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Who Should I Draft?

George Springer or Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  George Springer
CF,DH,RF - TOR
George Springer
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Expert
Recommendation
53%
Recommended by
27 of 51 experts
47%
Recommended by
24 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 35# 34
Best Rank# 19# 12
Worst Rank# 58# 65
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 50# 51
Best Rank# 44# 40
Worst Rank# 52# 54
   
Projections 
   
Runs10084
Home Runs3427
RBI9195
Stolen Bases63
Batting Average.275.288
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 34# 40
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 25# 54
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 32# 33
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 54# 65
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 21# 32
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 30# 35
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 37# 50
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 31# 37
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 33# 41
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 48# 49
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 32# 33
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 31# 41
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 36# 41
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 38# 44
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 37# 38
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 34# 37
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 35# 44
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 35# 44
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 31# 32
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 31# 37
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 28# 42
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 29# 41
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 33# 42
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 34# 59
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 32# 35
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 26# 37
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 32# 37
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 19# 18
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 30# 27
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 30# 29
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 32# 29
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 32# 31
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 32# 23
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 33# 23
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 34# 33
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 34# 33
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 35# 28
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 35# 34
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 35# 31
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 38# 32
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 39# 27
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 40# 25
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 40# 20
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 40# 38
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 40# 23
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 41# 18
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 42# 12
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 52# 31
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 57# 35
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 58# 32
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 58# 49
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  George Springer
CF,DH,RF - TOR
George Springer
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats189221
   
Runs3734
   
Hits4958
   
Singles2734
   
Doubles613
   
Triples22
   
Home Runs149
   
RBI3233
   
Stolen Bases12
   
Caught Stealing20
   
Walks2420
   
Strikeouts3838
   
Batting Average.259.262
   
On Base Pct.355.329
   
Slugging Pct.534.462
   
On-base Plus Slugging.889.791
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  George Springer
CF,DH,RF - TOR
George Springer
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats534554
   
Runs10084
   
Hits145158
   
Singles8595
   
Doubles2432
   
Triples23
   
Home Runs3427
   
RBI9195
   
Stolen Bases63
   
Caught Stealing31
   
Walks6756
   
Strikeouts122101
   
Batting Average.275.288
   
On Base Pct.357.354
   
Slugging Pct.517.502
   
On-base Plus Slugging.874.856
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  George Springer
CF,DH,RF - TOR
George Springer
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B,3B,DH - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
News 
 George Springer went 4-for-5 with a double, a three-run home run, and a second run scored in Saturday's 10-1 win over the Orioles.
John Aubin
Sun, Oct 3rd
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. exited Saturday's win over the Orioles after rolling his ankle but is feeling fine, Mike Wilner of the Toronto Star reports.
John Aubin
Sun, Oct 3rd
 George Springer went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run and a walk in the Blue Jay's 6-1 win over the Twins on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 26th
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 1-for-4 with a double and drove in a run on Thursday as the Blue Jays lost to the Yankees by a 6-2 score.
John Aubin
Fri, Oct 1st
 George Springer went 1-for-3 with a walk and scored a run in the win against the Rays by a 4-2 score.
John Aubin
Wed, Sep 22nd
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 2-for-3 with a walk, a double, and scored a run on Wednesday as the Blue Jays lost to the Rays by a 7-1 score.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 23rd
 George Springer went 3-for-8 with a home run, a walk, two RBI, and two runs scored across both games of Saturday's doubleheader versus Baltimore.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 12th
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 1-for-3 with a solo home run and a walk in Friday's 7-3 loss to Minnesota.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 18th
 George Springer (knee) went 1-for-5 with a strikeouts in his return to the lineup on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 11th
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 1-for-5 with a solo home run in an 8-1 win over the Rays on Monday night.
John Aubin
Tue, Sep 14th
Notes 
 Springer is dealing with a grade-2 oblique strain, and his status is in doubt for Opening Day, though the injury is not expected to keep him out for very long. When healthy, he's a dynamic player. Springer's batting average fell off a tad last year, but once he was past his wrist injury, he was explosive, batting .316 with a 1.033 OPS over the final month of the season. His expected statistics were excellent, as he ranked in the top eight percent of the league in xBA, xSLG, and xWOBA. Now with the Blue Jays and an extreme hitter's park (wherever the Blue Jay play this year), he should once again be in line for a stellar year. Home runs and runs scored should again be plentiful, making Springer a rock solid second outfielder in mixed leagues.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Guerrero Jr. comes into 2021 with fantasy managers asking the same question they asked the year before: can he stop hitting the ball on the ground so much? A 49.6% ground-ball rate was bad in 2019, but a 54.6% ground ball rate in 2020 was downright egregious. Guerrero Jr. hits the ball really, really hard. He was in the top seven percent of MLB in average exit velocity (92.5 MPH) and hard hit rate (50.8%). But until he learns to stop pounding the ball into the dirt, his power upside will be limited. There will be some fantasy manager in your league willing to bet on the upside, so if you want Guerrero Jr., you're going to have to draft him before his numbers say you should. This may indeed be the year that everything clicks. But you'll have to pay to find out.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Vlad's propensity to smack the ball into the ground is concerning, but he lost a ton of weight, is only 22 years old, and no one would be surprised if he took the superstar leap this season. He is a very solid pick at ADP with upside.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
  At the end of the 2020 season Guerrero Jr. admitted to being out of shape for the start of summer camp, though he insists that he was ready to go for the original spring training. Quarantine life got the best of many of us, and young Vladito unfortunately wasn't an exception. By all reports, his weight loss effort has skyrocketed this offseason. It appears as if the message has been received. Guerrero is aiming to return to the hot corner in 2021. Improving his fitness is step one towards him having a good season. Step two will either be hitting less ground balls or doing more damage on his non-grounders. I'm comfortable taking an aggressive stance here and being a year early on Guerrero should it come to that.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros