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Who Should I Draft?

Nolan Arenado or Yoan Moncada (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
Yoan Moncada
3B,DH - CWS
Yoan Moncada
Expert
Recommendation
96%
Recommended by
49 of 51 experts
4%
Recommended by
2 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 30# 53
Best Rank# 9# 25
Worst Rank# 60# 99
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 33# 95
Best Rank# 30# 68
Worst Rank# 42# 106
   
Projections 
   
Runs8582
Home Runs3123
RBI9778
Stolen Bases28
Batting Average.274.259
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 32# 64
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 45
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 31# 52
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 29# 99
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 34# 35
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 37# 51
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 31# 48
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 9# 60
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 39# 80
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 41# 55
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 29# 55
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 29# 48
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 30# 60
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 60# 67
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 20# 50
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 41# 62
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 33# 59
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 26# 57
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 37# 55
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 19# 58
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 31# 41
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 24# 61
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 47# 58
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 36# 42
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 32# 57
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 26# 57
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 41# 55
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 29# 50
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 29# 32
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 32# 86
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 38# 43
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 18# 53
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 26
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 29# 52
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 45# 58
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 41# 67
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 53# 81
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 29# 60
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 20# 37
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 17# 56
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 31# 74
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 37# 70
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 19# 77
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 14# 53
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 31# 55
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 51# 67
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 33# 48
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 29# 57
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 42# 48
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 25
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 40# 36
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
Yoan Moncada
3B,DH - CWS
Yoan Moncada
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats182200
   
Runs2328
   
Hits4645
   
Singles2928
   
Doubles98
   
Triples03
   
Home Runs86
   
RBI2624
   
Stolen Bases00
   
Caught Stealing00
   
Walks1528
   
Strikeouts2072
   
Batting Average.253.225
   
On Base Pct.304.320
   
Slugging Pct.434.385
   
On-base Plus Slugging.738.705
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
Yoan Moncada
3B,DH - CWS
Yoan Moncada
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats571555
   
Runs8582
   
Hits155142
   
Singles9385
   
Doubles2929
   
Triples25
   
Home Runs3123
   
RBI9778
   
Stolen Bases28
   
Caught Stealing13
   
Walks6163
   
Strikeouts95182
   
Batting Average.274.259
   
On Base Pct.345.335
   
Slugging Pct.494.453
   
On-base Plus Slugging.839.789
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Nolan Arenado
3B - STL
Nolan Arenado
Yoan Moncada
3B,DH - CWS
Yoan Moncada
News 
 Nolan Arenado went 2-for-3 with a walk and a two-run home run in a 5-2 win over the Brewers on Monday night.
Lucas Spence
Mon, Sep 20th
Yoan Moncada went 2-for-4 in Tuesday's loss, hitting a single and a double while also drawing a walk and striking out once.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Tue, Sep 21st
 Nolan Arenado went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run in an 11-4 rout over the Mets on Wednesday.
Lucas Spence
Wed, Sep 15th
Yoan Moncada actually had two hits on the day, finishing 2-for-4 with a solo home run in the fourth inning to tie the game.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Thu, Sep 16th
 Nolan Arenado went 1-for-3 with a two-run home run in a 2-0 win over the Reds on Sunday.
Lucas Spence
Sun, Sep 12th
Yoan Moncada went 3-for-5 on Tuesday night, hitting two doubles along with a single and scoring once. He would also strike out once.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Wed, Sep 8th
 Nolan Arenado went 2-for-3 with a triple, two runs scored, three RBI, and the go-ahead, two-run home run in the bottom of the eighth inning to give the Cardinals a 6-4 win over the Reds on Saturday.
Lucas Spence
Sat, Sep 11th
Yoan Moncada was just 1-for-4, striking out three times. But his sole hit was a big one, as it drove in Chicago's only run.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Thu, Aug 26th
 Nolan Arenado went 1-for-3 with a pair of RBI in a loss to the Dodgers on Tuesday.
Lucas Spence
Tue, Sep 7th
Yoan Moncada went 3-for-5 in total, singling each time while also scoring a run.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Wed, Aug 25th
Notes 
 On the bright side, Arenado struck out just 10% of the time, a career-best. On the down side, there was everything else. Arenado batted just .253 and put up a 162-game pace of 27 home runs, 78 runs, 88 RBI, and zero steals. Those numbers won't kill your fantasy team, but considering Arenado's worst numbers over the previous five seasons were 37 home runs, 97 runs scored, and 110 RBI, they were a disaster. The good news, at least from the standpoint of projecting Arenado into the future, is that he was dealing with an injured AC joint in his shoulder for most of the season. In other words, fantasy managers can largely ignore Arenado's poor 2020 numbers, and focus instead on how he will perform now that he's been traded to the Cardinals. Although there's likely to be some dip in his numbers, we've seen hitters leave the Rockies and largely retain their value (or, in the case of DJ LeMahieu, increase their value), The best part is you won't have to pay that first-round price anymore, and if his ADP drops after the trade to St. Louis, it should be easy to turn a profit.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
If you're looking for reasons to throw out a player's 2020 season, Moncada's battle with COVID-19 offers you just that for him. His quality of contact dropped like a stone, he struck out a ton, and he went back to his old passive approach, rather than the aggressive one that had led to such gains in 2019. Moncada detailed his struggles after suffering from the virus, so it's a legitimate excuse and surely led to his struggles. Moncada is likely to hit about 25 home runs, and help you everywhere except perhaps batting average (though his .315 mark in 2019 shows his upside). Although he won't be a superstar, at a third base position that gets shallow quicker than expected, he makes a fine option you can wait on but who will offer plenty of production.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 The concern around Arenado leaving Coors may seem a bit overstated, but it is a legitimate concern. He has always been a superior hitter playing in Colorado and his statcast data has been on a steady decline for several years now. He is not someone I have been targeting in drafts.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
Moncada had a very rough 2019 after dealing with Covid, and now is dealing with some arm soreness. Luckily the injury does not seem to bad. His ADP has dropped several rounds since last season and if he gets back into form, he will make those who passed on him look silly. He is not someone I am targeting in every single draft because spring training injuries are tough to gauge, but I have my fair share of Moncada.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
 Arenado suffered a shoulder injury in his fifth game of the year in 2020. He played through it, and it clearly affected his power stroke. Instead of crushing doubles and homers over the heads of opposing outfielders, Arenado was weakly flying out. He was later shut down with a week left in the year, and I think it's fair to attribute his poor production to playing through injury. However, there will always be analysts knocking down Arenado for his move away from Coors Field. Yet savvy fantasy managers know by now that playing half your games in Coors hurts your road numbers more than any other park, so we can't simply view Arenado's road numbers as "who he truly is." For example, Matt Holliday's road OPS while with the Rockies was .803. While with the Cardinals? .853. I'm aggressively targeting Arenado anytime he lasts until Round 3 of drafts this spring, and I'll be sure to get some shares late in the second as well.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros