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Who Should I Draft?

Mike Trout or Gerrit Cole (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Mike Trout
CF - LAA
Mike Trout
Gerrit Cole
SP - NYY
Gerrit Cole
Expert
Recommendation
80%
Recommended by
45 of 56 experts
20%
Recommended by
11 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 5# 8
Best Rank# 1# 4
Worst Rank# 13# 24
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 5# 7
Best Rank# 3# 5
Worst Rank# 6# 8
   
Projections 
   
Runs111
Home Runs4330
RBI109
Stolen Bases11
Batting Avg.291
Strikeouts141262
Wins16
Saves0
ERA3.18
WHIP1.03
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 5# 9
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 5# 8
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 2# 12
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 5# 17
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 5# 12
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 4# 12
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 1# 8
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 7# 12
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 5# 11
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 6# 11
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 5# 9
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 3# 14
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 5# 8
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 6# 7
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 3# 8
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 6# 8
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 5# 9
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 5# 8
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 1# 6
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 4# 11
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 4# 12
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 5# 8
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 5# 7
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 6# 9
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 5# 7
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 5# 17
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 5# 11
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 5# 8
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 3# 8
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 5# 9
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 5# 10
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 4# 12
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 5# 9
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 2# 8
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 2# 13
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 2# 8
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 3# 7
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 4# 24
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 5# 7
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 5# 8
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 5# 7
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 4# 12
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 5# 9
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 5# 8
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 7# 8
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 7# 6
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 7# 6
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 6
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 8# 6
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 8# 4
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 8# 5
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 9# 4
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 9# 8
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 10# 9
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 11# 9
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 13# 12
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Mike Trout
CF - LAA
Mike Trout
Gerrit Cole
SP - NYY
Gerrit Cole
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs41
   
Home Runs1714
   
RBI46
   
Stolen Bases1
   
Batting Avg.281
   
Strikeouts5694
   
Wins7
   
Saves0
   
ERA2.84
   
WHIP0.96
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Mike Trout
CF - LAA
Mike Trout
Gerrit Cole
SP - NYY
Gerrit Cole
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs111
   
Home Runs4330
   
RBI109
   
Stolen Bases11
   
Batting Avg.291
   
Strikeouts141262
   
Wins16
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.18
   
WHIP1.03
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Mike Trout
CF - LAA
Mike Trout
Gerrit Cole
SP - NYY
Gerrit Cole
News 
 Angels manager Joe Maddon conceded that Mike Trout is unlikely to return this season.
Ari Koslow
Thu, Sep 16th
Yankees RHP Gerrit Cole was tagged for three earned runs in just two innings of work on Tuesday against the Red Sox.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Oct 6th
 Angels manager Joe Maddon says that there's no update on when or if Mike Trout (calf) will return this season.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 8th
Gerrit Cole will get the start for the Yankees when they face off against the Boston Red Sox in the AL Wildcard game at Fenway Park on Tuesday.
Chris Schommer
Sun, Oct 3rd
 Angels manager Joe Maddon says OF Mike Trout (calf" is still "sore."
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Aug 30th
Gerrit Cole allowed five runs on nine hits, did not walk a batter and struck out six over six innings Wednesday in a no-decision versus the Blue Jays.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 30th
 Angels' CF Mike Trout is still not recovered enough to begin a rehab stint, according to skipper Joe Maddon.
Jack Mannis
Tue, Aug 24th
Gerrit Cole surrendered three runs on five hits with three walks and six strikeouts in six innings Friday in a victory over the Red Sox.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 25th
 Angels OF Mike Trout (calf) says he's close to beginning a minor league rehab assignment.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Aug 21st
Gerrit Cole allowed one earned run on four hits and three walks while striking out seven over five innings to earn the win Tuesday against the Orioles.
John Aubin
Wed, Sep 15th
Notes 
 For one of the first times since he took the league by storm, Trout is not the consensus top pick this year. It's hardly his fault, though it's fair to point out some of the negatives with his 2020 season. He batted a career-low .281, and posted his worst walk- and strikeout-rates since 2015. He also stole only one base. But Trout's move down the overall baseball rankings is due more to his competition for the top spot, rather than his numbers. He was still among the league leaders in quality of contact and every expected statcast metric, and was on pace to hit 50 home runs over the course of a full season. Trout is entering his age-30 season, so although we've seen him rebound from poor stolen base years before, it now seems unlikely that he'll ever get back to much past low-double digits. That keeps him out of the top spot in rotisserie rankings, but his incredibly high floor makes him a top-five overall draft pick.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Cole was pretty much as advertised in his first season with the Yankees. His ERA rose a tad, as did his home run rate as expected, and his strikeout rate fell a bit, though it remained at an absurdly high level. And, for the most part, all of his expected metrics fell off a tad from his 2019 season. But Cole's numbers from that season were so dominating that he could withstand plenty of regression and still be one of the best pitchers in fantasy. As such, he'll head into 2021 close to the way he came into the 2020 season: a dominant, high-strikeout, low-walk starter who will throw plenty of innings and who is more likely to finish as the top overall fantasy pitcher than he is to finish outside the top-10. It's a matter of personal preference between Cole and Jacob deGrom as the first pitcher off the board, but neither should fall outside the top-10 overall picks on draft day.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 You won't find a safer first-round investment in all of fantasy baseball. However, entering Trout's age-29 season, it's now fair to consider several others worthy of the No. 1 overall pick come draft day. The biggest argument against Trout is a lack of stolen base upside. Trout swiped just one bag during the abbreviated 2020 campaign. Still, the well-rounded power and on-base skills aren't going anywhere just yet.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros