Who Should I Draft?
Nolan Arenado or J.D. Martinez (2020)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Nolan Arenado 3B - COL  | J.D. Martinez LF,RF,DH - BOS  | |
Expert |
93% Recommended by 42 of 45 experts |
7% Recommended by 3 of 45 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 10 | # 14 |
| Best Rank | # 5 | # 6 |
| Worst Rank | # 15 | # 29 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 11 | # 22 |
| Best Rank | # 9 | # 17 |
| Worst Rank | # 13 | # 23 |
| Projections | ||
| Runs | 37 | 36 |
| Home Runs | 15 | 14 |
| RBI | 43 | 41 |
| Stolen Bases | 1 | 1 |
| Batting Average | .305 | .310 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 10 | # 12 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 8 | # 16 |
| Staff Rankings FullTime Fantasy | # 7 | # 29 |
| Alan Harrison The Fantasy Fix | # 8 | # 18 |
| Steve Gardner USA Today | # 14 | # 15 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 15 | # 20 |
| Greg Smith The Fake Baseball | # 12 | # 22 |
| Tim Young Brewer Rat | # 13 | # 14 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 10 | # 15 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 13 | # 18 |
| KJ Fantasy Team Advice | # 8 | # 9 |
| Dave McKay The Fantasy Sports Brain | # 9 | # 13 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 9 | # 13 |
| Chet Gresham The Fake Baseball | # 9 | # 14 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 8 | # 15 |
| Chris Meaney FTN | # 9 | # 13 |
| Andy Singleton Expand The Boxscore | # 9 | # 13 |
| Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 11 | # 16 |
| Andrea LaMont Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports | # 8 | # 9 |
| Mark Ross Athlon Sports | # 9 | # 14 |
| Matt Brandon Matt Brandon | # 10 | # 13 |
| Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 9 | # 10 |
| Bill Dubiel RotoBaller | # 9 | # 15 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 9 | # 13 |
| Tyler Thompson Fantasy Six Pack | # 8 | # 13 |
| Jason Johnson Understanding Fantasy Baseball | # 9 | # 13 |
| Donkey Teeth Razzball | # 12 | # 15 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 11 | # 13 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 11 | # 19 |
| Andrew Seifter FantasyPros | # 9 | # 14 |
| Max Freeze Freeze Stats | # 10 | # 13 |
| Dennis Sosic Fantasy Six Pack | # 10 | # 13 |
| Michael Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | # 9 | # 18 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 8 | # 13 |
| Ryan Amore Pitcher List | # 10 | # 14 |
| Todd D Clark The Fantasy Fix | # 9 | # 15 |
| Jacob W. Dunne New Life Fantasy | # 5 | # 12 |
| Sean Zerillo The Action Network | # 7 | # 12 |
| George Kurtz FantasyData | # 9 | # 13 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 9 | # 18 |
| Chris Mitchell FantasyData | # 15 | # 17 |
| Staff Rankings Roto Ranks | # 9 | # 18 |
| Mario Mergola Sporfolio | # 8 | # 6 |
| Carmen Maiorano FantasyPros | # 10 | # 9 |
| Bobby Sylvester FantasyPros | # 11 | # 10 |
| Nolan Arenado 3B - COL | J.D. Martinez LF,RF,DH - BOS | |
| 2019 Stats | ||
| At Bats | 588 | 575 |
| Runs | 102 | 98 |
| Hits | 184 | 175 |
| Singles | 110 | 104 |
| Doubles | 31 | 33 |
| Triples | 2 | 2 |
| Home Runs | 41 | 36 |
| RBI | 118 | 105 |
| Stolen Bases | 3 | 2 |
| Caught Stealing | 2 | 0 |
| Walks | 62 | 72 |
| Strikeouts | 93 | 138 |
| Batting Average | .313 | .304 |
| On Base Pct | .378 | .383 |
| Slugging Pct | .582 | .557 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .959 | .939 |
| Nolan Arenado 3B - COL | J.D. Martinez LF,RF,DH - BOS | |
| 2020 Projections | ||
| At Bats | 212 | 202 |
| Runs | 37 | 36 |
| Hits | 65 | 63 |
| Singles | 36 | 36 |
| Doubles | 13 | 12 |
| Triples | 1 | 1 |
| Home Runs | 15 | 14 |
| RBI | 43 | 41 |
| Stolen Bases | 1 | 1 |
| Caught Stealing | 1 | 0 |
| Walks | 23 | 24 |
| Strikeouts | 38 | 53 |
| Batting Average | .305 | .310 |
| On Base Pct | .375 | .384 |
| Slugging Pct | .573 | .580 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .948 | .964 |
| Nolan Arenado 3B - COL | J.D. Martinez LF,RF,DH - BOS | |
| News | ||
| Nolan Arenado hit his second homer of the spring on Tuesday against the Cubs. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Tue, Mar 3rd | J.D. Martinez went 2-for-3 with three-run home run in Wednesday's spring game against the Tigers. John Aubin Thu, Mar 5th | |
| Thomas Harding of MLB.com writes that Nolan Arenado is feeling disrespected by the Rockies' front office. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Mon, Jan 20th | ||
| The Rockies and Cardinals are reportedly exchanging names that could be involved in a trade centering on Nolan Arenado. Blaine Blontz Tue, Jan 14th | ||
| Jon Morosi of MLB Network reports Nolan Arenado has a "50/50" chance of being traded this off-season. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Thu, Jan 2nd | ||
| Notes | ||
| Your goal in the first round is to not screw up the pick. With Arenado, you're getting arguably the safest player in the round not named Mike Trout on a year-to-year basis. It's now been four straight years with at least 37 homers, a .294 average, 100 runs and 110 RBIs. Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros | J.D. Martinez was a first-round player in drafts last year, but as is the case with fantasy managers, there's a quick overreaction to a "down" year, which is why we see Martinez fall to the second round this year. Targeting bounce-back players at a value is vital to winning fantasy leagues. Martinez can give you first-round value, despite not having the steals or Mookie Betts in the lineup. Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros | |
| There's very little to say about Arenado at this point. He's batted between .287 and .315, hit between 37 and 42 home runs, and driven in between 97 and 116 runs in each of the last five years. Entering his age-29 season, there are simply no concerns about Arenado so long as he remains in Colorado all year, though that is admittedly a bit of a question mark at this point. But really, so long as you are comfortable that you won't get steals from your first-round pick, there's no reason to shy away from Arenado whatsoever. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | Martinez won't steal any bases but with 40 homers, 100+ RBIs and a .300 batting average every year, fantasy owners are getting an absolute steal at any point in the second round of drafts. Don't be scared off by his dip in production, as underlying metrics suggest he was among the most unlucky hitters in baseball. Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros | |
| Arenado won't steal any bases, but besides Trout, this is the most consistent and reliable bat in the majors. If he doesn't get traded, he is a virtual lock to again finish among the top 10 fantasy hitters and you just may be able to snag him at the end of the first round. Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros | Seems to be overlooked every season. High end contributor in every category except SBs. Super solid 2nd round pick. Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy | |
| Consecutive years of diminished stolen bases by Altuve and a drop off in elite strikeout SPs puts me in a place to select a "slugger only" player and Arenado is one of the best. Chris Mitchell - FantasyData | ||
