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Who Should I Draft?

Josh Bell or Ryan Mountcastle (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Josh Bell
1B,DH - WSH
Josh Bell
Ryan Mountcastle
1B,LF - BAL
Ryan Mountcastle
Expert
Recommendation
73%
Recommended by
16 of 22 experts
27%
Recommended by
6 of 22 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 83# 94
Best Rank# 54# 23
Worst Rank# 126# 155
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 141# 146
Best Rank# 127# 138
Worst Rank# 172# 164
   
Projections 
   
Runs8163
Home Runs3022
RBI9676
Stolen Bases12
Batting Average.270.281
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 101# 102
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 87# 94
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 54# 155
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 90# 96
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 63# 105
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 77# 92
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 86# 92
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 88# 94
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 85# 99
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 81# 83
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 87# 95
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 66# 106
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 63# 107
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 55# 137
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 65# 120
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 87# 92
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 96# 23
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 97# 89
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 98# 89
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 102# 89
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 110# 92
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 126# 89
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Josh Bell
1B,DH - WSH
Josh Bell
Ryan Mountcastle
1B,LF - BAL
Ryan Mountcastle
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats195126
   
Runs2212
   
Hits4443
   
Singles3333
   
Doubles35
   
Triples00
   
Home Runs85
   
RBI2224
   
Stolen Bases00
   
Caught Stealing01
   
Walks2211
   
Strikeouts5930
   
Batting Average.226.341
   
On Base Pct.305.393
   
Slugging Pct.364.500
   
On-base Plus Slugging.669.893
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Josh Bell
1B,DH - WSH
Josh Bell
Ryan Mountcastle
1B,LF - BAL
Ryan Mountcastle
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats526508
   
Runs8163
   
Hits138141
   
Singles7792
   
Doubles2825
   
Triples22
   
Home Runs3022
   
RBI9676
   
Stolen Bases12
   
Caught Stealing11
   
Walks7132
   
Strikeouts135125
   
Batting Average.270.281
   
On Base Pct.349.321
   
Slugging Pct.496.464
   
On-base Plus Slugging.845.785
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Josh Bell
1B,DH - WSH
Josh Bell
Ryan Mountcastle
1B,LF - BAL
Ryan Mountcastle
News 
 Josh Bell and the Nationals avoid arbitration by agreeing to a one-year, $6.35 million deal.
Brad Camara
Fri, Jan 15th
 
Notes 
 Bell looked like a superstar in the making in the first half of 2019, but struggled for much of the second half of the season and then fell off a cliff in 2020. He slashed a mere .226/.305/.364 and hit only eight home runs. His strikeout and ground ball rates took massive jumps, while his walk rate and launch angle plummeted. Bell blamed his struggles on his swing getting long, and you could tell by how often he changed his stance and swing last year that he simply could not figure things out. Now with the Nationals, the 29-year-old Bell will have a chance to revive his career. We've seen the upside, so he's certainly worth drafting at a discount, but he's much more of a borderline corner infielder than a starting-caliber first baseman.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Mountcastle followed up a successful minor-league career with a strong 35-game stint in the majors last year. Not only did he bat .333 with an .878 OPS and a 139 wRC+, but he also walked 7.9% of the time, far above what he showed in the minors. The batting average is unsustainable - he was a .295 hitter in the minors and last year he relied on a .398 BABIP despite sub-par average exit velocity and a middling line drive rate. But playing in Camden Yards should certainly keep his production high, and batting in the middle of the Orioles lineup should lead to enough RBI chances to make him a rosterable, if not startable, fantasy option.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Bell appeared to be enjoying a mid-career breakout two months into the 2019 season but pitchers suddenly stopped throwing him fastballs. The former first-round pick has had a difficult time adjusting back, and that two-month hot streak is beginning to look like an outlier performance. The book isn't closed on Bell being a productive regular, or even a difference-making fantasy asset, but I'm not holding out hope for a return to stardom. Expectations should be tempered.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros