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Who Should I Draft?

George Springer or Yordan Alvarez (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Yordan Alvarez
LF,DH - HOU
Yordan Alvarez
George Springer
CF,RF - HOU
George Springer
Expert
Recommendation
57%
Recommended by
26 of 46 experts
43%
Recommended by
20 of 46 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 27# 24
Best Rank# 17# 18
Worst Rank# 67# 68
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 38# 41
Best Rank# 33# 28
Worst Rank# 51# 47
   
Projections 
   
Runs3140
Home Runs1313
RBI3833
Stolen Bases12
Batting Average.290.282
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL10-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 20# 68
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 27# 28
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 23# 29
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 33# 37
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 22# 28
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 17# 19
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 21# 29
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 23# 28
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 26# 28
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 24# 28
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 24# 25
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 29# 34
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 21# 29
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 17# 20
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 24
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 28# 31
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 22# 24
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 24# 32
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 22# 27
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 19# 29
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 19# 23
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 30# 36
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 18# 21
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 23# 24
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 25# 30
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 24# 28
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 31# 18
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 23# 18
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 28# 18
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 22# 19
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 33# 23
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 25# 24
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 28# 25
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 28# 25
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 28# 25
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 49# 26
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 28# 26
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 28# 26
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 30# 26
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 56# 27
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 67# 29
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 39# 29
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 33# 30
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 42# 31
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 46# 33
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 52# 36
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Yordan Alvarez
LF,DH - HOU
Yordan Alvarez
George Springer
CF,RF - HOU
George Springer
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats313479
   
Runs5896
   
Hits98139
   
Singles4577
   
Doubles2620
   
Triples03
   
Home Runs2739
   
RBI7896
   
Stolen Bases06
   
Caught Stealing02
   
Walks5267
   
Strikeouts94113
   
Batting Average.313.290
   
On Base Pct.412.381
   
Slugging Pct.655.589
   
On-base Plus Slugging1.067.970
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Yordan Alvarez
LF,DH - HOU
Yordan Alvarez
George Springer
CF,RF - HOU
George Springer
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats178199
   
Runs3140
   
Hits5256
   
Singles2733
   
Doubles1110
   
Triples01
   
Home Runs1313
   
RBI3833
   
Stolen Bases12
   
Caught Stealing01
   
Walks2526
   
Strikeouts5147
   
Batting Average.290.282
   
On Base Pct.379.366
   
Slugging Pct.569.524
   
On-base Plus Slugging.948.890
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Yordan Alvarez
LF,DH - HOU
Yordan Alvarez
George Springer
CF,RF - HOU
George Springer
News 
 The Astros placed Yordan Alvarez on the injured list for undisclosed reasons.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jul 13th
George Springer is absent from Tuesday's workout as he awaits COVID-19 test results.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jul 14th
 Yordan Alvarez has not yet made an appearance at Astros summer camp.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jul 12th
Chandler Rome of the Houston Chronicle writes the Astros have "made it clear" to George Springer's representatives that the franchise wants to sign him to a long-term deal.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, May 9th
 Yordan Alvarez (personal) hasn’t arrived in Houston for spring training 2.0 due to personal reasons.
Brad Camara
Fri, Jul 3rd
George Springer went 2-for-2 with a walk and a stolen base in the Astros' split squad game versus the Braves on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Mar 10th
 The Astros are planning to have Yordan Alvarez play the field more often in 2020.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Mar 21st
George Springer went 0-for-3 with two strikeouts in Tuesday's 6-3 loss to the Cardinals.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Mar 3rd
 Astros manager Dusty Baker says Yordan Alvarez (knee) will not play on Wednesday as previously scheduled.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Mar 10th
 
Notes 
 Ignore the eligibility concerns. Ignore the cheating scandal. Don't totally ignore the knees, but do pay attention to the results. Alvarez put on a historic performance last year across the majors and minors, and there's really nothing to his profile that suggests it wasn't all legit. Before last season, he was really good in the minors, but not quite this good. Fortunately, we can chalk that up to another year of development. Alvarez won't give you steals, but the rest of the numbers are up there with the elite options in fantasy. Yeah, we're talking about a top-five pick if he does it again. He has the pedigree, and he's had the success early in his career.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
It's weird that George Springer is already 30 years old, no? It seems like just yesterday that he made his debut. We know that players start to decline on the wrong side of 30, and when you look at Springer, he hasn't exactly been the model of health over the past few years, playing in more than 140 games just once in his career. Add to that the cheating scandal, and we really don't know how much of an impact it will have on Springer. There are enough signs here to pivot in another direction.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 It was just an 87 game sample size but in that time, Yordan was clearly one of the top five hitters in baseball. He won't steal any bags, but 50 homers, 140 RBIs and a .320 batting average is within the realm of realistic possibilities. He comes with some risk, however, since we haven't seen it for an extended time.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
If not for the 40 games missed, we might be talking about Springer as the reigning AL MVP. He was on pace for over 50 homers, 125 RBIs and 125 runs. There isn't much speed but the upside for the other four categories makes him an amazing value in the fourth round of drafts.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Yordan is getting the sophomore discount, meaning you don't have to pay up to get top five player potential. If all goes well, Alvarez will be a monster in all areas except SBs. Perfect third round pick if looking for upside and power. Hits the ball ridiculously hard.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
Was off Springer at ADP last season, and that was wrong. However, I am diving right back into it this season, and will likely own zero shares. He has been a decent fantasy player being drafted at ceiling since he joined the league, and 2019 was the first season that it actually worked out. With the potential dejuicing of the ball and the cheating scandal, on top of his career averages, he is a hard pass for me.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
 Swatted 50 homers and 42 doubles between minors and majors in 2019
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
Hit 39 homers with a .974 OPS in just 122 games last year. Yes please.
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros