Who Should I Draft?

Luis Severino or Miles Mikolas (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
Expert
Recommendation
73%
Recommended by
41 of 56 experts
27%
Recommended by
15 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 26# 33
Best Rank# 7# 16
Worst Rank# 65# 88
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 68# 98
Best Rank# 55# 90
Worst Rank# 121# 105
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts178149
Wins1313
Saves00
ERA3.323.60
WHIP1.131.20
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 35# 41
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 32
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 19# 30
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 16# 34
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 33# 34
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 34# 43
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 22# 53
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 27# 59
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 12# 34
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 19# 31
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 21# 27
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 13# 62
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 24# 34
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 15# 39
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 25# 44
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 20# 35
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 13# 33
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 31# 43
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 18# 20
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 24# 33
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 41
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 28# 39
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 34# 35
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 10# 88
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 18# 51
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 8# 36
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 24# 32
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 11# 29
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 12# 26
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 19# 36
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 46
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 37# 40
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 27# 57
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 11# 38
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 28# 43
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 26# 32
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 7# 41
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 29# 43
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 20# 22
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 13# 30
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 24# 35
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 23# 16
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 31# 27
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 31# 26
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 33# 32
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 33# 17
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 34# 26
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 39# 30
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 40# 28
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 41# 31
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 43# 27
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 43# 28
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 45# 23
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 50# 37
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 56# 27
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 65# 27
   
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3232
   
Games Started3232
   
Innings Pitched191.2201.3
   
Wins1918
   
Losses84
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed173186
   
Earned Runs7263
   
Home Runs Allowed1916
   
Strikeouts220146
   
Walks4629
   
ERA3.392.83
   
WHIP1.141.07
   
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2731
   
Games Started2631
   
Innings Pitched155.9191.7
   
Wins1313
   
Losses69
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed136192
   
Earned Runs5877
   
Home Runs Allowed1921
   
Strikeouts178149
   
Walks4037
   
ERA3.323.60
   
WHIP1.131.20
   
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Miles Mikolas
SP - STL
Miles Mikolas
News 
 Luis Severino (shoulder) again threw from a distance of 60 feet on Tuesday according to Bryan Hoch of MLB.com.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 11th
Miles Mikolas allowed five runs on eight hits and a walk over five innings on Wednesday against the Marlins. He struck out four and took the loss, falling to 4-7.
Dan Harris
Thu, Jun 13th
 Luis Severino (lat) was throwing off flat ground again Friday, Coley Harvey of ESPN.com reports.
John Aubin
Fri, May 31st
Mikolas was forced from Friday's game against the Chicago Cubs after pitching just four innings.
James Bisson
Fri, Jun 7th
 Luis Severino (shoulder) is hoping to be cleared for throwing workouts after a checkup with a team doctor on Monday according to Lindsey Adler of the Athletic.
John Aubin
Mon, May 27th
Miles Mikolas allowed one run on three hits over seven innings in the Cardinals' 2-1 win over the Cubs on Friday. He walked two and struck out three in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 1st
 Yankees GM Brian Cashman says Luis Severino (shoulder) won't pitch until after the All-Star break.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, May 5th
Miles Mikolas allowed three runs on seven hits over seven innings in the Cardinals' 5-2 loss to the Braves on Friday. He walked none and struck out nine while falling to 4-5.
Elliott Baas
Sat, May 25th
 Luis Severino (lat) was transferred to the 60-day injured list by the Yankees on Thursday.
John Aubin
Thu, Apr 25th
Miles Mikolas allowed seven runs on nine hits over 1.1 innings in the Cardinals' 7-3 loss to the Rangers on Friday. He walked none and struck out two while falling to 4-4.
Elliott Baas
Sat, May 18th
Notes 
 A Cy Young Award contender though June, Severino imploded with a 5.20 ERA over the final three months. That inconsistency is perilous for a staff headliner, but he still finished 2018 with a 3.39 ERA, 2.95 FIP, and 220 strikeouts. Despite his start-by-start inconsistency, he has delivered on a macro level in consecutive seasons. However, he will miss at least all of April with a shoulder injury, Previously a viable top-10 candidate, he's now too risky to draft as a top-25 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Mikolas had an incredible season in his first year back from pitching in Japan, posting a 2.83 ERA and 1.07 WHIP while winning 18 games for the Cardinals. His weak strikeout rate is a bit of a detriment in roto leagues with low innings caps, but it isn't too big a deal in points leagues. That said, he's due for a bit of a correction in his BABIP and HRs allowed, which should cause his ERA to rise at least into the mid-3.00s. He can still be a useful fantasy pitcher in most formats, but could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 At first glance, Severino's 2018 numbers look just about as good as his excellent 2017 season, but the real story is that he was completely dominant in the first half and completely awful in the second half. That kind of inconsistency is a red flag, as is the rotator cuff inflammation that could cause him to miss the first month of the season or more. The sky is the limit for Severino in terms of long-term upside, but he's shaping up as a boom-or-bust pick for 2019.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
It's easy to dismiss Mikolas' breakout as a fluke. In his first season back from a three-year stint in Japan, the righty registered 18 wins and a 2.83 ERA in 200.2 innings despite collecting just 146 strikeouts. The ERA will at least rise to his 3.28 FIP, if not higher, but the 30-year-old isn't necessarily a full-blown bust waiting to happen. No qualified starter submitted a lower walk rate (3.6%) than Mikolas, who limited hard contact and induced a 49.3% ground-ball rate. Also, he's not some mid-80s junkballer pitching solely to contact. A 9.6% swinging-strike rate finished right above David Price on the leaderboard, so there's at least a path to 160 punchouts. He throws harder, but Mikolas' final line could resemble Kyle Hendricks in 2018 (199 IP, 3.44 ERA, 161 K).
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Over the past two seasons, only Scherzer, Sale, Verlander, deGrom and Kluber have a better ERA and more strikeouts than Severino, who is quickly becoming a true durable ace. He doesn't belong in that first tier, but may already lead the next group.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros