Who Should I Draft?

James Paxton or Patrick Corbin (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
Expert
Recommendation
54%
Recommended by
32 of 59 experts
46%
Recommended by
27 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 14# 15
Best Rank# 11# 9
Worst Rank# 31# 42
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 49# 47
Best Rank# 47# 43
Worst Rank# 55# 74
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts196201
Wins1313
Saves00
ERA3.463.50
WHIP1.141.22
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 15# 26
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 15# 21
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 16# 21
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 12# 20
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 15# 18
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 12# 22
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 11# 16
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 13# 18
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 18
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 16# 17
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 27# 31
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 15# 16
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 14# 19
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 16# 17
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 16# 19
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 12# 14
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 12# 14
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 13# 24
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 12# 28
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 19# 42
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 16# 17
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 13# 14
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 17# 23
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 16
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 14# 28
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 14# 22
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 12# 22
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 13# 16
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 19
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 16# 17
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 13# 17
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 13# 18
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 14# 13
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 15# 13
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 15# 14
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 15# 13
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 15# 13
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 15# 12
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 16# 13
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 16# 13
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 16# 13
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 16# 12
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 17# 15
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 17# 15
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 18# 11
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 18# 13
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 18# 14
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 19# 15
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 19# 16
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 19# 14
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 20# 12
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 21# 20
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 21# 14
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 22# 12
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 22# 18
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 24# 9
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 28# 23
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 22
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 31# 13
   
  James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2833
   
Games Started2833
   
Innings Pitched160.1200.2
   
Wins1111
   
Losses67
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed134162
   
Earned Runs6770
   
Home Runs Allowed2315
   
Strikeouts208246
   
Walks4248
   
ERA3.763.15
   
WHIP1.101.05
   
  James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2832
   
Games Started2832
   
Innings Pitched166.2188.0
   
Wins1313
   
Losses79
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed144174
   
Earned Runs6473
   
Home Runs Allowed2121
   
Strikeouts196201
   
Walks4555
   
ERA3.463.50
   
WHIP1.141.22
   
  James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
News 
 James Paxton struck out seven and allowed one run (none earned) on three hits and zero walks across six innings while earning a victory in a 7-2 win over the Blue Jays on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 22nd
Nationals starter Patrick Corbin allowed two unearned runs on five hits and four walks while striking out 11 over six innings in Tuesday's win over the Cardinals.
Mike Maher
Wed, Sep 18th
 James Paxton allowed one run on three hits with two walks and three strikeouts across five innings while earning a win against the Blue Jays on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 15th
Nationals starter Patrick Corbin allowed three earned runs on nine hits and no walks while striking out three over six innings in Thursday's win over the Twins.
Mike Maher
Fri, Sep 13th
 James Paxton gave up four hits and three walks while striking out seven through 6 2/3 scoreless innings to take the win over the Red Sox on Monday.
John Aubin
Tue, Sep 10th
Nationals starter Patrick Corbin allowed one earned run on three hits and six walks while striking out nine over five innings in Friday's loss to the Atlanta Braves.
Mike Maher
Sat, Sep 7th
 James Paxton pitched seven shutout innings, allowing only one hit and one walk, while striking out 12 as the Yankees defeated the Rangers 10-1.
Brandon Plutner
Tue, Sep 3rd
Washington starter Patrick Corbin allowed three earned runs on three hits and three walks while striking out eight over six innings in Sunday's win over the Marlins. The win brings him to 11-8 on the season.
Mike Maher
Mon, Sep 2nd
 James Paxton allowed two earned runs in five innings and improved to 11-6 on the year as the Yankees defeated the Mariners 7-3.
Brandon Plutner
Wed, Aug 28th
Nationals starter Patrick Corbin allowed two earned runs on four hits and no walks while striking out nine over seven innings in Tuesday's loss to the Orioles.
Mike Maher
Wed, Aug 28th
Notes 
 Paxton has posted back-to-back seasons with an excellent strikeout rate and WHIP, but his ERA grew by nearly a run last year thanks to a spike in his home run rate. Under normal circumstances that could be chalked up to an outlier season, but Paxton is moving to a much more homer-friendly home park this season so it is possible the long ball issue could linger. Last season's 160 1/3 innings also represented a career-high for Paxton, who is not exactly known for his durability. Expect him to be quite good when he's on the mound, but don't expect more than about 150 innings and an ERA in the mid-3.00s.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Corbin was an absolute monster last season, striking out 246 batters with a 1.05 WHIP and 3.15 ERA. Granted, those ratios are likely to jump, perhaps even half a run in ERA, but he should also add considerably to his 11 wins from 2018 now that he is in Washington
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Paxton has posted the fifth-best K% (30.4) and FIP (2.95) among all starters with at least 200 IP in the past two seasons. Yet last season's 160.1 IP comfortably set a personal high. He holds a career 3.87 ERA away from Safeco Field, so pitching in Yankee Stadium could offset the potential wins boost. Know your league before deciding whether to sacrifice quantity for quantity from a top-20 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Corbin had a breakout season in 2018, and his peripherals suggest his 3.15 ERA should have been even better. He was not a mixed league asset in either of the previous two seasons, so there is a bit of risk in relying on him as your top starter, but he should be able to replicate his success as long as he can continue to miss bats with his slider like he did last season.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Paxton was excellent last year with a whopping 208 Ks in just 160 innings, but this is also the first time he ever pitched above 140 innings. While the ceiling is clearly exciting with Paxton, re-injury is a significant risk, but he is moving from one of the best pitching parks in Seattle to one of the worst at Yankee Stadium.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Corbin's breakout came as a result of leaning more on a devastating slider that yielded a .195 wOBA and 29.3% swinging-strike rate. It steered him to MLB's third-lowest FIP (2.47), seventh-highest strikeout % (30.8), and second-lowest contact rate (66.8%) among all qualified starters. The peripherals back the 29-year-old southpaw's breakout, but skeptics will point to an alarming 41.7% hard-hit rate and lack of a second plus pitch. Luckily the market is bearish enough on an encore to price Corbin as a high-end No. 2 starter rather than staff anchor.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros