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Who Should I Draft?

Freddie Freeman or Bryce Harper (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Freddie Freeman
1B - ATL
Freddie Freeman
Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
Expert
Recommendation
88%
Recommended by
45 of 51 experts
12%
Recommended by
6 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 10# 11
Best Rank# 6# 7
Worst Rank# 22# 24
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 11# 18
Best Rank# 9# 17
Worst Rank# 13# 18
   
Projections 
   
Runs106103
Home Runs3236
RBI109104
Stolen Bases614
Batting Average.304.266
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 9# 12
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 14
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 10# 12
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 7# 14
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 13# 14
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 10# 11
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 6# 11
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 10# 12
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 10# 12
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 10# 13
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 10# 12
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 11# 16
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 10# 13
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 10# 12
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 11
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 10# 11
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 10# 12
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 10# 13
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 10# 11
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 10# 13
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 9# 11
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 10# 11
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 9# 11
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 22# 24
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 10# 11
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 9# 11
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 10# 12
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 10# 11
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 9# 13
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 8# 9
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 10# 11
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 10# 11
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 9# 10
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 9# 11
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 10# 11
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 11# 12
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 10# 18
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 7# 8
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 9# 12
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 9# 12
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 9# 11
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 10# 11
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 9# 11
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 10# 12
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 8# 11
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 10# 7
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 10# 7
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 11# 9
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 11# 10
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 13# 11
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Freddie Freeman
1B - ATL
Freddie Freeman
Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats214190
   
Runs5141
   
Hits7351
   
Singles3627
   
Doubles239
   
Triples12
   
Home Runs1313
   
RBI5333
   
Stolen Bases28
   
Caught Stealing02
   
Walks4549
   
Strikeouts3743
   
Batting Average.341.268
   
On Base Pct.462.420
   
Slugging Pct.640.542
   
On-base Plus Slugging1.102.962
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Freddie Freeman
1B - ATL
Freddie Freeman
Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats567536
   
Runs106103
   
Hits170141
   
Singles9673
   
Doubles3930
   
Triples22
   
Home Runs3236
   
RBI109104
   
Stolen Bases614
   
Caught Stealing24
   
Walks89111
   
Strikeouts118155
   
Batting Average.304.266
   
On Base Pct.399.394
   
Slugging Pct.548.527
   
On-base Plus Slugging.946.920
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Freddie Freeman
1B - ATL
Freddie Freeman
Bryce Harper
RF,DH - PHI
Bryce Harper
News 
 Freddie Freeman went 2-for-5 with two singles and a run scored against the Giants Friday.
Steve Painter
Sat, Sep 18th
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 3-for-4 with two doubles, a home run, three runs scored, four RBI, and two walks in Thursday's win over the Cubs.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Sep 17th
 Freddie Freeman went 2-for-3 with a triple, an RBI single and a run scored against the Rockies Tuesday.
Steve Painter
Wed, Sep 15th
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 2-for-3 with a double, a walk, a run scored, and a stolen base in Wednesday's win over the Cubs.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Sep 16th
 Freddie Freeman went 1-for-3 with a solo homer against the Marlins Sunday.
Steve Painter
Mon, Sep 13th
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-3 with an RBI, a run scored, and a walk in Tuesday's loss to the Chicago Cubs.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Sep 15th
 Freddie Freeman went 2-for-5 with two RBI singles and a run scored against the Marlins Saturday.
Steve Painter
Sat, Sep 11th
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 2-for-4 with a home run in Thursday's loss to the Rockies. The homer was his 30th of the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Sep 10th
 Freddie Freeman went 2-for-5 with a solo homer, a double, and an additional run scored against the Nationals Thursday.
Steve Painter
Fri, Sep 10th
Phillies outfielder Bryce Harper went 1-for-1 with a home run, two RBI, and three walks in Wednesday's loss to the Brewers. The homer was his 29th of the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Sep 9th
Notes 
 Although there were questions about Freeman's 2020 season because of his battle with COVID-19 prior to the season, those questions were answered and then some with his MVP season. The statcast leaderboard is littered with Freeman's name, as he ranked in the top nine percent of the league in barrel rate, average exit velocity, expected batting average, expected slugging percentage, wOBA, xwOBA, xwOBAcon, hard hit percentage, strikeout percentage, and walk percentage. Freeman likely won't reach double digits in steals, but that is about the only negative thing you can say about his fantasy outlook. He's as safe as they come in the other four hitting categories, and comes with next to no risk. He'll likely cost a borderline first round pick on draft day, but he is worth it.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
In 157 games in Harper's first year with the Phillies, he batted .260 with 35 home runs, 98 runs, 114 RBI, and 15 steals. In 2020, his 157-game pace was .268 with 35 home runs, 111 runs, 89 RBI, and 21 steals. In other words, Harper provides an incredibly safe baseline now with Philadelphia, and fantasy managers can expect roughly 35 home runs, 15-20 steals, and 220 combined runs and RBI. There were some gains for Harper in 2020, as he walked more and struck out less than he ever had in his career, and hit the ball as hard as ever. But there's no reason to expect much growth in Harper's surface numbers at this point. Take the incredibly high floor in the second round and be happy with it.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Harper's 2020 Statcast data wound up being better than his 2015 unanimous MVP campaign. The 28-year-old has become somewhat of a saber-metric darling as his batting average, RBIs, and runs don't also jump off the page. Of course, those stats are pretty relevant for fantasy purposes. While Harper has been running more since his arrival to Philadelphia (15 steals in '19 and eight stolen bases last summer), he just isn't as valuable in traditional 5x5 roto as he is in points leagues or category leagues that utilize OBP. The Statcast data is STRONG, however, and public perception hasn't seem to catch on just yet. Harper is going to be an early-round target of mine, particularly in points and OBP leagues.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros