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Who Should I Draft?

Paul Goldschmidt or Fernando Tatis Jr. (2023)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
CF,RF,SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Paul Goldschmidt
1B,DH - STL
Paul Goldschmidt
Expert
Recommendation
51%
Recommended by
29 of 57 experts
49%
Recommended by
28 of 57 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 19# 20
Best Rank# 7# 10
Worst Rank# 41# 34
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 20# 21
Best Rank# 15# 20
Worst Rank# 32# 24
   
Projections 
   
Runs8493
Home Runs3129
RBI8295
Stolen Bases227
Batting Average.275.284
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertSUS-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 20
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 28# 30
   
Jody Smith
FullTime Fantasy
# 15# 19
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 15# 21
   
Greg Smith
Superflex.Guide
# 18# 20
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 15# 19
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 15# 20
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 29
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 15# 21
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 16# 23
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 19
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 20# 21
   
Christopher Welsh
FantasyPros
# 19# 21
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 7# 22
   
Pierre Camus
Fantasy Endgame
# 12# 18
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 15# 17
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 19# 20
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 17# 22
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 27
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 19# 20
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 17# 21
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 9# 14
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 17# 20
   
Jacob W. Dunne
Triple Play Fantasy
# 19# 20
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 17# 22
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 12# 21
   
Taylor Tarter
Fastball Fantasy Baseball
# 7# 34
   
Tristan Davis
SEMO Fantasy Sports Podcast
# 14# 21
   
Joe Orrico
SportsEthos
# 17# 19
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 39# 10
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 20# 12
   
Fred Zinkie
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 14
   
Blake Meyer
Sports Gambling Podcast Network
# 15# 14
   
Julian Tarevski
FantasyPros
# 17# 15
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 26# 15
   
Scott Youngson
Pitcher List
# 21# 15
   
Jason Kamlowsky
FantasyPros
# 41# 16
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 21# 16
   
Pat Fitzmaurice
FantasyPros
# 20# 17
   
Keith Lott
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 17
   
Travis Argo
Fantasy Six Pack
# 22# 17
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 20# 17
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 21# 18
   
Kev Mahserejian
RotoBaller
# 21# 18
   
Ethan Biddle
FantasyPros
# 19# 18
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 21# 18
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 23# 18
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 20# 18
   
Scott Bogman
FantasyPros
# 21# 19
   
Matthew Williams
The Athletic
# 20# 19
   
Jeff Zimmerman
FanGraphs
# 22# 19
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 20# 19
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 23# 19
   
Brad Camara
RotoBaller
# 22# 20
   
Kelly Kirby
FantasyPros
# 22# 20
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 22# 20
   
Jesse Garcia
FantasyPros
# 23# 21
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
CF,RF,SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Paul Goldschmidt
1B,DH - STL
Paul Goldschmidt
2022 Stats 
   
   
At Bats561
   
Runs106
   
Hits178
   
Singles102
   
Doubles41
   
Triples0
   
Home Runs35
   
RBI115
   
Stolen Bases7
   
Caught Stealing0
   
Walks79
   
Strikeouts141
   
Batting Average.317
   
On Base Pct.404
   
Slugging Pct.578
   
On-base Plus Slugging.981
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
CF,RF,SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Paul Goldschmidt
1B,DH - STL
Paul Goldschmidt
2023 Projections 
   
   
At Bats439555
   
Runs8493
   
Hits121158
   
Singles6395
   
Doubles2532
   
Triples21
   
Home Runs3129
   
RBI8295
   
Stolen Bases227
   
Caught Stealing51
   
Walks5273
   
Strikeouts127138
   
Batting Average.275.284
   
On Base Pct.352.367
   
Slugging Pct.549.492
   
On-base Plus Slugging.901.859
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Fernando Tatis Jr.
CF,RF,SS - SD
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Paul Goldschmidt
1B,DH - STL
Paul Goldschmidt
News 
 Fernando Tatis Jr. will return to the lineup as the DH on Monday vs the Giants.
Vince DiSilvio
Mon, Mar 13th
 
 Fernando Tatis Jr. was scratched from Sunday's starting lineup due to a left knee bruise.
Brenton Kemp
Sun, Mar 12th
 
 Padres slugger Fernando Tatis Jr. is still looking to find his groove at the plate, acknowledging he's still a little out of sync, per MLB.com's AJ Cassavell.
Kendall Capps
Thu, Mar 9th
 
 Fernando Tatis Jr. completed his first game since 2021 and says his shoulder and wrist are both 100%.
Vince DiSilvio
Wed, Mar 1st
 
 Fernando Tatis Jr. will make his Cactus League debut Tuesday and serve as DH when the Padres play the Giants.
Kelly Kirby - The Wonkypenguin
Mon, Feb 27th
 
Notes 
 Fernando Tatis Jr. is the glow-in-the-dark, neon-colored wild card sitting in every fantasy baseball draft of 2023. Tatis missed the entire 2022 season with injuries and a PED suspension in August. The injuries have been addressed: He surgically repaired his torn labrum shortly after his suspension for a nagging shoulder issue that plagued him, and he had surgery on his left wrist in October. The suspension will end on April 20, so fantasy managers don't have to take a long absence into account. It's just every other part of the picture that muddies the water. Tatis's raw skills are phenomenal; he hits the ball as hard as anyone in the game, runs extremely well, and gets on base. He will be surrounded by superstar talent in the San Diego lineup, and he will have SS and OF eligibility in 2023, but he probably won't be playing the demanding infield position. If someone could guarantee that 2021 Tatis is who we're getting, he'd be a Top 5 pick, but the variables are numerous, and the impact is unknown. Someone will spend a high-round draft pick on him, so you only have to ask yourself if it will be you.
Kelly Kirby - FantasyPros
Paul Goldschmidt won the NL MVP in 2022, putting together a strong campaign that saw him hit 35 HR with 115 RBI and 105 runs while slashing .317/.404/.578 in his age-34 season. Strangely, all of his underlying metrics were actually worse in 2022 than in 2021 with the exception of his BB% bouncing from 9.9 to 12.1. One striking reason for this was a .368 BABIP, while another was facing a lot of atrocious pitching in the NL Central. His Statcast page reads like a warning when comparing his expected numbers with his actual ones. All of this adds up to that Goldy is due for some regression in 2023, which could be dramatic. The positives are his solid floor, and a good surrounding lineup will keep the numbers afloat. Just make sure you're not paying for his MVP iteration on draft day.
Kelly Kirby - FantasyPros