Who Should I Draft?
Nolan Arenado or J.D. Martinez (2019)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Nolan Arenado 3B - COL  | J.D. Martinez LF,RF,DH - BOS  | |
Expert |
63% Recommended by 37 of 59 experts |
37% Recommended by 22 of 59 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 3 | # 4 |
| Best Rank | # 3 | # 2 |
| Worst Rank | # 10 | # 21 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 6 | # 5 |
| Best Rank | # 3 | # 4 |
| Worst Rank | # 7 | # 5 |
| Projections | ||
| Runs | 100 | 98 |
| Home Runs | 38 | 40 |
| RBI | 113 | 116 |
| Stolen Bases | 3 | 4 |
| Batting Average | .292 | .305 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Brandon Funston The Athletic | # 3 | # 4 |
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 3 | # 5 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 3 | # 6 |
| Staff Rankings FullTime Fantasy | # 3 | # 4 |
| Michael Beller The Athletic | # 3 | # 4 |
| Alan Harrison The Fantasy Fix | # 5 | # 6 |
| Grey Albright Razzball | # 8 | # 12 |
| Greg Smith The Fake Baseball | # 4 | # 7 |
| Tim Young Brewer Rat | # 8 | # 13 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 4 | # 5 |
| Muntradamus Beast Dome | # 3 | # 17 |
| Scott White CBS Sports | # 4 | # 5 |
| Heath Cummings CBS Sports | # 5 | # 7 |
| KJ Fantasy Team Advice | # 6 | # 9 |
| Nando Di Fino The Athletic | # 6 | # 18 |
| Dave McKay The Fantasy Sports Brain | # 4 | # 6 |
| Wayne Bretsky BretskyBall | # 4 | # 5 |
| Andy Singleton Expand The Boxscore | # 3 | # 4 |
| Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 6 | # 7 |
| Andrea LaMont Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports | # 5 | # 6 |
| Justin Klein The Fake Baseball | # 4 | # 5 |
| Mario Mergola Sporfolio | # 3 | # 4 |
| Paul Sporer FanGraphs | # 3 | # 8 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 3 | # 5 |
| Bobby Sylvester FantasyPros | # 3 | # 4 |
| Donkey Teeth Razzball | # 7 | # 21 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 4 | # 6 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 4 | # 9 |
| Andrew Seifter FantasyPros | # 3 | # 4 |
| Kyle Richardson The Fantasy Headliners | # 3 | # 4 |
| Dennis Sosic Fantasy Six Pack | # 5 | # 6 |
| Jacob Gibbs SportsLine | # 4 | # 5 |
| Bart Wheeler Hail to Fantasy Football | # 3 | # 4 |
| Mick Ciallela Fantrax | # 5 | # 6 |
| Jason Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | # 3 | # 5 |
| Austin Bristow II Pitcher List | # 5 | # 6 |
| Todd D Clark The Fantasy Fix | # 3 | # 8 |
| Chris Meaney The Athletic | # 4 | # 3 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 4 | # 3 |
| Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 4 | # 3 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 4 | # 3 |
| Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 4 | # 3 |
| Steve Gardner USA Today | # 4 | # 3 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 5 | # 4 |
| Al Melchior The Athletic | # 5 | # 3 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 5 | # 4 |
| Tyler Thompson Fantasy Six Pack | # 5 | # 4 |
| Justin Mason FanGraphs | # 5 | # 4 |
| Eno Sarris The Athletic | # 5 | # 4 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 5 | # 3 |
| Luke Gloeckner Mr. Cheatsheet | # 5 | # 4 |
| Bill Dubiel RotoBaller | # 6 | # 5 |
| Michael Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | # 6 | # 5 |
| Jason Johnson Understanding Fantasy Baseball | # 6 | # 3 |
| Max Freeze Freeze Stats | # 7 | # 4 |
| Rudy Gamble Razzball | # 8 | # 5 |
| Brad Richter DailyOverlay | # 8 | # 2 |
| Brandon 'B_Don' Myers Razzball | # 9 | # 6 |
| Joe E Gentile Fake Teams | # 10 | # 6 |
| Nolan Arenado 3B - COL | J.D. Martinez LF,RF,DH - BOS | |
| 2018 Stats | ||
| At Bats | 590 | 569 |
| Runs | 104 | 111 |
| Hits | 175 | 188 |
| Singles | 97 | 106 |
| Doubles | 38 | 37 |
| Triples | 2 | 2 |
| Home Runs | 38 | 43 |
| RBI | 110 | 130 |
| Stolen Bases | 2 | 6 |
| Caught Stealing | 2 | 1 |
| Walks | 73 | 69 |
| Strikeouts | 122 | 146 |
| Batting Average | .297 | .330 |
| On Base Pct | .374 | .402 |
| Slugging Pct | .561 | .629 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .935 | 1.031 |
| Nolan Arenado 3B - COL | J.D. Martinez LF,RF,DH - BOS | |
| 2019 Projections | ||
| At Bats | 587 | 544 |
| Runs | 100 | 98 |
| Hits | 172 | 166 |
| Singles | 91 | 91 |
| Doubles | 38 | 33 |
| Triples | 4 | 2 |
| Home Runs | 38 | 40 |
| RBI | 113 | 116 |
| Stolen Bases | 3 | 4 |
| Caught Stealing | 2 | 1 |
| Walks | 66 | 64 |
| Strikeouts | 113 | 146 |
| Batting Average | .292 | .305 |
| On Base Pct | .363 | .378 |
| Slugging Pct | .561 | .593 |
| On-base Plus Slugging | .924 | .971 |
| Nolan Arenado 3B - COL | J.D. Martinez LF,RF,DH - BOS | |
| News | ||
| Nolan Arenado hit his 41st homer of the year in the Rockies' 12-5 loss to the Dodgers on Friday. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Sat, Sep 21st | J.D. Martinez went 0-for-5 with four strikeouts in his return to the lineup Saturday as the Red Sox lost to the Rays by a 5-4 score in a game that went 13 innings. John Aubin Sun, Sep 22nd | |
| Nolan Arenado went 2-for-4 with a homer, a double, a walk, and two RBI as the Rockies fell to the Cardinals 10-3 on Thursday. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Fri, Sep 13th | J.D. Martinez (groin) will serve as the designated hitter and bat cleanup Saturday against the Rays.
John Aubin Sat, Sep 21st | |
| Nolan Arenado went 2-for-4 with a homer and two RBI as the Rockies beat the Cardinals 2-1 on Tuesday night. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Wed, Sep 11th | J.D. Martinez (groin) is not in the lineup for Friday's game against the Rays, Julian McWilliams of The Boston Globe reports. John Aubin Fri, Sep 20th | |
| Nolan Arenado hit his 37th homer of the year as the Rockies fell to the Dodgers 5-3 on Tuesday. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Wed, Sep 4th | J.D. Martinez (groin) remains out of the Red Sox starting lineup Thursday versus the Giants according to Pete Abraham of The Boston Globe. John Aubin Thu, Sep 19th | |
| Nolan Arenado went 2-for-4 with two singles as the Rockies fell to the Pirates 9-4 on Friday. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Sat, Aug 31st | J.D. Martinez (groin) is on the bench as expected Wednesday against the Giants, Pete Abraham of The Boston Globe reports. John Aubin Wed, Sep 18th | |
| Notes | ||
| Drafters know what they're getting in Arenado, who has batted no lower than .287 with at least 37 homers and 110 RBI in the last four years. He has played all but 16 games in those four seasons, making him a durable beacon of consistency worthy of a first-round selection. He signed an extension during the offseason, so investors no longer need to worry about a midseason trade removing him from Coors Field. A lack of steals is an unfortunate, but acceptable tradeoff for locking in bankable production at every other category. Andrew Gould - FantasyPros | Martinez is a rare first-round hitter who rarely runs, but he'll make up for it in every other spot. While the 31-year-old probably won't win another batting title at .330, he's a .307 hitter since 2014's breakout who has exceeded .300 in three straight years. He boasts an MLB-high .655 slugging percentage in the past two seasons with 88 long balls. Last season, he placed within the 97th percentile or better in exit velocity, hard-hit%, xAVG, xSLG, and xWOBA. Hitting in the middle of Boston's lineup also makes him a strong bet to drive in and score over 100 runs. Limited fielding reps helped him stay healthy, but he played enough OF (25 games) to maintain fantasy eligibility, making him a strong four-category star. Andrew Gould - FantasyPros | |
| Arenado might not feel like the sexiest pick at this stage because he isn't the hot new name, nor is he a five-category star, but there is nothing wrong with boring old reliability. He has averaged 40 homers, 125 RBIs and 100 runs while batting .297 over the last four seasons. Don't let him slip past this 5th pick in your drafts. Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros | It's funny how one healthy season can help you forget that a player missed 40+ games in three of the past four seasons. While Martinez has a legitimate shot at the Triple Crown, he is also a bit riskier than many of the other first round picks so proceed soberly. Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros | |
| When it comes to elite production that you can bank on year in and year out, look no further than Arenado. Some people will quibble that his lack of steals makes him a four-category player, but that hasn't stopped Arenado from producing four straight seasons as a top-10 overall hitter in standard 5x5 leagues. The only other knock on Arenado is that he is much better in the thin air of Coors Field, but fresh off a record-breaking contract extension, fantasy owners no longer need to worry about the possibility of a mid-season trade out of Colorado. You can write it down in marker that he will provide around 40 home runs, 100 runs, 110 RBIs, and a batting average in the .290 range, making Arenado a nice bargain at his average draft position (ADP) of 6.8. Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros | There is no better bet in baseball to hit .300 with 40+ home runs than Martinez. He's now accomplished that feat two years in a row, hit at least 38 homers in three of the last four seasons, and hit over .300 in four of the last five. Still in the prime of his career and in a great hitting environment in Boston, a repeat performance looks likely. Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros | |
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7/23/2019
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