Who Should I Draft?

Luis Severino or Zack Wheeler (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
Expert
Recommendation
64%
Recommended by
38 of 59 experts
36%
Recommended by
21 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 26# 28
Best Rank# 7# 13
Worst Rank# 65# 92
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 68# 85
Best Rank# 55# 83
Worst Rank# 121# 96
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts178169
Wins1311
Saves00
ERA3.323.59
WHIP1.131.24
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 28
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 19# 27
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 16# 31
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 33# 38
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 34# 39
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 22# 25
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 27# 35
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 12# 47
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 19# 26
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 21# 92
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 13# 21
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 24# 38
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 31# 46
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 15# 51
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 25# 33
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 20# 49
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 13# 29
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 31# 32
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 18# 26
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 26
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 10# 32
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 18# 58
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 11# 25
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 12# 46
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 34
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 37# 43
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 33# 51
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 27# 39
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 11# 28
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 26# 28
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 39
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 7# 35
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 18# 31
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 24# 29
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 12# 20
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 29# 33
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 20# 33
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 13# 32
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 19# 18
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 23# 22
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 24# 18
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 24# 23
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 24# 21
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 28# 21
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 28# 23
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 31# 19
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 33# 23
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 34# 24
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 34# 16
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 35# 13
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 39# 17
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 40# 21
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 41# 21
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 43# 20
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 43# 29
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 45# 17
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 50# 27
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 56# 28
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 65# 19
   
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3229
   
Games Started3229
   
Innings Pitched191.2182.2
   
Wins1912
   
Losses87
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed173150
   
Earned Runs7267
   
Home Runs Allowed1914
   
Strikeouts220179
   
Walks4655
   
ERA3.393.31
   
WHIP1.141.12
   
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2729
   
Games Started2629
   
Innings Pitched155.9172.4
   
Wins1311
   
Losses69
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed136155
   
Earned Runs5869
   
Home Runs Allowed1918
   
Strikeouts178169
   
Walks4058
   
ERA3.323.59
   
WHIP1.131.24
   
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
News 
 Luis Severino pitched four scoreless innings, struck out two and allowed only two hits as the Yankees defeated the Angels 8-0.
Brandon Plutner
Tue, Sep 17th
Mets starter Zack Wheeler allowed one earned run on six hits and no walks while striking out nine over seven innings in a no-decision against the Dodgers on Sunday.
Mike Maher
Mon, Sep 16th
 Luis Severino (shoulder) is scheduled to make his 2019 debut on Tuesday against the Angels.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Sep 12th
Mets starter Zack Wheeler allowed one earned run on seven hits and two walks while striking out seven over seven innings in Tuesday's win over the Diamondbacks. The win brings him to 11-7 on the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, Sep 11th
 Luis Severino (lat) will throw 45-50 pitches over about three innings in his rehab appearance with Double-A Trenton on Friday, Greg Johnson of The Trentonian reports.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 6th
Mets starter Zack Wheeler allowed one earned run on seven hits and two walks while striking out three over five innings in Wednesday's win over the Nationals. The win brings him to 10-7 on the year.
Mike Maher
Thu, Sep 5th
 Luis Severino (lat) gave up two runs on three hits while striking out two over one inning in his rehab start Sunday for Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre.
John Aubin
Mon, Sep 2nd
Mets starter Zack Wheeler allowed one earned run on seven hits and three walks while striking out four over six innings in a no-decision against the Phillies on Friday.
Mike Maher
Sat, Aug 31st
 Luis Severino is expected to start for the Scranton Railriders on Sunday in his first rehab appearance of 2019 per Aaron Boone.
Brandon Plutner
Wed, Aug 28th
Mets starter Zack Wheeler allowed four earned runs on five hits and four walks while striking out three over six innings in a no-decision against the Braves on Saturday.
Mike Maher
Sun, Aug 25th
Notes 
 A Cy Young Award contender though June, Severino imploded with a 5.20 ERA over the final three months. That inconsistency is perilous for a staff headliner, but he still finished 2018 with a 3.39 ERA, 2.95 FIP, and 220 strikeouts. Despite his start-by-start inconsistency, he has delivered on a macro level in consecutive seasons. However, he will miss at least all of April with a shoulder injury, Previously a viable top-10 candidate, he's now too risky to draft as a top-25 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Wheeler has had struggles staying on the field but even if we can get 120 innings of the way he pitched to close the season, he would prove well worth a mid-round pick's investment. He may be the breakout ace that no one in the industry seems to be talking about this year.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 At first glance, Severino's 2018 numbers look just about as good as his excellent 2017 season, but the real story is that he was completely dominant in the first half and completely awful in the second half. That kind of inconsistency is a red flag, as is the rotator cuff inflammation that could cause him to miss the first month of the season or more. The sky is the limit for Severino in terms of long-term upside, but he's shaping up as a boom-or-bust pick for 2019.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Wheeler posted a mid-3.00s ERA for the third time in four years in 2018, proving that his rough 2017 season was the true outlier. His .279 BABIP allowed was somewhat fortunate, but he also significantly trimmed his walk rate, providing confidence that he can maintain some of the gain he made in WHIP last year. He doesn't strike out enough hitters to have ace potential, but fantasy owners can feel pretty good about Wheeler as their third starter in 12-team mixed leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Over the past two seasons, only Scherzer, Sale, Verlander, deGrom and Kluber have a better ERA and more strikeouts than Severino, who is quickly becoming a true durable ace. He doesn't belong in that first tier, but may already lead the next group.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Written off after an ineffective 2017 (5.21 ERA) following two season lost to Tommy John surgery, Wheeler unlocked his ace potential late last season. He was nearly as good as Jacob deGrom after the All-Star break, boasting a 1.68 ERA and 20.4 K-BB% in 11 starts. He went at least seven innings in nine of them and averaged 6.3 innings per start on the season. Fueled by a stellar heater, no qualified starter acquiesced a lower hard-hit rate (26.6%), and just two (deGrom and Max Scherzer) generated more soft contact. Another 180 innings, which is far from a given, is all Wheeler needs to give the Mets and fantasy investors another ace.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros