Who Should I Draft?
Gerrit Cole or Shane Bieber (2021)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Gerrit Cole SP - NYY  | Shane Bieber SP - CLE  | |
Expert |
74% Recommended by 37 of 50 experts |
26% Recommended by 13 of 50 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 2 | # 3 |
| Best Rank | # 1 | # 1 |
| Worst Rank | # 5 | # 4 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 7 | # 9 |
| Best Rank | # 5 | # 8 |
| Worst Rank | # 8 | # 10 |
| Projections | ||
| Strikeouts | 262 | 243 |
| Wins | 16 | 15 |
| Saves | 0 | 0 |
| ERA | 3.18 | 3.18 |
| WHIP | 1.03 | 1.05 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 2 | # 3 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 2 | # 3 |
| Steve Gardner USA Today | # 2 | # 3 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 2 | # 3 |
| Greg Smith The Fake Baseball | # 2 | # 3 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 2 | # 3 |
| Muntradamus Beast Dome | # 2 | # 3 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 2 | # 3 |
| KJ Fantasy Team Advice | # 2 | # 3 |
| Luke Gloeckner Mr. Cheatsheet | # 2 | # 3 |
| Dave McKay The Fantasy Sports Brain | # 2 | # 4 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 2 | # 3 |
| Tim McCullough Baseball Prospectus | # 2 | # 3 |
| Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 2 | # 3 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 2 | # 3 |
| Chris Meaney FTN | # 2 | # 3 |
| Andy Singleton Expand The Boxscore | # 2 | # 3 |
| Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 2 | # 3 |
| Adam Ronis Fantasy Alarm | # 2 | # 3 |
| Mario Mergola Sporfolio | # 2 | # 3 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 2 | # 3 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 2 | # 3 |
| Michael Waterloo FantasyPros | # 2 | # 3 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 2 | # 3 |
| Max Freeze Freeze Stats | # 2 | # 3 |
| Mick Ciallela Fantrax | # 2 | # 3 |
| Michael Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | # 2 | # 3 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 2 | # 3 |
| Todd D Clark The Fantasy Fix | # 2 | # 4 |
| Lucas Spence Pitcher List | # 2 | # 3 |
| Jordan Eisen Field of Vision Sports | # 2 | # 3 |
| Brad Camara FantasyPros | # 2 | # 3 |
| Staff Rankings Roto Ranks | # 2 | # 3 |
| Corbin Young FantasyData | # 1 | # 3 |
| Chris Clegg Fantrax | # 2 | # 3 |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | # 2 | # 3 |
| Nicklaus Gaut RotoBaller | # 2 | # 3 |
| Grey Albright Razzball | # 2 | # 1 |
| Brendan Tuma FantasyPros | # 3 | # 2 |
| Carmen Maiorano FantasyPros | # 3 | # 2 |
| Andrew Seifter FantasyPros | # 3 | # 2 |
| Dennis Sosic Fantasy Six Pack | # 3 | # 2 |
| Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 3 | # 2 |
| Ryan Amore Pitcher List | # 3 | # 2 |
| Wayne Bretsky BretskyBall | # 3 | # 2 |
| Jacob W. Dunne New Life Fantasy | # 3 | # 2 |
| Donkey Teeth Razzball | # 3 | # 2 |
| Rudy Gamble Razzball | # 3 | # 2 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 4 | # 2 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 5 | # 1 |
| Gerrit Cole SP - NYY | Shane Bieber SP - CLE | |
| 2020 Stats | ||
| Games Played | 12 | 12 |
| Games Started | 12 | 12 |
| Innings Pitched | 73.1 | 77.2 |
| Wins | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
| Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Blown Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Holds | 0 | 0 |
| Hits Allowed | 53 | 46 |
| Earned Runs | 23 | 14 |
| Home Runs Allowed | 14 | 7 |
| Strikeouts | 94 | 122 |
| Walks | 17 | 21 |
| ERA | 2.84 | 1.63 |
| WHIP | 0.96 | 0.87 |
| Gerrit Cole SP - NYY | Shane Bieber SP - CLE | |
| 2021 Projections | ||
| Games Played | 32 | 31 |
| Games Started | 32 | 31 |
| Innings Pitched | 197.9 | 194.1 |
| Wins | 16 | 15 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Blown Saves | 0 | 0 |
| Holds | 0 | 0 |
| Hits Allowed | 153 | 162 |
| Earned Runs | 70 | 69 |
| Home Runs Allowed | 30 | 24 |
| Strikeouts | 262 | 243 |
| Walks | 52 | 42 |
| ERA | 3.18 | 3.18 |
| WHIP | 1.03 | 1.05 |
| Gerrit Cole SP - NYY | Shane Bieber SP - CLE | |
| News | ||
| Gerrit Cole allowed four hits and no walks while striking out 12 in six scoreless innings to earn the win against the Tigers on Friday. John Aubin Sat, May 1st | Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber allowed three runs over six innings of work in a 5-3 win over the White Sox on Friday. Bieber struck out 11 and walked one. Matthew Terelle Sat, May 1st | |
| Gerrit Cole picked up the win in Saturday's 2-1 victory over Cleveland, allowing one run on three hits over seven innings. He struck out 11 without walking a batter. John Aubin Sun, Apr 25th | Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber allowed two runs over seven innings in a 2-1 loss to the Yankees on Saturday. Bieber struck out nine and walked three in the loss. Matthew Terelle Sat, Apr 24th | |
| Gerrit Cole gave up three runs (two earned) on five hits with 10 strikeouts and no walks over 6 1/3 innings on Sunday in a loss to the Rays. John Aubin Sun, Apr 18th | Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber allowed three runs over eight innings of work in a 6-3 win over the Reds on Sunday. Bieber struck out 13 and walked two in the win. Matthew Terelle Sun, Apr 18th | |
| Gerrit Cole picked up the win in Monday's 3-1 victory over the Blue Jays, allowing one run on three hits and a walk over six innings. He struck out eight. John Aubin Tue, Apr 13th | Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber threw nine scoreless innings in a 2-0 win over the White Sox on Tuesday. He struck out 11 and walked one in the outing. Matthew Terelle Wed, Apr 14th | |
| Gerrit Cole earned the win by pitching seven scoreless innings with 13 strikeouts against the Orioles on Tuesday, allowing four hits and no walks. John Aubin Wed, Apr 7th | Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber allowed two runs over 6 1/3 innings of work in a 4-2 win over the Royals on Wednesday. He struck out 12 and walked four in the game. Matthew Terelle Wed, Apr 7th | |
| Notes | ||
| Cole was pretty much as advertised in his first season with the Yankees. His ERA rose a tad, as did his home run rate as expected, and his strikeout rate fell a bit, though it remained at an absurdly high level. And, for the most part, all of his expected metrics fell off a tad from his 2019 season. But Cole's numbers from that season were so dominating that he could withstand plenty of regression and still be one of the best pitchers in fantasy. As such, he'll head into 2021 close to the way he came into the 2020 season: a dominant, high-strikeout, low-walk starter who will throw plenty of innings and who is more likely to finish as the top overall fantasy pitcher than he is to finish outside the top-10. It's a matter of personal preference between Cole and Jacob deGrom as the first pitcher off the board, but neither should fall outside the top-10 overall picks on draft day. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | Bieber took the huge gains he had made in 2019 and kicked the into hyperdrive en route to a Cy Young season. He had a miniscule 1.63 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP, and took his strikeout percentage to 41.1%, which ranked first among qualified starters. Everything was exceptional for Bieber, as he held batters to just a .167 batting average, barely allowed home runs, and earned eight wins in just 12 starts. He may struggle to again find wins given the Indians' depleted lineup, but there is nothing else to think twice about with Bieber. He's part of the ultra-elite tier in starting pitching with Jacob deGrom and Gerrit Cole, and should be a first-round selection, especially since he seems to have had no ill effects from his battle with COVID-19. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | |
