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Who Should I Draft?

Nolan Arenado or Pete Alonso (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
Pete Alonso
1B,DH - NYM
Pete Alonso
Expert
Recommendation
63%
Recommended by
32 of 51 experts
37%
Recommended by
19 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 30# 32
Best Rank# 9# 21
Worst Rank# 60# 55
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 33# 46
Best Rank# 30# 43
Worst Rank# 42# 53
   
Projections 
   
Runs8590
Home Runs3142
RBI97105
Stolen Bases22
Batting Average.274.250
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 35
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 31# 33
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 29# 35
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 31# 34
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 9# 21
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 29# 31
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 29# 34
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 30# 35
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 20# 38
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 33# 35
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 26# 35
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 19# 34
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 31# 32
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 24# 36
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 32# 35
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 26# 39
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 29# 37
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 29# 30
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 32# 35
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 18# 38
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 36
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 29# 34
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 29# 41
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 20# 35
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 17# 34
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 31# 55
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 37# 41
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 19# 40
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 14# 22
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 31# 33
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 33# 34
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 29# 40
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 32# 28
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 34# 23
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 36# 34
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 34
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 37# 27
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 37# 34
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 38# 31
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 39# 31
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 40# 27
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 41# 35
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 41# 26
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 41# 32
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 41# 32
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 42# 39
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 45# 26
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 47# 34
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 51# 34
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 53# 28
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 60# 39
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
Pete Alonso
1B,DH - NYM
Pete Alonso
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats182208
   
Runs2331
   
Hits4648
   
Singles2926
   
Doubles96
   
Triples00
   
Home Runs816
   
RBI2635
   
Stolen Bases01
   
Caught Stealing00
   
Walks1524
   
Strikeouts2061
   
Batting Average.253.231
   
On Base Pct.304.326
   
Slugging Pct.434.490
   
On-base Plus Slugging.738.817
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
Pete Alonso
1B,DH - NYM
Pete Alonso
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats571550
   
Runs8590
   
Hits155136
   
Singles9368
   
Doubles2925
   
Triples21
   
Home Runs3142
   
RBI97105
   
Stolen Bases22
   
Caught Stealing11
   
Walks6167
   
Strikeouts95166
   
Batting Average.274.250
   
On Base Pct.345.331
   
Slugging Pct.494.526
   
On-base Plus Slugging.839.857
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
Pete Alonso
1B,DH - NYM
Pete Alonso
News 
 Nolan Arenado went 1-for-3 with a solo homer and two RBI in a 6-2 win over the Brewers on Tuesday as St. Louis clinched a playoff berth in the National League.
Lucas Spence
Tue, Sep 28th
Pete Alonso went 1-for-5 with a solo home run in the Mets 12-5 loss Wednesday.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Thu, Sep 23rd
 Nolan Arenado went 2-for-3 with a walk and a two-run home run in a 5-2 win over the Brewers on Monday night.
Lucas Spence
Mon, Sep 20th
Pete Alonso went 0-for-3 with one walk, and one strikeout in the Mets win on Sunday.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Mon, Sep 20th
 Nolan Arenado went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run in an 11-4 rout over the Mets on Wednesday.
Lucas Spence
Wed, Sep 15th
Pete Alonso went 2-for-4 with two runs, three RBIs, one walk, and two homers as the Mets beat the Marlins 9-4 Tuesday. They're one game over .500 and only 3.5 back of the second wildcard.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Wed, Sep 8th
 Nolan Arenado went 1-for-3 with a two-run home run in a 2-0 win over the Reds on Sunday.
Lucas Spence
Sun, Sep 12th
Pete Alonso went 2-for-4 with a solo home run, but the Mets lost 4-3 Monday. They're 69-69 this season.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Tue, Sep 7th
 Nolan Arenado went 2-for-3 with a triple, two runs scored, three RBI, and the go-ahead, two-run home run in the bottom of the eighth inning to give the Cardinals a 6-4 win over the Reds on Saturday.
Lucas Spence
Sat, Sep 11th
Pete Alonso went 2-for-4 with one run scored, one strikeout, one single, one home run, and two RBIs. However, the Mets lost 3-2 and are now 61-66 this season.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Fri, Aug 27th
Notes 
 On the bright side, Arenado struck out just 10% of the time, a career-best. On the down side, there was everything else. Arenado batted just .253 and put up a 162-game pace of 27 home runs, 78 runs, 88 RBI, and zero steals. Those numbers won't kill your fantasy team, but considering Arenado's worst numbers over the previous five seasons were 37 home runs, 97 runs scored, and 110 RBI, they were a disaster. The good news, at least from the standpoint of projecting Arenado into the future, is that he was dealing with an injured AC joint in his shoulder for most of the season. In other words, fantasy managers can largely ignore Arenado's poor 2020 numbers, and focus instead on how he will perform now that he's been traded to the Cardinals. Although there's likely to be some dip in his numbers, we've seen hitters leave the Rockies and largely retain their value (or, in the case of DJ LeMahieu, increase their value), The best part is you won't have to pay that first-round price anymore, and if his ADP drops after the trade to St. Louis, it should be easy to turn a profit.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Alonso didn't quite follow up his incredible 2019 season last year, but he certainly wasn't terrible. The vast majority of his underlying statcast data and metrics looked similar, and he mostly just didn't make quite as consistently hard contact as he did the previous year. Alonso is never going to help you in batting average, but you should expect 40 home runs and 100 RBI this year and for the foreseeable future. With such a high floor, Alonso makes a more than adequate starting first baseman in mixed leagues.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 The concern around Arenado leaving Coors may seem a bit overstated, but it is a legitimate concern. He has always been a superior hitter playing in Colorado and his statcast data has been on a steady decline for several years now. He is not someone I have been targeting in drafts.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
As good a bet as anyone to lead the majors in homeruns, Alonso is a very, very solid 1B option. May not fit the build for every team, but he is someone you build around in your draft.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
 Arenado suffered a shoulder injury in his fifth game of the year in 2020. He played through it, and it clearly affected his power stroke. Instead of crushing doubles and homers over the heads of opposing outfielders, Arenado was weakly flying out. He was later shut down with a week left in the year, and I think it's fair to attribute his poor production to playing through injury. However, there will always be analysts knocking down Arenado for his move away from Coors Field. Yet savvy fantasy managers know by now that playing half your games in Coors hurts your road numbers more than any other park, so we can't simply view Arenado's road numbers as "who he truly is." For example, Matt Holliday's road OPS while with the Rockies was .803. While with the Cardinals? .853. I'm aggressively targeting Arenado anytime he lasts until Round 3 of drafts this spring, and I'll be sure to get some shares late in the second as well.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros