Who Should I Draft?

Jacob deGrom or Justin Verlander (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Jacob deGrom
SP - NYM
Jacob deGrom
Justin Verlander
SP - HOU
Justin Verlander
Expert
Recommendation
93%
Recommended by
55 of 59 experts
7%
Recommended by
4 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 3# 4
Best Rank# 1# 2
Worst Rank# 7# 10
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 10# 21
Best Rank# 9# 17
Worst Rank# 13# 23
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts246243
Wins1516
Saves00
ERA2.733.13
WHIP1.051.04
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 1# 5
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 2# 4
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 2# 3
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 2# 7
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 2# 4
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 3# 5
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 2# 4
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 2# 4
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 3# 5
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 2# 4
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 2# 5
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 4# 7
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 2# 4
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 3# 4
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 6# 10
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 3# 4
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 3# 5
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 2# 6
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 2# 4
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 3# 4
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 3# 9
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 3# 4
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 3# 6
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 2# 4
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 3# 4
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 3# 5
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 3# 4
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 3# 4
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 2# 4
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 2# 4
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 2# 5
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 3# 6
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 3# 6
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 2# 4
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 2# 4
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 3# 5
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 2# 4
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 2# 4
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 2# 3
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 2# 4
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 2# 6
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 2# 4
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 3# 4
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 3# 5
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 3# 4
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 3# 5
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 3# 4
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 3# 5
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 2# 4
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 2# 4
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 3# 5
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 3# 5
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 2# 4
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 3# 7
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 2# 4
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 4# 3
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 4# 2
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 5# 3
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 7# 3
   
  Jacob deGrom
SP - NYM
Jacob deGrom
Justin Verlander
SP - HOU
Justin Verlander
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3234
   
Games Started3234
   
Innings Pitched217.1214.1
   
Wins1016
   
Losses99
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed152156
   
Earned Runs4160
   
Home Runs Allowed1028
   
Strikeouts269290
   
Walks4637
   
ERA1.702.52
   
WHIP0.910.90
   
  Jacob deGrom
SP - NYM
Jacob deGrom
Justin Verlander
SP - HOU
Justin Verlander
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3131
   
Games Started3132
   
Innings Pitched207.4200.0
   
Wins1516
   
Losses98
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed167158
   
Earned Runs6370
   
Home Runs Allowed1926
   
Strikeouts246243
   
Walks5250
   
ERA2.733.13
   
WHIP1.051.04
   
  Jacob deGrom
SP - NYM
Jacob deGrom
Justin Verlander
SP - HOU
Justin Verlander
News 
 Mets starter Jacob deGrom allowed one earned runs on three hits and one walk while striking out 11 over seven innings in Monday's win over the Diamondbacks. The win brings him to 9-8 on the season.
Mike Maher
Tue, Sep 10th
Justin Verlander (18-6) allowed three runs on five hits and two walks while striking out 11 in Thursday's 3-2 loss to the Athletics. He was charged with his sixth loss of the season.
Brad Camara
Fri, Sep 13th
 Jake DeGrom allowed four runs on eight hits and three walks while striking out six through seven innings in Tuesday’s 11-10 loss to the Nationals. He did not factor into the decision.
Brad Camara
Wed, Sep 4th
Justin Verlander (18-5) allowed one run on four hits while striking out seven through seven innings in Saturday's 2-1 win over the Mariners. He picked up his 18th win of the season.
Brad Camara
Sun, Sep 8th
 Mets starter Jacob deGrom allowed four earned runs on five hits and no walks while striking out seven over seven innings in Thursday's loss to the Cubs. The loss drops him to 8-8 on the season.
Mike Maher
Thu, Aug 29th
Justin Verlander (17-5) threw his third-career no hitter, pitching a shutout with one walk and 14 strikeouts in Sunday's 2-0 win over the Blue Jays. He earned his 17th win of the season.
Brad Camara
Mon, Sep 2nd
 Mets starter Jacob deGrom allowed one earned run on four hits and one walk while striking out 13 over seven innings in a no-decision against the Braves on Friday.
Mike Maher
Sat, Aug 24th
Justin Verlander (16-5) allowed four hits and no walks while striking out four through five 1/3 scoreless innings in Tuesday's 15-1 win over the Rays. He picked up his 16th win of the season.
Brad Camara
Wed, Aug 28th
 Jacob deGrom allowed one earned run, while scattering three hits and two walks over seven innings to earn the win on Saturday against the Royals. He struck out five.
Mike Falconieri
Tue, Aug 20th
Justin Verlander (15-5) allowed two runs on two hits while striking out 11 in a complete game in Wednesday's 2-1 loss to the Tigers. He took his fifth loss of the season.
Brad Camara
Thu, Aug 22nd
Notes 
 deGrom was magical in 2018 and while there is a chance that continues into this season, we have to remember that the two prior seasons, he carried a 3.32 ERA with just 382 Ks and 22 wins. While that makes for a useful pitcher, the risk of him returning to that leaves him below Sale and Scherzer's tier
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Verlander may be turning 36 years old soon, but his velocity is still as impressive as ever and he 2018 was actually his best K% (34.8%, second best 28.1%) of his career while his BB% (4.4%) was his lowest. Don't avoid him because of his age. He is rocking better than ever before
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 DeGrom was already a high-end starter, but he took his performance to another level in 2019, boosting his strikeout rate to over 11 Ks per nine, cutting his walk rate to less than two BBs per nine, and posting a ridiculous 1.70 ERA and 0.91 WHIP. He only won 10 games, but still produced just as much fantasy value as Max Scherzer. DeGrom's strikeout rate, while excellent, isn't on the same level as Scherzer or Chris Sale, and his ERA and WHIP can't help but creep up a bit this year. Don't pay for last season's stats, but deGrom should still be one of the first four pitchers taken in fantasy drafts.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Verlander has had a long and illustrious career, but he's actually been better than ever since he joined Houston late in the 2017 season. In particular, Verlander has experienced a major boost in his strikeout rate and a big drop in his walk rate since he became an Astro, to the point where he led the league with an absurd 7.84 K/BB ratio last season. If he can manage to perform that feat again, he could produce another season with a sub-3.00 ERA and sub-1.00 WHIP.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Because of his suffering, deGrom might have killed the win for good. He became the first qualified starter since 2015 to post an ERA (1.70) or FIP (1.99) below 2.00 and the first since Clayton Kershaw in 2014 to do both. He recorded 28 quality starts in 32 turns, but only won 10 games because wins and the Mets are bad. He'd be destined for better fortune even if backed up by a Double-A lineup, but the Mets have added Robinson Cano, Jed Lowrie, and Wilson Ramos to a now quality lineup. He closed the season with 24 straight quality starts, offering at least six strikeouts each time. His ERA will rise above 2.00, maybe even 2.50, but deGrom is a legitimate top-three ace who should pair 250 strikeouts with elite ratios, and probably more wins.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Pitchers aren't supposed to dominate like this in their mid-30s. In his age-35 campaign, Verlander defied the aging curve by posting a 2.90 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, and MLB-high 34.8 K% in 214 innings. He has recorded a 2.97 ERA over the last three seasons, clearing 200 innings and strikeouts apiece each time. Including the playoffs, he has notched a 2.41 ERA since joining the Astros, so age is the only justification to avoid him as a top-five ace. Don't be afraid to grab him near the end-of-second, early-third round.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros