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Who Should I Draft?

Kenta Maeda or Rafael Montero (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Rafael Montero
RP - HOU
Rafael Montero
Expert
Recommendation
100%
Recommended by
51 of 51 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 16# 70
Best Rank# 5# 41
Worst Rank# 36# 160
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 47# 169
Best Rank# 45# 158
Worst Rank# 61# 215
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts17767
Wins123
Saves021
ERA3.833.92
WHIP1.131.21
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60IL10
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 75
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 81
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 17# 87
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 16# 89
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 15# 51
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 22# 68
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 17# 67
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 28# 91
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 34# 76
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 22# 90
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 33# 56
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 17# 87
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 15# 60
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 18# 81
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 23# 58
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 15# 106
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 36# 55
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 69
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 16# 78
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 22# 41
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 16# 77
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 20# 85
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 13# 53
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 14# 99
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 14# 60
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 16# 71
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 15# 160
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 18# 73
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 15# 61
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 15# 64
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 24# 99
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 15# 65
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 19# 78
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 83
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 16# 72
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 21# 69
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 26# 67
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 22# 109
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 16# 79
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 13# 69
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 17# 71
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 10# 84
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 16# 82
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 15# 59
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 11# 86
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 19# 97
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 16# 70
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 16# 48
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 15# 62
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 23# 73
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 5# 78
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Rafael Montero
RP - HOU
Rafael Montero
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1117
   
Games Started110
   
Innings Pitched67.118.3
   
Wins60
   
Losses11
   
Saves08
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4012
   
Earned Runs208
   
Home Runs Allowed92
   
Strikeouts8019
   
Walks106
   
ERA2.704.08
   
WHIP0.751.02
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Rafael Montero
RP - HOU
Rafael Montero
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3060
   
Games Started290
   
Innings Pitched160.760.0
   
Wins123
   
Losses83
   
Saves021
   
Blown Saves05
   
Holds04
   
Hits Allowed13652
   
Earned Runs6826
   
Home Runs Allowed239
   
Strikeouts17767
   
Walks4620
   
ERA3.833.92
   
WHIP1.131.21
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Kenta Maeda
SP,RP - MIN
Kenta Maeda
Rafael Montero
RP - HOU
Rafael Montero
News 
 Kenta Maeda is set to undergo season-ending surgery on Wednesday, according to Twins manager Rocco Baldelli.
Ari Koslow
Fri, Aug 27th
Astros reliever Rafael Montero allowed one go-ahead run in the 10th inning of Friday's game against the Twins. He also struck out one opposing batter. Montero was hit with the loss as Houston ultimately fell to Minnesota by a score of 5-4.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Aug 7th
 Twins' SP Kenta Maeda is seeking second opinions on his forearm injury, per Jon Heyman of MLB Network.
Jack Mannis
Tue, Aug 24th
Rafael Montero was designated for assignment by the Mariners on Friday
Ari Koslow
Sat, Jul 24th
 Kenta Maeda was placed on the 10-day IL due to forearm tightness. It is unclear when he will be back.
Kamran Hoda
Mon, Aug 23rd
Rafael Montero blew a save opportunity Saturday against Cleveland, allowing three runs on two hits over one inning two walks.
Ari Koslow
Sun, Jun 13th
 Kenta Maeda exited Saturday’s start against the Yankees with forearm tightness.
Chris Schommer
Sat, Aug 21st
Rafael Montero earned the hold Sunday against the Angels, allowing one run on two hits over one inning with one walk.
Ari Koslow
Mon, Jun 7th
 The Twins are pushing Kenta Maeda's next start back to Saturday against the Yankees.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Aug 18th
Rafael Montero earned his seventh save of the season Saturday against Texas, allowing one run on two hits over one inning with one strikeout.
Ari Koslow
Sun, May 30th
Notes 
 Fantasy managers rejoiced when Maeda was traded from the Dodgers to the Twins, but he surpassed even the loftiest of expectations. In the short season, Maeda went 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA, a 0.73 WHIP, and a 32.3% strikeout rate. In addition to simply being let loose with his innings, Maeda made a tangible change to his pitch mix, throwing far fewer fastball and more sliders and changeups (though his fastball was as effective as it had ever been last year, too). Maeda surely won't be able to repeat his numbers from 2020, as he allowed just a .208 BABIP, had an 80.2% LOB rate, and benefited from being able to feast on solely the NL and AL Central lineups. But even with some regression, he should still be a rock solid SP2, and should be drafted as such.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Montero wound up closing for the Rangers and totaling eight saves in 2020, but it wasn't a particularly special season. His hard-hit rate and walk-rate increased from his strong 2019 season, and he totaled a 4.08 ERA. Now with Seattle, Montero's best asset may be his lack of competition for the closer's role, as Seattle has struggled for several seasons to find a reliable ninth-inning option. Draft Montero as a mid-tier closer, who you're taking more for his job security than his spectacular numbers.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 In 2020 Maeda joined Jacob deGrom and Shane Bieber as the only three starters to finish top-five in both xFIP and xERA. It was a dominant campaign as his new team, the Twins, finally unleashed him in a way the Dodgers never did. Maeda also finished top-five in swinging strike rate last summer. He admittedly faced the easiest "hub" against AL/NL Central foes, but a large number of his 2021 starts will come against similar opponents. There's still profit to be had with his current ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros