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Who Should I Draft?

Max Scherzer or Brandon Woodruff (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Max Scherzer
SP - LAD
Max Scherzer
Brandon Woodruff
SP - MIL
Brandon Woodruff
Expert
Recommendation
80%
Recommended by
41 of 51 experts
20%
Recommended by
10 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 9# 13
Best Rank# 4# 4
Worst Rank# 14# 27
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 23# 37
Best Rank# 21# 32
Worst Rank# 25# 50
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts232191
Wins1311
Saves00
ERA3.363.45
WHIP1.111.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 10# 13
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 7# 13
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 10# 12
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 4# 12
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 10# 12
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 8# 13
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 6# 27
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 10
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 6# 15
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 6# 19
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 8# 13
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 8# 13
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 7# 13
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 7# 9
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 4# 13
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 6# 13
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 8# 12
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 9# 13
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 9# 13
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 9# 11
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 9# 12
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 9# 12
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 10# 11
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 9# 13
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 9# 12
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 4# 13
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 8# 17
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 13
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 9# 13
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 7# 8
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 8# 15
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 10# 14
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 8# 13
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 11# 16
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 7# 14
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 9# 13
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 10# 19
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 9# 13
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 11# 13
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 12# 14
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 7# 10
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 9# 4
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 10# 9
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 11# 9
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 11# 10
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 11# 8
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 12# 11
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 12# 9
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 13# 11
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 13# 10
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 14# 13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Max Scherzer
SP - LAD
Max Scherzer
Brandon Woodruff
SP - MIL
Brandon Woodruff
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1213
   
Games Started1213
   
Innings Pitched67.174.2
   
Wins53
   
Losses45
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed7055
   
Earned Runs2825
   
Home Runs Allowed109
   
Strikeouts9291
   
Walks2318
   
ERA3.743.05
   
WHIP1.380.99
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Max Scherzer
SP - LAD
Max Scherzer
Brandon Woodruff
SP - MIL
Brandon Woodruff
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3030
   
Games Started3029
   
Innings Pitched179.4165.5
   
Wins1311
   
Losses88
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed152141
   
Earned Runs6763
   
Home Runs Allowed2520
   
Strikeouts232191
   
Walks4746
   
ERA3.363.45
   
WHIP1.111.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Max Scherzer
SP - LAD
Max Scherzer
Brandon Woodruff
SP - MIL
Brandon Woodruff
News 
 RHP Max Scherzer blanked the Reds on Saturday when he allowed just two hits with two walks and seven strikeouts over seven scoreless innings in the Dodgers' 5-1 win.
Jon Mathisen
Sun, Sep 19th
Brandon Woodruff (9-9) took the loss Wednesday against the Tigers, allowing three runs on four hits across six innings. He walked one and struck out seven.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 15th
 Max Scherzer went eight innings on Sunday, seven of them being perfect before giving up a hit in the eighth inning. He also struck out nine batters on his way to the 3,000 strikeout milestone.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Mon, Sep 13th
The Brewers have scratched pitcher Brandon Woodruff from his start on Saturday due to a stomach bug. Eric Lauer will take the mound instead. Meanwhile, Woodruff's start has been moved back to Wednesday.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Sep 11th
 RHP Max Scherzer earned his 13th win of the season on Monday when he surrendered one unearned run on six hits with 13 strikeouts over eight innings as the Dodgers beat the Cardinals 5-1.
Jon Mathisen
Mon, Sep 6th
Brandon Woodruff (9-8) took the loss Monday against the Phillies, allowing four runs on nine hits across six innings. He walked one and struck out six.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Sep 6th
 RHP Max Scherzer was dominant on Wednesday, allowing just three hits with zero walks and nine strikeouts over six innings as the Dodgers took out the Braves by a score of 4-3.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, Sep 2nd
Brandon Woodruff (9-7) earned the victory Tuesday against the Giants, allowing one run on five hits across six innings. He walked three and struck out eight.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 1st
 RHP Max Scherzer earned the win on Thursday when he allowed just two hits with one walk and 10 strikeouts over 7 2/3 innings as the Dodgers blanked the Padres 4-0.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Aug 27th
Brandon Woodruff (8-7) picked up the win Wednesday against the Reds, tossing six scoreless innings while allowing four hits and zero walks. He struck out 10.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Aug 26th
Notes 
 Scherzer had a decent season for a mortal, but for someone with his career track record, it was a major disappointment. His 3.74 ERA was his highest since 2012, his 1.38 WHIP the highest of his career, and his 7.8% walk percentage his worst in a decade. Scherzer still struck out plenty of batters but entering his age-37 season and with a ton of mileage on his arm, it's only fair to accept that the old Scherzer is gone for good. But though he may not be a consensus top-three starter anymore, he's still perfectly capable of being a fantasy ace. After all, Scherzer's velocity hasn't declined much, and his 31.2% strikeout rate was tied for 10th among starters. Scherzer likely won't reach 200 innings pitched again and his ERA seems destined to remain above 3.00 going forward, but he's far from someone to avoid in fantasy drafts.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
There were some skeptics after Woodruff succeeded in 2019 based largely on one pitch - his devastating fastball - but he put those concerns to rest in 2020. His ERA (3.05) and WHIP (0.99) were incredibly strong, particularly when you consider that he struck out more than 11 batters per nine innings. Woodruff's fastball hits rests at 96 MPH and is one of the better pitches in baseball, but his slider and changeup both made strides last year. The Brewers are reportedly planning to add about 100 innings to their starter's workloads last season, so pencil Woodruff in for roughly 175 extremely strong frames. You can survive with him as your fantasy ace, though he's best as an incredibly strong number 2.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Scherzer's 4.21 xERA from the 2020 season was the first time that he didn't rate out well since Statcast began tracking this data in 2015. His surface level numbers didn't suffer all that much, especially when it came to strikeouts, which makes this a dangerous profile to bet on. And that's before we mention the fact that Scherzer will turn 37 this summer. Can we trust him to stay healthy over the course of a full season? It never feels good betting against Scherzer, but there are some safer options going around his ADP right now.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Woodruff's 2020 season ranked in the 90th percentile in both xERA and xwOBA. He rates out well according to both FIP and Baseball Savant. It's fair to call him a good-to-great starting pitcher. The question becomes what kind of workload can we expect from Milwaukee's No. 1? Woodruff logged 73 2/3 innings last summer after posting a career-high 121 2/3 frames in 2019. The Brewers plan to add on 100 innings to each of their SP's workloads from last year. If you believe Woodruff will hold up then he's a wildly exciting SP2 in fantasy.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros