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Who Should I Draft?

Nolan Arenado or Pete Alonso (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
Pete Alonso
1B,DH - NYM
Pete Alonso
Expert
Recommendation
62%
Recommended by
31 of 50 experts
38%
Recommended by
19 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 30# 32
Best Rank# 9# 21
Worst Rank# 60# 55
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 33# 46
Best Rank# 30# 43
Worst Rank# 42# 53
   
Projections 
   
Runs8590
Home Runs3142
RBI97105
Stolen Bases22
Batting Average.274.250
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 35
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 31# 33
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 29# 35
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 31# 34
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 9# 21
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 29# 31
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 29# 34
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 30# 35
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 20# 38
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 33# 35
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 26# 35
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 19# 34
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 31# 32
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 24# 36
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 32# 35
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 26# 39
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 29# 37
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 29# 30
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 32# 35
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 36
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 29# 34
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 29# 41
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 20# 35
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 17# 34
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 31# 55
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 37# 41
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 19# 40
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 14# 22
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 31# 33
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 33# 34
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 29# 40
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 32# 28
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 34# 23
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 36# 34
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 34
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 37# 27
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 37# 34
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 38# 31
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 39# 31
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 40# 27
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 41# 35
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 41# 26
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 41# 32
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 41# 32
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 42# 39
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 45# 26
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 47# 34
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 51# 34
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 53# 28
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 60# 39
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
Pete Alonso
1B,DH - NYM
Pete Alonso
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats182208
   
Runs2331
   
Hits4648
   
Singles2926
   
Doubles96
   
Triples00
   
Home Runs816
   
RBI2635
   
Stolen Bases01
   
Caught Stealing00
   
Walks1524
   
Strikeouts2061
   
Batting Average.253.231
   
On Base Pct.304.326
   
Slugging Pct.434.490
   
On-base Plus Slugging.738.817
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
Pete Alonso
1B,DH - NYM
Pete Alonso
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats571550
   
Runs8590
   
Hits155136
   
Singles9368
   
Doubles2925
   
Triples21
   
Home Runs3142
   
RBI97105
   
Stolen Bases22
   
Caught Stealing11
   
Walks6167
   
Strikeouts95166
   
Batting Average.274.250
   
On Base Pct.345.331
   
Slugging Pct.494.526
   
On-base Plus Slugging.839.857
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
Pete Alonso
1B,DH - NYM
Pete Alonso
News 
 Nolan Arenado came to the plate in the third inning on Monday, trailing 5-2 with two on and two out, and unloaded a three-run home run to left field off of Mets starter Joey Lucchesi to tie the game. Arenado finished the evening 1-for-3 with a walk as well.
Lucas Spence
Tue, May 4th
Pete Alonso had one of two Mets hits, a single, and struck out once.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Wed, Apr 28th
 Nolan Arenado went 3-for-4 with a walk, a single, a double, a triple, two runs scored, and three RBI in a 12-5 win over the Pirates on Saturday.
Lucas Spence
Sat, May 1st
Pete Alonso went 1-2 with two runs scored, one RBI, two walks, one strikeout, one home run, and one single.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Mon, Apr 26th
 Nolan Arenado went 2-for-5 with two doubles and two RBI in a 7-3 win over the Pirates on Friday.
Lucas Spence
Fri, Apr 30th
Pete Alonso went 1-4 with a home run, two RBIs, one run scored and a strikeout.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Fri, Apr 23rd
 Nolan Arenado made his presence felt all over the field on Tuesday, going 2-for-4 with two doubles and an RBI while also making a spectacular over-the-shoulder catch in foul territory to retire Bryce Harper.
Lucas Spence
Wed, Apr 28th
Pete Alonso went 1-4 with two RBIs, one run scored, and one walk.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Thu, Apr 22nd
 Nolan Arenado went 1-for-4 with an RBI single in a win over Cincinnati on Saturday.
Lucas Spence
Sat, Apr 24th
Pete Alonso went 2-7 across both games of the doubleheader with a single, home run, run scored, two RBIs, and five strikeouts.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Sun, Apr 18th
Notes 
 On the bright side, Arenado struck out just 10% of the time, a career-best. On the down side, there was everything else. Arenado batted just .253 and put up a 162-game pace of 27 home runs, 78 runs, 88 RBI, and zero steals. Those numbers won't kill your fantasy team, but considering Arenado's worst numbers over the previous five seasons were 37 home runs, 97 runs scored, and 110 RBI, they were a disaster. The good news, at least from the standpoint of projecting Arenado into the future, is that he was dealing with an injured AC joint in his shoulder for most of the season. In other words, fantasy managers can largely ignore Arenado's poor 2020 numbers, and focus instead on how he will perform now that he's been traded to the Cardinals. Although there's likely to be some dip in his numbers, we've seen hitters leave the Rockies and largely retain their value (or, in the case of DJ LeMahieu, increase their value), The best part is you won't have to pay that first-round price anymore, and if his ADP drops after the trade to St. Louis, it should be easy to turn a profit.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Alonso didn't quite follow up his incredible 2019 season last year, but he certainly wasn't terrible. The vast majority of his underlying statcast data and metrics looked similar, and he mostly just didn't make quite as consistently hard contact as he did the previous year. Alonso is never going to help you in batting average, but you should expect 40 home runs and 100 RBI this year and for the foreseeable future. With such a high floor, Alonso makes a more than adequate starting first baseman in mixed leagues.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 The concern around Arenado leaving Coors may seem a bit overstated, but it is a legitimate concern. He has always been a superior hitter playing in Colorado and his statcast data has been on a steady decline for several years now. He is not someone I have been targeting in drafts.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
As good a bet as anyone to lead the majors in homeruns, Alonso is a very, very solid 1B option. May not fit the build for every team, but he is someone you build around in your draft.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
 Arenado suffered a shoulder injury in his fifth game of the year in 2020. He played through it, and it clearly affected his power stroke. Instead of crushing doubles and homers over the heads of opposing outfielders, Arenado was weakly flying out. He was later shut down with a week left in the year, and I think it's fair to attribute his poor production to playing through injury. However, there will always be analysts knocking down Arenado for his move away from Coors Field. Yet savvy fantasy managers know by now that playing half your games in Coors hurts your road numbers more than any other park, so we can't simply view Arenado's road numbers as "who he truly is." For example, Matt Holliday's road OPS while with the Rockies was .803. While with the Cardinals? .853. I'm aggressively targeting Arenado anytime he lasts until Round 3 of drafts this spring, and I'll be sure to get some shares late in the second as well.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros