Who Should I Draft?

James Paxton or Patrick Corbin (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
Expert
Recommendation
57%
Recommended by
32 of 56 experts
43%
Recommended by
24 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 14# 16
Best Rank# 11# 9
Worst Rank# 31# 42
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 49# 47
Best Rank# 47# 43
Worst Rank# 55# 74
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts196201
Wins1313
Saves00
ERA3.463.50
WHIP1.141.22
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 15# 26
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 15# 21
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 16# 21
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 12# 20
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 15# 18
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 12# 22
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 11# 16
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 13# 18
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 18
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 16# 17
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 27# 31
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 15# 16
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 14# 19
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 16# 17
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 16# 19
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 12# 14
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 12# 14
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 13# 24
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 12# 28
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 14# 17
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 19# 42
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 16# 17
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 13# 14
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 17# 23
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 16
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 14# 28
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 14# 22
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 12# 22
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 13# 16
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 16# 17
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 13# 17
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 13# 18
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 14# 13
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 15# 13
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 15# 14
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 15# 13
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 15# 13
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 16# 13
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 16# 13
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 16# 12
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 17# 15
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 17# 15
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 18# 11
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 18# 13
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 18# 14
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 19# 15
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 19# 16
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 19# 14
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 20# 12
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 21# 20
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 22# 12
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 22# 18
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 24# 9
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 28# 23
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 22
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 31# 13
   
  James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2833
   
Games Started2833
   
Innings Pitched160.1200.2
   
Wins1111
   
Losses67
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed134162
   
Earned Runs6770
   
Home Runs Allowed2315
   
Strikeouts208246
   
Walks4248
   
ERA3.763.15
   
WHIP1.101.05
   
  James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2832
   
Games Started2832
   
Innings Pitched166.2188.0
   
Wins1313
   
Losses79
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed144174
   
Earned Runs6473
   
Home Runs Allowed2121
   
Strikeouts196201
   
Walks4555
   
ERA3.463.50
   
WHIP1.141.22
   
  James Paxton
SP - NYY
James Paxton
Patrick Corbin
SP - WSH
Patrick Corbin
News 
 James Paxton gave up two runs on eight hits with one walk and struck out seven batters over six innings to pick up a win against the White Sox on Sunday.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 16th
Nationals starter Patrick Corbin allowed seven earned runs on six hits and two walks while striking out five over five innings in a loss to the Chicago White Sox on Tuesday. The loss drops him to 5-5 on the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, Jun 12th
 James Paxton was handed the loss after surrendering six runs on seven hits over 2 2/3 innings during Game 2 of Tuesday's doubleheader against the Mets. He struck out one and walked two.
John Aubin
Wed, Jun 12th
Corbin was tagged with the loss against the Padres on Thursday night, giving up five runs (three earned) on five hits across five innings, striking out six and walking five as the Nationals fell 5-4.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Jun 7th
 James Paxton pitched 4 2/3 innings against the Blue Jays on Wednesday and allowed four runs (three earned) on four hits and three walks. He struck out four and did not factor in the decision.
John Aubin
Thu, Jun 6th
Nationals starter Patrick Corbin allowed six earned runs on 11 hits and no walks while striking out two over just 2 2/3 innings in Friday’s loss to the Cincinnati Reds. The loss drops him to 5-3 on the season.
Mike Maher
Sat, Jun 1st
 James Paxton gave up no runs and no hits while walking two and striking out seven over four innings on Wednesday as the Yankees beat the Padres.
John Aubin
Wed, May 29th
Nationals starter Patrick Corbin tossed a four-hit shutout in Saturday's win over the Miami Marlins, allowing one walk while striking out five.
Mike Maher
Sun, May 26th
 James Paxton (knee) has been cleared to come off the injured list to start Wednesday versus the Padres.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, May 27th
Nationals starter Patrick Corbin allowed four earned runs on six hits and three walks while striking out seven over five innings in a loss to the New York Mets on Monday. The loss drops him to 4-2 on the season.
Mike Maher
Mon, May 20th
Notes 
 Paxton has posted back-to-back seasons with an excellent strikeout rate and WHIP, but his ERA grew by nearly a run last year thanks to a spike in his home run rate. Under normal circumstances that could be chalked up to an outlier season, but Paxton is moving to a much more homer-friendly home park this season so it is possible the long ball issue could linger. Last season's 160 1/3 innings also represented a career-high for Paxton, who is not exactly known for his durability. Expect him to be quite good when he's on the mound, but don't expect more than about 150 innings and an ERA in the mid-3.00s.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Corbin was an absolute monster last season, striking out 246 batters with a 1.05 WHIP and 3.15 ERA. Granted, those ratios are likely to jump, perhaps even half a run in ERA, but he should also add considerably to his 11 wins from 2018 now that he is in Washington
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Paxton has posted the fifth-best K% (30.4) and FIP (2.95) among all starters with at least 200 IP in the past two seasons. Yet last season's 160.1 IP comfortably set a personal high. He holds a career 3.87 ERA away from Safeco Field, so pitching in Yankee Stadium could offset the potential wins boost. Know your league before deciding whether to sacrifice quantity for quantity from a top-20 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Corbin had a breakout season in 2018, and his peripherals suggest his 3.15 ERA should have been even better. He was not a mixed league asset in either of the previous two seasons, so there is a bit of risk in relying on him as your top starter, but he should be able to replicate his success as long as he can continue to miss bats with his slider like he did last season.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Paxton was excellent last year with a whopping 208 Ks in just 160 innings, but this is also the first time he ever pitched above 140 innings. While the ceiling is clearly exciting with Paxton, re-injury is a significant risk, but he is moving from one of the best pitching parks in Seattle to one of the worst at Yankee Stadium.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Corbin's breakout came as a result of leaning more on a devastating slider that yielded a .195 wOBA and 29.3% swinging-strike rate. It steered him to MLB's third-lowest FIP (2.47), seventh-highest strikeout % (30.8), and second-lowest contact rate (66.8%) among all qualified starters. The peripherals back the 29-year-old southpaw's breakout, but skeptics will point to an alarming 41.7% hard-hit rate and lack of a second plus pitch. Luckily the market is bearish enough on an encore to price Corbin as a high-end No. 2 starter rather than staff anchor.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros