix | # 13 | # 10 |
| Taylor Tarter Fastball Fantasy Baseball | # 12 | # 10 |
| Ethan Biddle FantasyPros | # 16 | # 13 |
| Justin Verlander SP - NYM | Dylan Cease SP - CWS | |
| 2022 Stats | ||
| Games Played | 28 | 32 |
| Games Started | 28 | 32 |
| Innings Pitched | 175.0 | 184.0 |
| Wins | 18 | 14 |
| Losses | 4 | 8 |
| Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Blown Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Holds | 0 | 0 |
| Hits Allowed | 116 | 126 |
| Earned Runs | 34 | 45 |
| Home Runs Allowed | 12 | 16 |
| Strikeouts | 185 | 227 |
| Walks | 29 | 78 |
| ERA | 1.75 | 2.20 |
| WHIP | 0.83 | 1.11 |
| Justin Verlander SP - NYM | Dylan Cease SP - CWS | |
| 2023 Projections | ||
| Games Played | 28 | 31 |
| Games Started | 28 | 31 |
| Innings Pitched | 170.5 | 181.0 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Blown Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Holds | 0 | 0 |
| Hits Allowed | 131 | 141 |
| Earned Runs | 55 | 67 |
| Home Runs Allowed | 19 | 22 |
| Strikeouts | 184 | 219 |
| Walks | 35 | 73 |
| ERA | 2.90 | 3.36 |
| WHIP | 0.98 | 1.19 |
| Justin Verlander SP - NYM | Dylan Cease SP - CWS | |
| News | ||
| Justin Verlander has been placed in the 15-day injured list retroactive to March 27 with a low grade trees major strain according to the New York Mets. Chris Schommer Thu, Mar 30th | White Sox ace Dylan Cease lived up to that title completely shutting down the Astros over 6 1/3 innings. He allowed one run on two hits with 10 strikeouts without a walk. Kendall Capps Fri, Mar 31st | |
| Justin Verlander struck out five Astros in three and one-thirds innings in Friday’s split-squad spring training game. Scott Youngson Fri, Mar 10th | Dylan Cease will start on the mound for the Chicago White Sox in an Opening Day contest against the Houston Astros Thursday night. Chris Schommer Thu, Mar 30th | |
| Notes | ||
| Justin Verlander had Tommy John surgery in 2020 at the age of 37, missed all of 2021 at the age of 38, and won the AL Cy Young Award in 2022 at the age of 39. As a reward for that performance, he signed a two-year contract with the Mets so he and Max Scherzer can arm wrestle for who gets to call themselves the staff's ace. Including the postseason run, Verlander threw 195 innings last season, and even though he has been a workhorse for his entire career, it is fair to question how many more years he can continue to flirt with 200 innings. He struck out 210 batters with a regular-season ERA of 1.75 and a microscopic WHIP of 0.83. Aside from turning 40 in February, fantasy managers need to be wary of the BABIP of .240, which is 30 points below his career average and due to regress. He will come with a senior citizen discount in drafts, but that could be a heck of a steal if he somehow comes close to a repeat performance. Kelly Kirby - FantasyPros | Dylan Cease finished second to Justin Verlander for 2022 AL Cy Young and had an outstanding year for a wildly disappointing White Sox team. He threw 184 innings, going 14-8 while striking out 227 batters with an ERA of 2.20 and a WHIP of 1.11. Sounds great for a 27-year-old who could be a fantasy anchor for your pitching staff, right? Well... Underneath that sparkling 2.20 ERA was an xFIP of 3.50 and an extremely low BABIP of .260. These metrics should give you pause as you face the decision to draft him in the 2nd/3rd round of your draft. If he gets his walks and home runs under control, he could live up to that ADP, but be wary of drafting an "if" guy that high. Kelly Kirby - FantasyPros | |
