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Who Should I Draft?

Manny Machado or Rafael Devers (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
Expert
Recommendation
96%
Recommended by
49 of 51 experts
4%
Recommended by
2 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 14# 19
Best Rank# 11# 13
Worst Rank# 25# 58
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 20# 40
Best Rank# 16# 35
Worst Rank# 21# 45
   
Projections 
   
Runs9295
Home Runs3531
RBI105101
Stolen Bases105
Batting Average.278.282
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 27
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 22
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 14# 20
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 19# 34
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 15# 17
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 14# 26
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 12# 19
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 17# 58
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 19
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 13# 17
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 14# 15
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 11# 21
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 14# 21
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 13# 19
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 12# 24
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 13# 21
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 14# 24
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 14# 17
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 14# 24
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 14# 17
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 13# 25
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 14# 23
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 13# 24
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 14# 23
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 16# 24
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 13# 17
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 14# 28
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 15# 27
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 13# 17
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 14# 20
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 15# 29
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 16# 23
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 15# 21
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 17# 23
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 13# 18
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 25# 33
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 12# 22
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 21# 22
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 14# 22
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 22# 30
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 13# 16
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 13# 27
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 11# 24
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 13# 29
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 14# 22
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 16# 27
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 13# 17
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 14# 15
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 13# 19
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 17# 13
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 21# 18
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats224232
   
Runs4432
   
Hits6861
   
Singles3933
   
Doubles1216
   
Triples11
   
Home Runs1611
   
RBI4743
   
Stolen Bases60
   
Caught Stealing30
   
Walks2613
   
Strikeouts3767
   
Batting Average.304.263
   
On Base Pct.370.311
   
Slugging Pct.580.483
   
On-base Plus Slugging.950.793
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats587589
   
Runs9295
   
Hits162165
   
Singles9691
   
Doubles2940
   
Triples23
   
Home Runs3531
   
RBI105101
   
Stolen Bases105
   
Caught Stealing43
   
Walks6545
   
Strikeouts113138
   
Batting Average.278.282
   
On Base Pct.350.334
   
Slugging Pct.510.518
   
On-base Plus Slugging.860.852
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Rafael Devers
3B - BOS
Rafael Devers
News 
 Manny Machado went 3-for-4 on Saturday, hitting two singles and a double, scoring twice and driving in a run in the process.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sun, Sep 12th
Rafael Devers went 3-for-5 with a double, an RBI, and three runs scored in Saturday's 9-3 win over Baltimore.
Liam Gibney
Sun, Sep 19th
 Manny Machado was 2-for-4 on the day, hitting a double and a homer, driving in two runs and scoring once.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sun, Sep 5th
Rafael Devers went just 1-for-4 on the day, striking out twice. But he salvaged his fantasy day with a solo homer in the eighth inning.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Tue, Sep 14th
 Manny Machado was just 1-for-4 with a double on Wednesday. He also made a costly throwing error in the third inning and resulted in an extra run scoring.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Thu, Sep 2nd
Rafael Devers went 2-for-4 with an RBI, a run scored, and two walks on Monday.
Liam Gibney
Tue, Sep 7th
 Manny Machado was just 1-for-4 on Tuesday night, but his lone hit was a two-run homer that opened the scoring for San Diego in the fifth inning. He also drew a walk and struck out once.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Wed, Sep 1st
Rafael Devers went 1-for-3 with a home run and three RBIs on Saturday.
Liam Gibney
Sun, Sep 5th
 Manny Machado went 2-for-5 with two singles on Monday, scoring one run and striking out once.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Tue, Aug 31st
Rafael Devers went 2-for-5 with two home runs, two RBIs and two runs scored on Sunday.
Liam Gibney
Mon, Aug 30th
Notes 
 Machado was on pace to set career highs in most statistical categories other than steals after last year's 60-game season. He set career bests in strikeout and walk rates and, most importantly to fantasy managers, batting average, where he checked in at .304. Machado's batting average was earned (he had an identica .304 xBA), and came on the back of him cutting his ground ball rate to a career low 37.2% and his line drive rate to a career high 22%. Machado is still just entering his age-29 season, and will continue to bat in a loaded lineup. Expect some regression from his batting average, but all his other stellar numbers should remain on par, meaning it will be another outstanding season that is worth a second-round pick.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Devers' 2020 season was . . . fine. That's about the best you can say about it. He still hit the ball hard, ranking in the 96th percentile in average exit velocity, and he increased his barrel rate significantly. His counting stat paces from his breakout 2019 season went down, but not dramatically so (other than his batting average), and fantasy managers never felt like Devers was a drain on their teams. But, at the same time, his already poor walk rate declined, his strikeout rate jumped to a career worst, and he didn't even attempt a single stolen base. Devers is just 24 years old, so there is plenty of upside for him. The safest course of action is to build in some natural regression from Devers' strong 2019 season, and pencil him in for roughly 30 home runs and 200 combined runs and RBI. That still makes him an asset to any fantasy team.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Being picked at his ceiling, which is always a no-no for me. Was all over him last season with his depressed ADP, now it is too high, and I will have very little shares.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
Just like in 2019, Devers got off to a slow start last season. He posted a weak .543 OPS over his first 14 games before coming to life with an .868 mark over his final 43 contests. Devers' O-swing has increased every year that he has been in the league, up to 42.3% in 2020. His breakout 2019 saw him make contact on an unsustainable number of pitchers outside the zone. The young third baseman is able to do damage on anything he makes contact with, but he needs to decrease the amount of strikeout to become a consistently elite hitter.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
 Machado rode a career-year all the way to a third place finish in the National League MVP voting last summer. He proved to be a massive bargain in fantasy drafts following a disappointing 2019 campaign. Perhaps we never should've overreacted to his first year in San Diego, as Machado remains a tremendous talent. The issue with drafting him in 2021 is that we're paying a premium now. He'll need to produce at a similar rate as last year to pay off his aggressive ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Devers would be more appealing if he stole bases more often, but batting in the middle of the mediocre Red Sox lineup does not scream huge season. He is a fine pick, but not someone primed to break out.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy