Who Should I Draft?

Kris Bryant or Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Kris Bryant
3B,RF - CHC
Kris Bryant
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Expert
Recommendation
97%
Recommended by
57 of 59 experts
3%
Recommended by
2 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 22# 48
Best Rank# 6# 16
Worst Rank# 37# 85
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 33# 53
Best Rank# 26# 43
Worst Rank# 34# 70
   
Projections 
   
Runs9775
Home Runs2822
RBI8777
Stolen Bases64
Batting Average.281.300
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 18# 71
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 48
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 21# 51
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 26# 49
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 14# 51
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 9# 44
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 22# 61
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 20# 62
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 23# 54
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 17# 49
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 26# 82
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 23# 49
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 27# 48
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 21# 66
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 22# 53
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 31# 41
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 37# 49
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 37
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 29# 54
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 7# 16
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 28# 55
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 23# 39
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 21# 45
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 28# 54
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 6# 53
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 31# 70
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 25# 45
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 26# 62
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 23# 44
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 21# 69
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 21
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 13# 42
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 16# 53
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 27# 45
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 22# 31
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 23# 46
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 20# 36
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 26# 85
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 29# 46
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 28
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 28# 61
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 20# 42
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 18# 66
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 17# 47
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 26# 38
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 20# 49
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 13# 48
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 51
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 20# 36
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 21# 23
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 21# 71
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 29# 51
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 28# 51
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 22# 46
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 33# 54
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 21# 46
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 26# 62
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 32# 30
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 35# 20
   
  Kris Bryant
3B,RF - CHC
Kris Bryant
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats389
   
Runs59
   
Hits106
   
Singles62
   
Doubles28
   
Triples3
   
Home Runs13
   
RBI52
   
Stolen Bases2
   
Caught Stealing4
   
Walks48
   
Strikeouts107
   
Batting Average.273
   
On Base Pct.374
   
Slugging Pct.460
   
On-base Plus Slugging.834
   
  Kris Bryant
3B,RF - CHC
Kris Bryant
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats552482
   
Runs9775
   
Hits155145
   
Singles8893
   
Doubles3529
   
Triples42
   
Home Runs2822
   
RBI8777
   
Stolen Bases64
   
Caught Stealing42
   
Walks7746
   
Strikeouts14072
   
Batting Average.281.300
   
On Base Pct.369.361
   
Slugging Pct.510.505
   
On-base Plus Slugging.879.866
   
  Kris Bryant
3B,RF - CHC
Kris Bryant
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
News 
 X-rays on Kris Bryant's ankle came back negative on Sunday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Sep 22nd
Blue Jays general manager Ross Atkins says the team is "committed" to Vladimir Guerrero Jr. playing third base.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Oct 1st
 Kris Bryant went 3-for-5 with two home runs and four RBI Sunday against the Pirates.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 15th
Vladimir Guerrero was a late scratch from Saturday's lineup against the Rays with right knee soreness, Ben Nicholson-Smith of Sportsnet.ca reports.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 28th
 Kris Bryant went 3-for-3 with a two-run home run and four RBI in Saturday's win over the Pirates.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 14th
Vladimir Guerrero went 1-for-4 on Friday as the Blue Jays lost to the Rays by a 6-2 score.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 28th
 Kris Bryant went 2-for-4 with a pair of two-run home runs and a walk in Tuesday's loss to the Padres.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 11th
Vladimir Guerrero went 2-for-4 with a solo home run in a 4-3 victory against the Yankees on Friday.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 21st
 Kris Bryant (knee) has been scratched from Tuesday’s lineup due to knee soreness.
Brad Camara
Tue, Sep 3rd
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (ribs) is in the Blue Jays' starting lineup on Thursday night against the Orioles.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 19th
Notes 
 Bryant missed 60 games last year and had his least efficient season of his career by quite a bit. There is some risk in drafting Bryant in the 3rd round, but he also comes with 40 homer upside, a batting average near .300 and both 100+ runs and RBIs
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Nobody is doubting Guerrero's skills. Especially not Steamer, as the typically pessimistic projection system has the 19-year-old batting .306/.368/.511 with 22 homers in 550 plate appearances. Toronto's teenage prodigy has nothing left to prove in the minors after collectively batting .381/.437/.636 in Double-A and Triple-A. The problem is opportunity, with the Blue Jays almost certain to hold baseball's top prospect back for service-time manipulation. Since he was never going to make the Opening Day roster, supporters shouldn't get cold feet because of an oblique injury that guarantees a delay to his anticipated arrival. With Ronald Acuna's sensational debut fresh in everyone's mind, there's still little chance of snagging Vlad Jr. at a discount. Don't bite so soon in re-drafts, but it'll get tougher to resist if he lasts to the late fifth or sixth round.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Bryant appeared to be on the verge of establishing himself as a perennial first round fantasy pick following his MVP 2016 season. Then his home run total dropped from 39 to 29 in 2017, but it seemed like an outlier as his production remained otherwise excellent. But the bottom really fell out last season, as Bryant struggled through a shoulder injury while producing a paltry 13 homers over 102 games. Bryant's strikeout rate grew and his hard contact rate declined, but he simply wasn't healthy -- he was actually off to a strong start before suffering the injury in mid-May. Bryant has pronounced himself fully healthy, and the fact the injury was a bone bruise rather than ligament damage is reason to believe he can make a full recovery. It wouldn't be the least bit surprising to see him rocket back into the first round of fantasy drafts by this time next year.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
The always conservative Steamer projection model sees Vlad Jr. as a similar player to Nolan Arenado from the get-go with a .300+ BA, 30 homers and both 100 RBIs and runs over a full season's at bats. This issue, however, will be whether he gets those at-bats. You can gamble on him as early as the 4th round, but it may not be early enough to beat others to the punch
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Everyone kept waiting for Bryant to turn the corner last season. They're still waiting. He hit a pedestrian .272/.374/.460 and continued a concerning power slide with 13 homers. The former MVP, who is only 27, was dealing with a shoulder injury. He could easily bounce back and deliver near first-round value, but drafters won't receive much of a discount at his third-round going rate. It's a fair price given his batting average and power upside, but the lack of speed and health certainty makes him far from a lock.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Guerrero profiles as a future superstar. He was unstoppable across four minor league levels last season, hitting .381 with 20 home runs in just 95 games. The projection systems universally expect him to rake from day one in the Major Leagues, envisioning that he is capable of hitting close to .300 with 20-25 home runs even while missing the first few weeks of the season due to service time considerations. He won't be good for more than a handful of stolen bases, but that hardly matters for a player who could someday soon lead the league in both batting average and home runs.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros