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Who Should I Draft?

J.T. Realmuto or Will Smith (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  J.T. Realmuto
1B,C - PHI
J.T. Realmuto
Will Smith
C - LAD
Will Smith
Expert
Recommendation
100%
Recommended by
51 of 51 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 38# 94
Best Rank# 11# 67
Worst Rank# 84# 276
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 48# 100
Best Rank# 39# 86
Worst Rank# 52# 121
   
Projections 
   
Runs7656
Home Runs2321
RBI7965
Stolen Bases72
Batting Average.270.250
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 58# 75
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 50# 109
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 48# 73
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 11# 70
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 59# 138
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 40# 103
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 36# 203
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 67# 107
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 21# 96
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 73# 151
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 49# 90
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 51# 98
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 43# 90
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 34# 76
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 36# 103
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 42# 73
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 38# 84
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 57# 113
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 36# 80
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 36# 83
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 40# 83
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 36# 93
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 27# 104
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 35# 67
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 37# 94
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 37# 92
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 27# 245
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 36# 108
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 36# 74
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 34# 107
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 36# 87
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 35# 80
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 33# 78
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 31# 85
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 39# 88
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 36# 67
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 30# 92
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 42# 276
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 38# 91
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 34# 69
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 36# 83
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 84# 192
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 35# 89
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 30# 83
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 39# 72
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 44# 89
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 36# 92
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 25# 86
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 30# 75
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 41# 88
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 44# 105
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  J.T. Realmuto
1B,C - PHI
J.T. Realmuto
Will Smith
C - LAD
Will Smith
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats173114
   
Runs3323
   
Hits4633
   
Singles2916
   
Doubles69
   
Triples00
   
Home Runs118
   
RBI3225
   
Stolen Bases40
   
Caught Stealing10
   
Walks1620
   
Strikeouts4822
   
Batting Average.266.290
   
On Base Pct.349.402
   
Slugging Pct.491.579
   
On-base Plus Slugging.840.980
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  J.T. Realmuto
1B,C - PHI
J.T. Realmuto
Will Smith
C - LAD
Will Smith
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats488343
   
Runs7656
   
Hits13185
   
Singles7945
   
Doubles2619
   
Triples21
   
Home Runs2321
   
RBI7965
   
Stolen Bases72
   
Caught Stealing21
   
Walks4044
   
Strikeouts12092
   
Batting Average.270.250
   
On Base Pct.326.337
   
Slugging Pct.475.484
   
On-base Plus Slugging.801.821
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  J.T. Realmuto
1B,C - PHI
J.T. Realmuto
Will Smith
C - LAD
Will Smith
News 
 Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto went 2-for-4 with a double, a triple, two RBI, and a run scored in Tuesday's win over the Orioles.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Sep 22nd
Catcher Will Smith went 1-for-4 with a solo home run, a walk, and two strikeouts as the Dodgers defeated the Reds 8-5 on Sunday.
Jon Mathisen
Mon, Sep 20th
 Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto went 3-for-4 with a home run, two RBI, and a stolen base in Wednesday's win over the Cubs.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Sep 16th
Catcher Will Smith went 1-for-3 with a solo home run and two RBI as the Dodgers beat the Diamondbacks 8-4 on Tuesday.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, Sep 15th
 Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto (shoulder) returned to Wednesday's lineup against the Cubs.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 15th
Catcher Will Smith went 4-for-4 with a solo home run and two runs scored as the Dodgers took down the Cardinals 7-2 on Tuesday.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, Sep 8th
 J.T. Realmuto is dealing with shoulder inflammation and is not in the lineup on Tuesday against the Cubs.
Ari Koslow
Tue, Sep 14th
Catcher Will Smith went 1-for-3 with a pair of RBI and a walk as the Dodgers lost to the Giants 6-4 on Sunday night.
Jon Mathisen
Sun, Sep 5th
 Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto went 0-for-4 with an RBI and a stolen base in Wednesday's loss to the Brewers. The steal was his ninth of the season.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Sep 9th
Will Smith hit his 21st home run of the season on Friday. Smith went 3-for-3 with one run scored and one RBI.
Corbin Young
Sat, Aug 28th
Notes 
 Realmuto fractured the thumb on his throwing hand in mid-February, and is iffy for Opening Day. He is in a tier to himself among catchers when healthy, putting up consistently excellent numbers in what is the thinnest of positions. He had the highest barrel rate and hard hit percentage of his career in 2020, and also walked at a career-best pace. Realmuto is in his age-30 season, so that's getting near the point where catchers begin to decline. But given that he's shown no real slippage in his skills to this point, his numbers shouldn't fall off much in 2021, assuming he has no setbacks and returns on or around Opening Day. Back with Philadelphia now and for several years after signing a five-year contract, Realmuto is the only catcher worth drafting before the sixth or seventh round.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Smith had an outstanding 2020 season, walking a ton, striking out little, and getting on base at higher than a .400 clip. The power he showed in his 54-game stretch in 2019 remained, and he ranked in the top 10% of the league in wOBA, expected wOBA, and expected slugging percentage. Given how the Dodgers play the entire season with an eye toward the playoffs, as well as the presence of Keibert Ruiz, it's possible that Smith may get more rest than other catchers this year. But that's a minor point against someone who should be one of the top options at his position. He's no worse than a top-five catcher, and there's a good argument that he should be the second player selected at his position.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Never be the first team to draft a catcher, words to live by.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
The only catcher I think has a better than outside chance at supplanting Realmuto as the C1, he just needs the playing time. Hopefully the Dodgers fully unleash him and stop resting him so often.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
  If we were only going off what these players did in 2020, then Smith has a good case to be the No. 2 catcher off the board. Track record matters, however, but early on in the fantasy offseason I've identified Smith as my clear-cut target among backstops. Not only does the 25-year-old have a career .937 OPS in 91 games played, but in the 2020 season he cut his strikeout rate by 10% while increasing his power output. His xwOBA ranked within the 95th percentile of the league, as did his strikeout rate. You just don't see that from a catcher very often. There's a real chance that the Dodgers rest him more often than most top catchers sit, but Smith has a seemingly solid floor with the upside of being a true difference-maker at fantasy's weakest position.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros