Who Should I Draft?
Manny Machado or Rafael Devers (2021)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Manny Machado 3B,SS - SD  | Rafael Devers 3B - BOS  | |
Expert |
96% Recommended by 49 of 51 experts |
4% Recommended by 2 of 51 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 14 | # 19 |
| Best Rank | # 11 | # 13 |
| Worst Rank | # 25 | # 58 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 20 | # 40 |
| Best Rank | # 16 | # 35 |
| Worst Rank | # 21 | # 45 |
| Projections | ||
| Runs | 92 | 95 |
| Home Runs | 35 | 31 |
| RBI | 105 | 101 |
| Stolen Bases | 10 | 5 |
| Batting Average | .278 | .282 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 14 | # 27 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 12 | # 22 |
| Steve Gardner USA Today | # 14 | # 20 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 19 | # 34 |
| Grey Albright Razzball | # 15 | # 17 |
| Greg Smith The Fake Baseball | # 14 | # 26 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 12 | # 19 |
| Muntradamus Beast Dome | # 17 | # 58 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 12 | # 19 |
| KJ Fantasy Team Advice | # 13 | # 17 |
| Luke Gloeckner Mr. Cheatsheet | # 14 | # 15 |
| Dave McKay The Fantasy Sports Brain | # 11 | # 21 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 14 | # 21 |
| Tim McCullough Baseball Prospectus | # 13 | # 19 |
| Wayne Bretsky BretskyBall | # 12 | # 24 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 13 | # 21 |
| Chris Meaney FTN | # 14 | # 24 |
| Andy Singleton Expand The Boxscore | # 14 | # 17 |
| Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 14 | # 24 |
| Adam Ronis Fantasy Alarm | # 14 | # 17 |
| Mario Mergola Sporfolio | # 13 | # 25 |
| Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 14 | # 23 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 13 | # 24 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 14 | # 23 |
| Michael Waterloo FantasyPros | # 16 | # 24 |
| Donkey Teeth Razzball | # 13 | # 17 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 14 | # 28 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 15 | # 27 |
| Andrew Seifter FantasyPros | # 13 | # 17 |
| Max Freeze Freeze Stats | # 14 | # 20 |
| Jorge B. Edwards Fantasy In Frames | # 15 | # 29 |
| Dennis Sosic Fantasy Six Pack | # 16 | # 23 |
| Mick Ciallela Fantrax | # 15 | # 21 |
| Michael Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | # 17 | # 23 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 13 | # 18 |
| Ryan Amore Pitcher List | # 25 | # 33 |
| Todd D Clark The Fantasy Fix | # 12 | # 22 |
| Brendan Tuma FantasyPros | # 21 | # 22 |
| Jacob W. Dunne New Life Fantasy | # 14 | # 22 |
| Carmen Maiorano FantasyPros | # 22 | # 30 |
| Lucas Spence Pitcher List | # 13 | # 16 |
| Jordan Eisen Field of Vision Sports | # 13 | # 27 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 11 | # 24 |
| Brad Camara FantasyPros | # 13 | # 29 |
| Staff Rankings Roto Ranks | # 14 | # 22 |
| Corbin Young FantasyData | # 16 | # 27 |
| Chris Clegg Fantrax | # 13 | # 17 |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | # 14 | # 15 |
| Nicklaus Gaut RotoBaller | # 13 | # 19 |
| Rudy Gamble Razzball | # 17 | # 13 |
| Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 21 | # 18 |
| Manny Machado 3B,SS - SD | Rafael Devers 3B - BOS | |
| 2020 Stats | ||
| At Bats | 224 | 232 |
| Runs | 44 | 32 |
| Hits | 68 | 61 |
| Singles | 39 | 33 |
| Doubles | 12 | 16 |
| Triples | 1 | 1 |
| Home Runs | 16 | 11 |
| RBI | 47 | 43 |
| Stolen Bases | 6 | 0 |
| Caught Stealing | 3 | 0 |
| Walks | 26 | 13 |
| Strikeouts | 37 | 67 |
| Batting Average | .304 | .263 |
| On Base Pct | .370 | .311 |
| Slugging Pct | .580 | .483 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .950 | .793 |
| Manny Machado 3B,SS - SD | Rafael Devers 3B - BOS | |
| 2021 Projections | ||
| At Bats | 587 | 589 |
| Runs | 92 | 95 |
| Hits | 162 | 165 |
| Singles | 96 | 91 |
| Doubles | 29 | 40 |
| Triples | 2 | 3 |
| Home Runs | 35 | 31 |
| RBI | 105 | 101 |
| Stolen Bases | 10 | 5 |
| Caught Stealing | 4 | 3 |
| Walks | 65 | 45 |
| Strikeouts | 113 | 138 |
| Batting Average | .278 | .282 |
| On Base Pct | .350 | .334 |
| Slugging Pct | .510 | .518 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .860 | .852 |
| Manny Machado 3B,SS - SD | Rafael Devers 3B - BOS | |
| News | ||
| Manny Machado went 3-for-4 on Saturday, hitting two singles and a double, scoring twice and driving in a run in the process. Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle Sun, Sep 12th | Rafael Devers went 3-for-5 with a double, an RBI, and three runs scored in Saturday's 9-3 win over Baltimore. Liam Gibney Sun, Sep 19th | |
| Manny Machado was 2-for-4 on the day, hitting a double and a homer, driving in two runs and scoring once. Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle Sun, Sep 5th | Rafael Devers went just 1-for-4 on the day, striking out twice. But he salvaged his fantasy day with a solo homer in the eighth inning. Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle Tue, Sep 14th | |
| Manny Machado was just 1-for-4 with a double on Wednesday. He also made a costly throwing error in the third inning and resulted in an extra run scoring. Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle Thu, Sep 2nd | Rafael Devers went 2-for-4 with an RBI, a run scored, and two walks on Monday. Liam Gibney Tue, Sep 7th | |
| Manny Machado was just 1-for-4 on Tuesday night, but his lone hit was a two-run homer that opened the scoring for San Diego in the fifth inning. He also drew a walk and struck out once. Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle Wed, Sep 1st | Rafael Devers went 1-for-3 with a home run and three RBIs on Saturday. Liam Gibney Sun, Sep 5th | |
| Manny Machado went 2-for-5 with two singles on Monday, scoring one run and striking out once. Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle Tue, Aug 31st | Rafael Devers went 2-for-5 with two home runs, two RBIs and two runs scored on Sunday. Liam Gibney Mon, Aug 30th | |
| Notes | ||
| Machado was on pace to set career highs in most statistical categories other than steals after last year's 60-game season. He set career bests in strikeout and walk rates and, most importantly to fantasy managers, batting average, where he checked in at .304. Machado's batting average was earned (he had an identica .304 xBA), and came on the back of him cutting his ground ball rate to a career low 37.2% and his line drive rate to a career high 22%. Machado is still just entering his age-29 season, and will continue to bat in a loaded lineup. Expect some regression from his batting average, but all his other stellar numbers should remain on par, meaning it will be another outstanding season that is worth a second-round pick. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | Devers' 2020 season was . . . fine. That's about the best you can say about it. He still hit the ball hard, ranking in the 96th percentile in average exit velocity, and he increased his barrel rate significantly. His counting stat paces from his breakout 2019 season went down, but not dramatically so (other than his batting average), and fantasy managers never felt like Devers was a drain on their teams. But, at the same time, his already poor walk rate declined, his strikeout rate jumped to a career worst, and he didn't even attempt a single stolen base. Devers is just 24 years old, so there is plenty of upside for him. The safest course of action is to build in some natural regression from Devers' strong 2019 season, and pencil him in for roughly 30 home runs and 200 combined runs and RBI. That still makes him an asset to any fantasy team. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | |
| Being picked at his ceiling, which is always a no-no for me. Was all over him last season with his depressed ADP, now it is too high, and I will have very little shares. Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy | Just like in 2019, Devers got off to a slow start last season. He posted a weak .543 OPS over his first 14 games before coming to life with an .868 mark over his final 43 contests. Devers' O-swing has increased every year that he has been in the league, up to 42.3% in 2020. His breakout 2019 saw him make contact on an unsustainable number of pitchers outside the zone. The young third baseman is able to do damage on anything he makes contact with, but he needs to decrease the amount of strikeout to become a consistently elite hitter. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | |
| Machado rode a career-year all the way to a third place finish in the National League MVP voting last summer. He proved to be a massive bargain in fantasy drafts following a disappointing 2019 campaign. Perhaps we never should've overreacted to his first year in San Diego, as Machado remains a tremendous talent. The issue with drafting him in 2021 is that we're paying a premium now. He'll need to produce at a similar rate as last year to pay off his aggressive ADP. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | Devers would be more appealing if he stole bases more often, but batting in the middle of the mediocre Red Sox lineup does not scream huge season. He is a fine pick, but not someone primed to break out. Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy | |
