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Who Should I Draft?

Freddie Freeman or Manny Machado (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Freddie Freeman
1B - ATL
Freddie Freeman
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Expert
Recommendation
96%
Recommended by
49 of 51 experts
4%
Recommended by
2 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 10# 14
Best Rank# 6# 11
Worst Rank# 22# 25
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 11# 20
Best Rank# 9# 16
Worst Rank# 13# 21
   
Projections 
   
Runs10692
Home Runs3235
RBI109105
Stolen Bases610
Batting Average.304.278
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 9# 14
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 12
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 10# 14
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 7# 19
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 13# 15
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 13# 14
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 10# 12
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 10# 17
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 6# 13
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 10# 14
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 10# 11
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 10# 14
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 10# 13
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 11# 17
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 10# 12
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 10# 21
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 13
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 10# 14
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 10# 14
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 10# 14
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 10# 14
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 11# 13
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 10# 14
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 9# 13
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 10# 14
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 9# 16
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 10# 14
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 9# 15
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 10# 13
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 10# 14
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 9# 15
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 8# 16
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 10# 15
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 10# 17
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 9# 13
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 10# 25
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 9# 12
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 10# 21
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 11# 14
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 10# 22
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 7# 13
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 9# 13
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 9# 11
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 9# 13
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 10# 14
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 11# 16
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 9# 13
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 10# 14
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 8# 13
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 12
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 22# 13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Freddie Freeman
1B - ATL
Freddie Freeman
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats214224
   
Runs5144
   
Hits7368
   
Singles3639
   
Doubles2312
   
Triples11
   
Home Runs1316
   
RBI5347
   
Stolen Bases26
   
Caught Stealing03
   
Walks4526
   
Strikeouts3737
   
Batting Average.341.304
   
On Base Pct.462.370
   
Slugging Pct.640.580
   
On-base Plus Slugging1.102.950
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Freddie Freeman
1B - ATL
Freddie Freeman
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats567587
   
Runs10692
   
Hits170162
   
Singles9696
   
Doubles3929
   
Triples22
   
Home Runs3235
   
RBI109105
   
Stolen Bases610
   
Caught Stealing24
   
Walks8965
   
Strikeouts118113
   
Batting Average.304.278
   
On Base Pct.399.350
   
Slugging Pct.548.510
   
On-base Plus Slugging.946.860
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Freddie Freeman
1B - ATL
Freddie Freeman
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
News 
 Freddie Freeman went 1-for-3 with a single and a run scored against the Mets Sunday.
Steve Painter
Sun, Oct 3rd
Manny Machado went 2-for-4 on Wednesday, highlighted by his two-run homer in the third inning. He also singled, drew a walk, and scored a second time later in the game.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Thu, Sep 30th
 Freddie Freeman went 2-for-3 with two singles and an RBI against the Mets Saturday.
Steve Painter
Sun, Oct 3rd
Manny Machado went 2-for-5 in the game, hitting two singles, scoring once and driving in a run in the process. He also struck out once.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Thu, Sep 23rd
 Freddie Freeman went 2-for-4 with two singles and a walk against the Padres Sunday.
Steve Painter
Sun, Sep 26th
Manny Machado went 3-for-5 on Tuesday, hitting two solo home runs and a single.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Wed, Sep 22nd
 Freddie Freeman went 3-for-5 with a two-run homer, two doubles, and an additional two runs scored against the Diamondbacks Wednesday.
Steve Painter
Thu, Sep 23rd
Manny Machado went 3-for-4 on Saturday, hitting two singles and a double, scoring twice and driving in a run in the process.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sun, Sep 12th
 Freddie Freeman went 3-for-5 with a double, two singles, two RBI, and two runs scored against the Diamondbacks Monday.
Steve Painter
Tue, Sep 21st
Manny Machado was 2-for-4 on the day, hitting a double and a homer, driving in two runs and scoring once.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sun, Sep 5th
Notes 
 Although there were questions about Freeman's 2020 season because of his battle with COVID-19 prior to the season, those questions were answered and then some with his MVP season. The statcast leaderboard is littered with Freeman's name, as he ranked in the top nine percent of the league in barrel rate, average exit velocity, expected batting average, expected slugging percentage, wOBA, xwOBA, xwOBAcon, hard hit percentage, strikeout percentage, and walk percentage. Freeman likely won't reach double digits in steals, but that is about the only negative thing you can say about his fantasy outlook. He's as safe as they come in the other four hitting categories, and comes with next to no risk. He'll likely cost a borderline first round pick on draft day, but he is worth it.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Machado was on pace to set career highs in most statistical categories other than steals after last year's 60-game season. He set career bests in strikeout and walk rates and, most importantly to fantasy managers, batting average, where he checked in at .304. Machado's batting average was earned (he had an identica .304 xBA), and came on the back of him cutting his ground ball rate to a career low 37.2% and his line drive rate to a career high 22%. Machado is still just entering his age-29 season, and will continue to bat in a loaded lineup. Expect some regression from his batting average, but all his other stellar numbers should remain on par, meaning it will be another outstanding season that is worth a second-round pick.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Being picked at his ceiling, which is always a no-no for me. Was all over him last season with his depressed ADP, now it is too high, and I will have very little shares.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
  Machado rode a career-year all the way to a third place finish in the National League MVP voting last summer. He proved to be a massive bargain in fantasy drafts following a disappointing 2019 campaign. Perhaps we never should've overreacted to his first year in San Diego, as Machado remains a tremendous talent. The issue with drafting him in 2021 is that we're paying a premium now. He'll need to produce at a similar rate as last year to pay off his aggressive ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros