Who Should I Draft?

Luis Severino or Zack Wheeler (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
Expert
Recommendation
63%
Recommended by
35 of 56 experts
38%
Recommended by
21 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 26# 28
Best Rank# 7# 13
Worst Rank# 65# 92
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 68# 85
Best Rank# 55# 83
Worst Rank# 121# 96
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts178169
Wins1311
Saves00
ERA3.323.59
WHIP1.131.24
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 28
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 19# 27
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 16# 31
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 33# 38
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 34# 39
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 22# 25
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 27# 35
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 12# 47
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 19# 26
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 21# 92
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 13# 21
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 24# 38
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 31# 46
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 15# 51
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 25# 33
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 20# 49
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 13# 29
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 31# 32
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 18# 26
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 26
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 10# 32
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 18# 58
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 8# 32
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 11# 25
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 12# 46
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 34
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 37# 43
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 33# 51
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 27# 39
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 11# 28
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 26# 28
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 7# 35
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 29# 33
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 20# 33
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 13# 32
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 19# 18
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 23# 22
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 24# 18
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 24# 23
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 24# 21
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 28# 21
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 28# 23
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 31# 19
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 33# 23
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 34# 24
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 34# 16
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 35# 13
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 39# 17
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 40# 21
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 41# 21
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 43# 20
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 43# 29
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 45# 17
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 50# 27
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 56# 28
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 65# 19
   
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3229
   
Games Started3229
   
Innings Pitched191.2182.2
   
Wins1912
   
Losses87
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed173150
   
Earned Runs7267
   
Home Runs Allowed1914
   
Strikeouts220179
   
Walks4655
   
ERA3.393.31
   
WHIP1.141.12
   
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2729
   
Games Started2629
   
Innings Pitched155.9172.4
   
Wins1311
   
Losses69
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed136155
   
Earned Runs5869
   
Home Runs Allowed1918
   
Strikeouts178169
   
Walks4058
   
ERA3.323.59
   
WHIP1.131.24
   
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Zack Wheeler
SP - NYM
Zack Wheeler
News 
 Luis Severino (shoulder) again threw from a distance of 60 feet on Tuesday according to Bryan Hoch of MLB.com.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 11th
Zack Wheeler (6-5) earned the win Saturday against the Cubs by allowing one run on five hits across seven innings. He struck out five and walked one.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Jun 23rd
 Luis Severino (lat) was throwing off flat ground again Friday, Coley Harvey of ESPN.com reports.
John Aubin
Fri, May 31st
Mets starter Zack Wheeler allowed four earned runs on 10 hits and two walks while striking out four over six innings in Monday’s loss to the Atlanta Braves. The loss drops him to 5-5 on the season.
Mike Maher
Tue, Jun 18th
 Luis Severino (shoulder) is hoping to be cleared for throwing workouts after a checkup with a team doctor on Monday according to Lindsey Adler of the Athletic.
John Aubin
Mon, May 27th
Mets starter Zack Wheeler allowed nine runs (five earned) on 10 hits and one walk while striking out six over 4.2 innings in a loss to the New York Yankees on Tuesday. The loss drops him to 5-4 on the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, Jun 12th
 Yankees GM Brian Cashman says Luis Severino (shoulder) won't pitch until after the All-Star break.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, May 5th
Mets starting pitcher Zack Wheeler allowed three earned runs on three hits and one walk while striking out six over seven innings in a no-decision against the San Francisco Giants on Thursday.
Mike Maher
Fri, Jun 7th
 Luis Severino (lat) was transferred to the 60-day injured list by the Yankees on Thursday.
John Aubin
Thu, Apr 25th
Wheeler allowed three runs on three hits with six strikeouts and one walk across six seven innings in a no-decision against the Giants on Thursday.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Jun 7th
Notes 
 A Cy Young Award contender though June, Severino imploded with a 5.20 ERA over the final three months. That inconsistency is perilous for a staff headliner, but he still finished 2018 with a 3.39 ERA, 2.95 FIP, and 220 strikeouts. Despite his start-by-start inconsistency, he has delivered on a macro level in consecutive seasons. However, he will miss at least all of April with a shoulder injury, Previously a viable top-10 candidate, he's now too risky to draft as a top-25 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Wheeler has had struggles staying on the field but even if we can get 120 innings of the way he pitched to close the season, he would prove well worth a mid-round pick's investment. He may be the breakout ace that no one in the industry seems to be talking about this year.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 At first glance, Severino's 2018 numbers look just about as good as his excellent 2017 season, but the real story is that he was completely dominant in the first half and completely awful in the second half. That kind of inconsistency is a red flag, as is the rotator cuff inflammation that could cause him to miss the first month of the season or more. The sky is the limit for Severino in terms of long-term upside, but he's shaping up as a boom-or-bust pick for 2019.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Wheeler posted a mid-3.00s ERA for the third time in four years in 2018, proving that his rough 2017 season was the true outlier. His .279 BABIP allowed was somewhat fortunate, but he also significantly trimmed his walk rate, providing confidence that he can maintain some of the gain he made in WHIP last year. He doesn't strike out enough hitters to have ace potential, but fantasy owners can feel pretty good about Wheeler as their third starter in 12-team mixed leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Over the past two seasons, only Scherzer, Sale, Verlander, deGrom and Kluber have a better ERA and more strikeouts than Severino, who is quickly becoming a true durable ace. He doesn't belong in that first tier, but may already lead the next group.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Written off after an ineffective 2017 (5.21 ERA) following two season lost to Tommy John surgery, Wheeler unlocked his ace potential late last season. He was nearly as good as Jacob deGrom after the All-Star break, boasting a 1.68 ERA and 20.4 K-BB% in 11 starts. He went at least seven innings in nine of them and averaged 6.3 innings per start on the season. Fueled by a stellar heater, no qualified starter acquiesced a lower hard-hit rate (26.6%), and just two (deGrom and Max Scherzer) generated more soft contact. Another 180 innings, which is far from a given, is all Wheeler needs to give the Mets and fantasy investors another ace.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros