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Who Should I Draft?

Mike Trout or Christian Yelich (2021)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Mike Trout
CF - LAA
Mike Trout
Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
Expert
Recommendation
100%
Recommended by
10 of 10 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 10 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 4# 8
Best Rank# 1# 5
Worst Rank# 6# 9
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 4# 12
Best Rank# 3# 11
Worst Rank# 5# 13
   
Projections 
   
Runs110106
Home Runs4236
RBI10891
Stolen Bases1019
Batting Average.291.284
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 4# 8
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 8
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 4# 6
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 7
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 2# 6
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 4# 9
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 4# 9
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 1# 7
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 6# 8
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 3# 5
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Mike Trout
CF - LAA
Mike Trout
Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats199200
   
Runs4139
   
Hits5641
   
Singles2821
   
Doubles97
   
Triples21
   
Home Runs1712
   
RBI4622
   
Stolen Bases14
   
Caught Stealing12
   
Walks3546
   
Strikeouts5676
   
Batting Average.281.205
   
On Base Pct.390.356
   
Slugging Pct.603.430
   
On-base Plus Slugging.993.786
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Mike Trout
CF - LAA
Mike Trout
Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats512544
   
Runs110106
   
Hits149154
   
Singles7685
   
Doubles2729
   
Triples43
   
Home Runs4236
   
RBI10891
   
Stolen Bases1019
   
Caught Stealing35
   
Walks11093
   
Strikeouts141158
   
Batting Average.291.284
   
On Base Pct.416.389
   
Slugging Pct.592.538
   
On-base Plus Slugging1.008.926
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Mike Trout
CF - LAA
Mike Trout
Christian Yelich
LF,RF - MIL
Christian Yelich
News 
There are no recent news for these players
Notes 
 For one of the first times since he took the league by storm, Trout is not the consensus top pick this year. It's hardly his fault, though it's fair to point out some of the negatives with his 2020 season. He batted a career-low .281, and posted his worst walk- and strikeout-rates since 2015. He also stole only one base. But Trout's move down the overall baseball rankings is due more to his competition for the top spot, rather than his numbers. He was still among the league leaders in quality of contact and every expected statcast metric, and was on pace to hit 50 home runs over the course of a full season. Trout is entering his age-30 season, so although we've seen him rebound from poor stolen base years before, it now seems unlikely that he'll ever get back to much past low-double digits. That keeps him out of the top spot in rotisserie rankings, but his incredibly high floor makes him a top-five overall draft pick.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Yelich's 2020 season was, in a word, bizarre. After batting .327 combined from 2018-2019, his batting average dropped to a meager .205 last year. Although he hit the ball as hard as ever, setting career highs in average exit velocity and hard hit percentage, his strikeout rate ballooned more than 10 points to 30.8%. At the same time, Yelich's walk rate jumped up to 18.6%. Unsurprisingly, the reason for the jump in both Yelich's strikeouts and walks was that he simply swung less - just 34.6% of the time after his mark hovered above 44% the previous two seasons. If Yelich takes the same passive approach in 2021, then it's likely that his batting average will remain below what fantasy managers had come to expect. But considering that his season was so out of line with what he'd produced since coming to Milwaukee, fantasy managers should expect far more this season, and feel confident drafting him late in the first round.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 You won't find a safer first-round investment in all of fantasy baseball. However, entering Trout's age-29 season, it's now fair to consider several others worthy of the No. 1 overall pick come draft day. The biggest argument against Trout is a lack of stolen base upside. Trout swiped just one bag during the abbreviated 2020 campaign. Still, the well-rounded power and on-base skills aren't going anywhere just yet.
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
Yelich was a bust for those who used a top-three selection on him in 2020 fantasy drafts. Don't let that scare you off, however. One of the biggest factors we need to consider for draft prep this year is how much should we weigh 2020? Yelich actually had a higher average exit velocity, a higher hard-hit rate, and a better walk rate than he did in 2019. He was just striking out way more often than usual. That, to me, looks like a profile in which Yelich would've eventually rebounded over the course of a full year. Perhaps he was pressing due to the depletion of Milwaukee's lineup, but Yelich's batted ball data is fine. I'm taking the discount and drafting him in the late-first with confidence.
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros