Who Should I Draft?

Marcell Ozuna or Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Marcell Ozuna
LF - STL
Marcell Ozuna
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Expert
Recommendation
61%
Recommended by
34 of 56 experts
39%
Recommended by
22 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 46# 48
Best Rank# 24# 16
Worst Rank# 106# 85
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 75# 53
Best Rank# 63# 43
Worst Rank# 95# 70
   
Projections 
   
Runs7775
Home Runs2722
RBI9577
Stolen Bases24
Batting Average.286.300
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 54# 71
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 45# 48
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 43# 51
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 40# 51
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 41# 61
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 41# 62
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 40# 54
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 40# 49
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 45# 82
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 42# 49
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 37# 48
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 37# 53
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 34# 54
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 32# 55
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 41# 54
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 50# 53
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 32# 70
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 33# 45
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 46# 62
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 40# 44
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 54# 69
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 27
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 37# 42
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 25# 53
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 38# 46
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 53# 85
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 45# 46
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 39# 61
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 58# 66
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 28# 38
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 45# 48
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 53# 71
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 43# 54
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 43# 62
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 24# 16
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 32# 28
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 34# 30
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 40# 36
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 45# 39
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 47# 36
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 50# 45
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 52# 37
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 52# 31
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 53# 44
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 57# 20
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 60# 46
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 61# 45
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 61# 49
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 62# 46
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 67# 47
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 67# 66
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 69# 49
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 70# 49
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 72# 42
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 86# 41
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 106# 46
   
  Marcell Ozuna
LF - STL
Marcell Ozuna
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats582
   
Runs69
   
Hits163
   
Singles122
   
Doubles16
   
Triples2
   
Home Runs23
   
RBI88
   
Stolen Bases3
   
Caught Stealing0
   
Walks38
   
Strikeouts110
   
Batting Average.280
   
On Base Pct.325
   
Slugging Pct.433
   
On-base Plus Slugging.758
   
  Marcell Ozuna
LF - STL
Marcell Ozuna
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats569482
   
Runs7775
   
Hits162145
   
Singles10893
   
Doubles2429
   
Triples32
   
Home Runs2722
   
RBI9577
   
Stolen Bases24
   
Caught Stealing22
   
Walks4646
   
Strikeouts11872
   
Batting Average.286.300
   
On Base Pct.339.361
   
Slugging Pct.479.505
   
On-base Plus Slugging.818.866
   
  Marcell Ozuna
LF - STL
Marcell Ozuna
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
News 
 Marcell Ozuna went 1-for-4 with a single and an RBI in the Cardinals' 8-7 loss to the Mets on Saturday.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 16th
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is back in the lineup for the Blue Jays in their Sunday game against the Astros. He is batting second and slotted in at DH.
Dan Harris
Sun, Jun 16th
 Marcell Ozuna went 2-for-5 with a solo home run and two runs scored in the Cardinals' 7-1 win over the Marlins Tuesday.
Elliott Baas
Tue, Jun 11th
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (hand) is absent from Saturday's lineup versus the Astros.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 15th
 Marcell Ozuna went 1-for-4 with a three-run homer in the Cardinals' 9-4 loss to the Cubs on Saturday.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 9th
X-rays on the injured hand of Vladimir Guerrero Jr. came back negative for any fractures on Friday according to Shi Davidi of Sportsnet.
John Aubin
Sat, Jun 15th
 Marcell Ozuna went 2-for-4 with a pair of singles in the Cardinals' 3-1 win over the Reds on Thursday.
Elliott Baas
Thu, Jun 6th
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. exited Friday's game in the second inning after getting beaned on the hand by a Gerrit Cole fastball.
Andrew Gould
Fri, Jun 14th
 Marcell Ozuna went 2-for-4 with a solo home run in the Cardinals' 5-3 win over the Phillies on Thursday.
Elliott Baas
Thu, May 30th
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 3-for-5 with an RBI and two runs scored in a win over the Orioles on Wednesday.
John Aubin
Thu, Jun 13th
Notes 
 Ozuna's massive 2017 season seemed destined to go down as an outlier, and that's exactly what happened as he experienced a major drop-off in every offensive category last season. A shoulder injury reportedly impacted his performance last year, but the fact remains that Ozuna now has three full seasons where he has hit exactly 23 home runs with a batting average between .265 and .280 and 75-90 RBIs. That's the player we should expect in 2019, not the one that went .312-37-124 in 2017.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Nobody is doubting Guerrero's skills. Especially not Steamer, as the typically pessimistic projection system has the 19-year-old batting .306/.368/.511 with 22 homers in 550 plate appearances. Toronto's teenage prodigy has nothing left to prove in the minors after collectively batting .381/.437/.636 in Double-A and Triple-A. The problem is opportunity, with the Blue Jays almost certain to hold baseball's top prospect back for service-time manipulation. Since he was never going to make the Opening Day roster, supporters shouldn't get cold feet because of an oblique injury that guarantees a delay to his anticipated arrival. With Ronald Acuna's sensational debut fresh in everyone's mind, there's still little chance of snagging Vlad Jr. at a discount. Don't bite so soon in re-drafts, but it'll get tougher to resist if he lasts to the late fifth or sixth round.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 All reasonable onlookers expected regression from Ozuna's .312, 37-homer outburst in 2017, but they still wanted better than .280 and 23 long balls. Let's see if he can find some middle ground this season. Playing through a nagging shoulder injury, which he addressed with an offseason surgery, he slashed his strikeouts and maintained similar levels of exit velocity and hard hits. He once again hit too many ground balls (47.1%), but he couldn't overcome it this time. The 28-year-old doesn't even need a major bounce-back to deliver value, as he could post a monster RBI tally batting behind Matt Carpenter and Paul Goldschmidt in St. Louis.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
The always conservative Steamer projection model sees Vlad Jr. as a similar player to Nolan Arenado from the get-go with a .300+ BA, 30 homers and both 100 RBIs and runs over a full season's at bats. This issue, however, will be whether he gets those at-bats. You can gamble on him as early as the 4th round, but it may not be early enough to beat others to the punch
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Ozuna may have taken a huge step back last year, but even so, he put up 23 homers, 88 RBIs and a .280 batting average while playing with a significant shoulder injury. We don't know yet whether or not he will be ready to go on opening day, but assuming health, we might be closer to the 37 HR, 124 RBIs, and .312 BA we got from Ozuna in 2017.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Guerrero profiles as a future superstar. He was unstoppable across four minor league levels last season, hitting .381 with 20 home runs in just 95 games. The projection systems universally expect him to rake from day one in the Major Leagues, envisioning that he is capable of hitting close to .300 with 20-25 home runs even while missing the first few weeks of the season due to service time considerations. He won't be good for more than a handful of stolen bases, but that hardly matters for a player who could someday soon lead the league in both batting average and home runs.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros